Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 14
May 03, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Flamengo, result Draw
Pedro
(ast. Gonzalo Plata)
8'
Jorginho
60'
(pen.)
84'
(ast. Nuno Moreira)
Robert Renan
90'+7
(ast. Carlos Cuesta)
Hugo Moura
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 20%). The final result was Flamengo 2–2 Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
6
2.14
Actual xG
1.53
4
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
6
16
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Pedro
· ast. Gonzalo Plata
8'
Léo Pereira
41'
Gonzalo Plata
45'+1
45'+2
Cauan Barros
52'
Carlos Cuesta
57'
59'
Paulo Henrique
⚽Jorginho
(pen.)
60'
65'
Adson
/
Brenner
65'
Claudio Spinelli
/
Paulo Henrique
65'
Andrés Gómez
/
David
Luiz Araújo
/ Nicolás de la Cruz
69'
Samuel Lino
/ Bruno Henrique
69'
76'
Nuno Moreira
/
Johan Rojas
81'
Hugo Moura
/
Cauan Barros
Jorginho
/ Saúl Ñíguez
82'
84'
ast. Nuno Moreira ·
Robert Renan⚽
Alex Sandro
85'
90'+7
ast. Carlos Cuesta ·
Hugo Moura⚽
Pedro
/ Wallace Yan
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.78%
Flamengo
23.2%
X ←
20.02%
Vasco
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.24
2.14
-0.1
1.04
1.53
+0.49
Flamengo dominated by xG (2.14 vs 1.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
2
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
26
Alex Sandro
D
Alex Sandro
D
52
Evertton Araújo
M
Evertton Araújo
M
21
Jorginho
1 ⚽
82'
M
Jorginho
1 ⚽
82'
M
19
G. Plata
1 👟
M
G. Plata
1 👟
M
7
Luiz Araújo
69'
M
Luiz Araújo
69'
M
16
Samuel Lino
69'
M
Samuel Lino
69'
M
9
Pedro
1 ⚽
89'
F
Pedro
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
Ayrton Lucas
D
27
Bruno Henrique
21'
F
Bruno Henrique
21'
F
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
11
Everton
F
Everton
F
18
N. de la Cruz
21'
M
N. de la Cruz
21'
M
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
96
Paulo Henrique
65'
D
Paulo Henrique
65'
D
46
C. Cuesta
1 👟
D
C. Cuesta
1 👟
D
30
Robert Renan
1 ⚽
D
Robert Renan
1 ⚽
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
2
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
88
Cauan Barros
81'
M
Cauan Barros
81'
M
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
20
Brenner
65'
M
Brenner
65'
M
10
Johan Rojas
76'
F
Johan Rojas
76'
F
7
David
65'
F
David
65'
F
Bench
28
Adson
25'
F
Adson
25'
F
11
A. Gómez
25'
F
A. Gómez
25'
F
4
Alan Saldivia
D
Alan Saldivia
D
77
Claudio Spinelli
25'
F
Claudio Spinelli
25'
F
25
Hugo Moura
1 ⚽
9'
M
Hugo Moura
1 ⚽
9'
M
98
JP
M
JP
M
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
18
Marino Hinestroza
F
Marino Hinestroza
F
17
Nuno Moreira
1 👟
14'
M
Nuno Moreira
1 👟
14'
M
82
Riquelme Avellar
D
Riquelme Avellar
D
3
Tchê Tchê
M
Tchê Tchê
M
Best on the pitch
Pedro
F · Flamengo
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Jorginho
M · Flamengo
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 65 pass
Hugo Moura
M · Vasco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Robert Renan
D · Vasco
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 68 pass
Nuno Moreira
M · Vasco
7.20
1 👟
· 9 pass
C. Cuesta
D · Vasco
7.20
1 👟
· 67 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 60 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Sandro | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Evertton Araújo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 82 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Plata | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luiz Araújo | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 68 | 56% | 6 | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| Brenner | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Johan Rojas | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| David | F | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Adson | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Gómez | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Claudio Spinelli | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Moura | M | 9 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 14 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Flamengo 2–2 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Flamengo win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Vasco DA Gama win.