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Fleetwood Town - Carlisle

Friendlies Clubs July 24, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.54%
Win
Fleetwood Town
32.32%
Draw
33.14%
Win
Carlisle
3.05
Expected xG
2.22

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.79%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fleetwood Town a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Carlisle. Expected goals are 3.0 for Fleetwood Town and 2.2 for Carlisle (total 5.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.79% probability.

Season Stats

Fleetwood Town
4W 0D 0L
Carlisle
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
4.0
0.2
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
25%
BTTS
100%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Fleetwood Town
2W 0D 0L · at home
Carlisle
1W 0D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
4.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fleetwood Town Carlisle →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.6% 3.5% 3.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
2 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1%
3 2.4% 5.4% 6.0% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8%
5 1.1% 2.5% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%

Recent form

L Hartlepool 1–0
D Bolton 1–1
W Huddersfield 2–1
W Southport 0–1
W Chester 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
W Derby County U21 0–2
L Salford City 0–2
W Darlington 1883 2–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
Attack
49
Defence
90
Form
78
Carlisle Carlisle
Attack
49
Defence
50
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle?
The model gives Fleetwood Town a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Carlisle win.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle?
Expected goals: Fleetwood Town 3.0, Carlisle 2.2 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.79%.