Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 22
August 10, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Flamengo
E. Pulgar
(ast. Leo Pereira)
14'
Bruno Henrique
(ast. J. Carrascal)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 75% win probability (draw 17%, Vitoria 7%). The final result was Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria. In 3 previous meetings, Flamengo have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vitoria.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
1.13
Actual xG
0.18
1
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
1
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Pulgar
· ast. Leo Pereira
14'
44'
Ze Vitor
46'
Marinho
/
Matheuzinho
46'
D. Tarzia
/
Erick
G. de Arrascaeta
/ Lucas Paqueta
65'
69'
T. Pochettino
/
Walace
Jorginho
/ Evertton Araujo
74'
Pedro
/ G. Plata
74'
Samuel Lino
/ Bruno Henrique
74'
G. Plata
79'
80'
Fabricio
/
Rene
⚽Bruno Henrique
· ast. J. Carrascal
80'
J. Carrascal
/ Lorran
86'
90'+3
Edenilson
/
Ze Vitor
Pre-match prediction
75.47%
Flamengo ←
17.3%
X
7.23%
Vitoria
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
75.47%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.13
-0.87
0.39
0.18
-0.21
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Rossi
G
A. Rossi
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
Ayrton Lucas
D
4
Léo Pereira
1 👟
D
Léo Pereira
1 👟
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
2
G. Varela
D
G. Varela
D
21
Jorginho
74'
M
Jorginho
74'
M
5
E. Pulgar
1 ⚽
M
E. Pulgar
1 ⚽
M
16
Samuel Lino
74'
M
Samuel Lino
74'
M
10
G. de Arrascaeta
65'
M
G. de Arrascaeta
65'
M
15
J. Carrascal
1 👟
86'
M
J. Carrascal
1 👟
86'
M
9
Pedro
74'
F
Pedro
74'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
27
Bruno Henrique
1 ⚽
22'
F
Bruno Henrique
1 ⚽
22'
F
13
Danilo
D
Danilo
D
49
Dyogo
G
Dyogo
G
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
52
Evertton Araújo
22'
M
Evertton Araújo
22'
M
19
G. Plata
22'
F
G. Plata
22'
F
77
Johnny Góes
D
Johnny Góes
D
99
Lorran
10'
M
Lorran
10'
M
20
Lucas Paquetá
31'
M
Lucas Paquetá
31'
M
8
Saúl
M
Saúl
M
64
Wallace
F
Wallace
F
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
95
Caíque
D
Caíque
D
70
Fabiano
D
Fabiano
D
15
Walace
69'
M
Walace
69'
M
6
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
10
Matheuzinho
45'
M
Matheuzinho
45'
M
88
Zé Vitor
M
Zé Vitor
M
33
Erick
45'
M
Erick
45'
M
91
Rene
80'
F
Rene
80'
F
Bench
35
Alexandre Fintelman
G
Alexandre Fintelman
G
12
D. Tarzia
51'
D
D. Tarzia
51'
D
26
Edenilson
4'
M
Edenilson
4'
M
23
Fabrício
16'
F
Fabrício
16'
F
7
Marinho
51'
F
Marinho
51'
F
98
Mateusinho
D
Mateusinho
D
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
79
Renato Kayzer
F
Renato Kayzer
F
8
T. Pochettino
27'
M
T. Pochettino
27'
M
41
Wendell Sacramento
M
Wendell Sacramento
M
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
Best on the pitch
J. Carrascal
M · Flamengo
8.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 52 pass
E. Pulgar
M · Flamengo
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 94 pass
Bruno Henrique
F · Flamengo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 73 pass
G. de Arrascaeta
M · Flamengo
7.50
1 shots
· 40 pass
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
7.30
· 54 pass
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rossi | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 73 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | — | — | — |
| G. Varela | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 104 | 96% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Pulgar | M | 96 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 94 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 50% | — | — | — |
| G. de Arrascaeta | M | 65 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 86 | 8.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 52 | 44% | 6 | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 22 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Evertton Araújo | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Plata | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lorran | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Caíque | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Fabiano | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Walace | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Erick | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rene | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Tarzia | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marinho | F | 51 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Vitoria?
The final score was Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Flamengo vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Flamengo win, 17% to a draw, and 7% to an Vitoria win.