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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 20 July 26, 2026 23:30
Flamengo
#2 · 54 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sao Paulo
#11 · 33 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Flamengo, result Draw
Leo Pereira (ast. Jorginho) 57'
70' (ast. Luis Osorio) Jonathan Calleri
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Sao Paulo 11%). The final result was Flamengo 1–1 Sao Paulo. In 1 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sao Paulo.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
2
1
Shots on target
0
0.24
Actual xG
0.15
0
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
0
Corners
1
6
Tackles
8
Match Events
⚽Leo Pereira · ast. Jorginho
57'
↕ Lorran / G. de Arrascaeta
58'
Alex Sandro
63'
66'
Ferreira / Artur ↕
66'
Victor Sa / Danielzinho ↕
69'
Wendell
70'
ast. Luis Osorio · Jonathan Calleri⚽
↕ Bruno Henrique / Everton
79'
↕ Pedro / Wallace Yan
87'
↕ E. Pulgar / Evertton Araujo
87'
88'
Jonathan Calleri
90'+1
90'+5
Sabino / Wendell ↕
90'+11
Marcos Antonio
90'
Andre Silva / Luciano ↕
Pre-match prediction
74.71%
Flamengo
13.95%
X ←
11.34%
Sao
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 13.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Flamengo
2.77
0.24
-2.53
Sao
0.84
0.15
-0.69
xG dominance was balanced (0.24 – 0.15). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 27 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 36
10 Santos Santos 26 35
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
12 Vitoria Vitoria 27 33
13 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 26 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 27 29
16 Gremio Gremio 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Flamengo Flamengo 4-2-3-1
1 A. Rossi A. Rossi 48' G 6.60
26 Alex Sandro Alex Sandro 48' D 6.70
4 Léo Pereira Léo Pereira 1 ⚽ 48' D 6.70
44 Vitão Vitão 48' D 6.60
22 Emerson Royal Emerson Royal 48' D 6.60
21 Jorginho Jorginho 1 👟 48' M 6.60
5 E. Pulgar E. Pulgar 48' M 6.90
27 Bruno Henrique Bruno Henrique 48' M 6.60
16 Samuel Lino Samuel Lino 48' M 6.60
99 Lorran Lorran 48' M 6.30
9 Pedro Pedro 48' F 6.30
Bench
42 Andrew Andrew G
6 Ayrton Lucas Ayrton Lucas D
79 Caio Joshua Caio Joshua M
13 Danilo Danilo D
11 Everton Everton F
52 Evertton Araújo Evertton Araújo M
10 G. de Arrascaeta G. de Arrascaeta M
2 G. Varela G. Varela D
61 João Victor João Victor D
77 Johnny Góes Johnny Góes D
8 Saúl Saúl M
64 Wallace Wallace F
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-4-2
23 Rafael Rafael 48' G 6.60
18 Wendell Wendell 48' D 6.90
54 Osorio Luis Osorio Luis 1 👟 48' D 6.30
5 R. Arboleda R. Arboleda 48' D 6.70
19 Lucas Ramon Lucas Ramon 48' D 6.90
8 Marcos Antônio Marcos Antônio 48' M 6.50
94 Danielzinho Danielzinho 48' M 6.60
29 Pablo Maia Pablo Maia 48' M 6.70
37 Artur Artur 48' M 6.70
10 Luciano Luciano 48' F 6.70
9 J. Calleri J. Calleri 1 ⚽ 48' F 6.30
Bench
17 André Silva André Silva F
20 Aurélio Buta Aurélio Buta D
31 Carlos Coronel Carlos Coronel G
80 Cauly Cauly M
48 D. Ferreira D. Ferreira M
11 Ferreira Ferreira F
43 G. Santana G. Santana M
53 Isac Isac D
56 Nicolas Bosshardt Nicolas Bosshardt D
35 Sabino Sabino D
34 Tetê Tetê F
27 Victor Sá Victor Sá F
Best on the pitch
E. Pulgar
E. Pulgar
M · Flamengo
6.90
1 shots · 33 pass
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon
D · Sao
6.90
· 21 pass
Wendell
Wendell
D · Sao
6.90
1 shots · 18 pass
Luciano
Luciano
F · Sao
6.70
· 18 pass
Alex Sandro
Alex Sandro
D · Flamengo
6.70
· 21 pass
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
6.70
1 ⚽
· 37 pass
Flamengo Flamengo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Rossi G 48 6.60 — — — 15 12% — — —
Alex Sandro D 48 6.70 — — — 21 17% — — —
Léo Pereira D 48 6.70 1 — — 37 33% 1 — —
Vitão D 48 6.60 — — — 36 33% — — —
Emerson Royal D 48 6.60 — — — 19 18% 2 — —
Jorginho M 48 6.60 — 1 — 39 35% — — —
E. Pulgar M 48 6.90 — — 1 33 29% 2 — —
Bruno Henrique M 48 6.60 — — — 2 — 1 — —
Samuel Lino M 48 6.60 — — 1 17 14% — — —
Lorran M 48 6.30 — — 1 13 12% — — —
Pedro F 48 6.30 — — — 8 5% — — —
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael G 48 6.60 — — — 15 12% — — —
Wendell D 48 6.90 — — 1 18 15% 2 — —
Osorio Luis D 48 6.30 — 1 — 24 21% — — —
R. Arboleda D 48 6.70 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
Lucas Ramon D 48 6.90 — — — 21 14% 1 — —
Marcos Antônio M 48 6.50 — — — 29 26% 1 — —
Danielzinho M 48 6.60 — — — 29 27% — — —
Pablo Maia M 48 6.70 — — — 28 27% — — —
Artur M 48 6.70 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
Luciano F 48 6.70 — — — 18 17% 2 — —
J. Calleri F 48 6.30 1 — — 19 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Flamengo 1–1 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Flamengo win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an Sao Paulo win.