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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 20 July 26, 2026 23:30
Flamengo
#1 · 76 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sao Paulo
#10 · 44 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Flamengo, result Draw
Leo Pereira (ast. Jorginho) 57'
70' (ast. Luis Osorio) Jonathan Calleri
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Sao Paulo 11%). The final result was Flamengo 1–1 Sao Paulo. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sao Paulo.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
2
1
Shots on target
0
0.24
Actual xG
0.15
0
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
0
Corners
1
6
Tackles
8
Match Events
⚽Leo Pereira · ast. Jorginho
57'
↕ Lorran / G. de Arrascaeta
58'
Alex Sandro
63'
66'
Ferreira / Artur ↕
66'
Victor Sa / Danielzinho ↕
69'
Wendell
70'
ast. Luis Osorio · Jonathan Calleri⚽
↕ Bruno Henrique / Everton
79'
↕ Pedro / Wallace Yan
87'
↕ E. Pulgar / Evertton Araujo
87'
88'
Jonathan Calleri
90'+1
90'+5
Sabino / Wendell ↕
90'+11
Marcos Antonio
90'
Andre Silva / Luciano ↕
Pre-match prediction
74.71%
Flamengo
13.95%
X ←
11.34%
Sao
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 13.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Flamengo
2.77
0.24
-2.53
Sao
0.84
0.15
-0.69
xG dominance was balanced (0.24 – 0.15). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 34 57
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos Santos 34 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 34 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 37
19 Remo Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 21
Lineups
Flamengo Flamengo 4-2-3-1
1 A. Rossi A. Rossi 48' G 6.60
26 Alex Sandro Alex Sandro 48' D 6.70
4 Leo Pereira Leo Pereira 1 ⚽ 48' D 6.70
44 Vitao Vitao 48' D 6.60
22 Emerson Royal Emerson Royal 48' D 6.60
21 Jorginho Jorginho 1 👟 48' M 6.60
5 E. Pulgar E. Pulgar 48' M 6.90
27 Bruno Henrique Bruno Henrique 48' M 6.60
16 Samuel Lino Samuel Lino 48' M 6.60
99 Lorran Lorran 48' M 6.30
9 Pedro Pedro 48' F 6.30
Bench
42 A. da Silva Ventura A. da Silva Ventura G
6 Ayrton Lucas Ayrton Lucas D
79 Caio Joshua Caio Joshua M
13 Danilo Danilo D
11 Everton Everton F
52 Evertton Araujo Evertton Araujo M
10 G. de Arrascaeta G. de Arrascaeta M
2 G. Varela G. Varela D
77 J. Goes J. Goes D
61 João Victor João Victor D
8 S. Niguez S. Niguez M
64 Wallace Yan Wallace Yan F
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-4-2
23 Rafael Rafael 48' G 6.60
18 Wendell Wendell 48' D 6.90
54 Luis Osorio Luis Osorio 1 👟 48' D 6.30
5 Robert Arboleda Robert Arboleda 48' D 6.70
19 Lucas Ramon Lucas Ramon 48' D 6.90
8 Marcos Antônio Marcos Antônio 48' M 6.50
94 Danielzinho Danielzinho 48' M 6.60
29 Pablo Maia Pablo Maia 48' M 6.70
37 Artur Artur 48' M 6.70
10 Luciano Luciano 48' F 6.70
9 Jonathan Calleri Jonathan Calleri 1 ⚽ 48' F 6.30
Bench
17 André Silva André Silva F
20 Aurélio Buta Aurélio Buta D
31 Carlos Coronel Carlos Coronel G
80 Cauly Cauly M
48 Djhordney Djhordney M
11 Ferreirinha Ferreirinha F
43 Gustavo Santana Gustavo Santana M
53 Isac Isac D
56 Nicolas Bosshardt Nicolas Bosshardt D
35 Sabino Sabino D
34 Tetê Tetê F
27 Victor Sá Victor Sá F
Best on the pitch
E. Pulgar
E. Pulgar
M · Flamengo
6.90
1 shots · 33 pass
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon
D · Sao
6.90
· 21 pass
Wendell
Wendell
D · Sao
6.90
1 shots · 18 pass
Luciano
Luciano
F · Sao
6.70
· 18 pass
Alex Sandro
Alex Sandro
D · Flamengo
6.70
· 21 pass
Leo Pereira
Leo Pereira
D · Flamengo
6.70
1 ⚽
· 37 pass
Flamengo Flamengo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Rossi G 48 6.60 — — — 15 12% — — —
Alex Sandro D 48 6.70 — — — 21 17% — — —
Leo Pereira D 48 6.70 1 — — 37 33% 1 — —
Vitao D 48 6.60 — — — 36 33% — — —
Emerson Royal D 48 6.60 — — — 19 18% 2 — —
Jorginho M 48 6.60 — 1 — 39 35% — — —
E. Pulgar M 48 6.90 — — 1 33 29% 2 — —
Bruno Henrique M 48 6.60 — — — 2 — 1 — —
Samuel Lino M 48 6.60 — — 1 17 14% — — —
Lorran M 48 6.30 — — 1 13 12% — — —
Pedro F 48 6.30 — — — 8 5% — — —
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael G 48 6.60 — — — 15 12% — — —
Wendell D 48 6.90 — — 1 18 15% 2 — —
Luis Osorio D 48 6.30 — 1 — 24 21% — — —
Robert Arboleda D 48 6.70 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
Lucas Ramon D 48 6.90 — — — 21 14% 1 — —
Marcos Antônio M 48 6.50 — — — 29 26% 1 — —
Danielzinho M 48 6.60 — — — 29 27% — — —
Pablo Maia M 48 6.70 — — — 28 27% — — —
Artur M 48 6.70 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
Luciano F 48 6.70 — — — 18 17% 2 — —
Jonathan Calleri F 48 6.30 1 — — 19 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Flamengo 1–1 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Flamengo win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an Sao Paulo win.