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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 22 August 10, 2026 00:30
Flamengo
#1 · 73 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Vitoria
#14 · 38 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Flamengo
E. Pulgar (ast. Leo Pereira) 14'
Bruno Henrique (ast. J. Carrascal) 80'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 75% win probability (draw 17%, Vitoria 7%). The final result was Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria. In 3 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vitoria.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
1.13
Actual xG
0.18
1
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
1
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Pulgar · ast. Leo Pereira
14'
44'
Ze Vitor
46'
Marinho / Matheuzinho ↕
46'
D. Tarzia / Erick ↕
↕ G. de Arrascaeta / Lucas Paqueta
65'
69'
T. Pochettino / Walace ↕
↕ Jorginho / Evertton Araujo
74'
↕ Pedro / G. Plata
74'
↕ Samuel Lino / Bruno Henrique
74'
G. Plata
79'
80'
Fabricio / Rene ↕
⚽Bruno Henrique · ast. J. Carrascal
80'
↕ J. Carrascal / Lorran
86'
90'+3
Edenilson / Ze Vitor ↕
Pre-match prediction
75.47%
Flamengo ←
17.3%
X
7.23%
Vitoria
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo) 75.47% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Flamengo
2.00
1.13
-0.87
Vitoria
0.39
0.18
-0.21
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Flamengo Flamengo 4-2-3-1
1 Agustín Rossi Agustín Rossi G 6.90
6 Ayrton Lucas Ayrton Lucas D 7.30
4 Léo Pereira Léo Pereira 1 👟 D 7.60
3 Léo Ortiz Léo Ortiz D 7.00
2 Guillermo Varela Guillermo Varela D 6.90
21 Jorginho Jorginho 74' M 7.30
5 Erick Pulgar Erick Pulgar 1 ⚽ M 8.00
16 Samuel Lino Samuel Lino 74' M 6.60
10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta Giorgian de Arrascaeta 65' M 7.50
15 J. Carrascal J. Carrascal 1 👟 86' M 8.70
9 Pedro Guilherme Pedro Guilherme 74' F 6.00
Bench
42 Andrew Andrew G
27 Bruno Henrique Bruno Henrique 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.90
13 Danilo Danilo D
49 Dyogo Alves Dyogo Alves G
22 Emerson Royal Emerson Royal D
52 Evertton Araujo Evertton Araujo 22' M 6.90
19 Gonzalo Plata Gonzalo Plata 22' F 6.70
77 Johnny Goes Johnny Goes D
99 Lorran Lorran 10' M 6.50
20 Lucas Paquetá Lucas Paquetá 31' M 6.90
8 Saúl Saúl M
64 Wallace Wallace F
Vitoria Vitoria 4-2-3-1
1 Lucas Arcanjo Lucas Arcanjo G 7.00
83 Jamerson Jamerson D 6.70
2 E. Brítez E. Brítez D 6.90
95 Caíque Caíque D 7.30
70 Fabiano Fabiano D 6.30
15 Walace Walace 69' M 6.20
6 E. Martínez E. Martínez M 6.90
10 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho 45' M 6.30
88 Zé Vitor Zé Vitor M 6.20
33 Erick Erick 45' M 6.30
91 Rene Rene 80' F 6.30
Bench
35 Alexandre Fintelman Alexandre Fintelman G
12 D. Tarzia D. Tarzia 51' D 6.20
26 Edenilson Edenilson 4' M
23 Fabrício Fabrício 16' F 6.50
7 Marinho Marinho 51' F 7.20
98 Mateusinho Mateusinho D
11 Osvaldo Osvaldo F
13 Ramon Ramon D
79 Renato Kayzer Renato Kayzer F
8 T. Pochettino T. Pochettino 27' M 6.90
41 Wendell Sacramento Wendell Sacramento M
71 Yuri Sena Yuri Sena G
Best on the pitch
J. Carrascal
J. Carrascal
M · Flamengo
8.70
1 👟
2 shots · 52 pass
Erick Pulgar
Erick Pulgar
M · Flamengo
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 94 pass
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
F · Flamengo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 73 pass
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
M · Flamengo
7.50
1 shots · 40 pass
Ayrton Lucas
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
7.30
· 54 pass
Flamengo Flamengo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Agustín Rossi G 96 6.90 — — — 27 25% — — —
Ayrton Lucas D 96 7.30 — — — 54 49% — — —
Léo Pereira D 96 7.60 — 1 1 73 70% — — —
Léo Ortiz D 96 7.00 — — 1 65 56% — — —
Guillermo Varela D 96 6.90 — — — 37 34% — — —
Jorginho M 74 7.30 — — — 104 96% 1 — —
Erick Pulgar M 96 8.00 1 — 1 94 86% 1 — —
Samuel Lino M 74 6.60 — — 2 55 50% — — —
Giorgian de Arrascaeta M 65 7.50 — — 1 40 30% 2 — —
J. Carrascal M 86 8.70 — 1 2 52 44% 6 — —
Pedro Guilherme F 74 6.00 — — — 14 9% — — —
Bruno Henrique F 22 7.90 1 — 1 6 5% — — —
Evertton Araujo M 22 6.90 — — 1 16 15% 1 — —
Gonzalo Plata F 22 6.70 — — — 8 7% 1 1 —
Lorran M 10 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
Lucas Paquetá M 31 6.90 — — 1 22 19% 1 — —
Vitoria Vitoria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lucas Arcanjo G 96 7.00 — — — 32 20% — — —
Jamerson D 96 6.70 — — 1 36 31% 2 — —
E. Brítez D 96 6.90 — — — 40 36% 1 — —
Caíque D 96 7.30 — — — 42 39% 3 — —
Fabiano D 96 6.30 — — 1 42 32% 1 — —
Walace M 69 6.20 — — — 44 38% — — —
E. Martínez M 96 6.90 — — 1 50 43% 3 — —
Matheuzinho M 45 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
Zé Vitor M 92 6.20 — — — 44 35% 2 1 —
Erick M 45 6.30 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Rene F 80 6.30 — — 1 9 5% — — —
D. Tarzia D 51 6.20 — — — 16 14% — — —
Edenilson M 4 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Fabrício F 16 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Marinho F 51 7.20 — — — 24 20% 3 — —
T. Pochettino M 27 6.90 — — — 3 2% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Vitoria?
The final score was Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Flamengo win, 17% to a draw, and 7% to an Vitoria win.