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Fleetwood Town - Sheffield Utd

EFL Cup September 16, 2026 20:45
Fleetwood Town
vs
Sheffield Utd
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.47%
Win
Fleetwood Town
21.71%
Draw
29.82%
Win
Sheffield Utd
2.16
Expected xG
1.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.87%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 22%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 52%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 75%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fleetwood Town a 48% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Sheffield Utd. Expected goals are 2.2 for Fleetwood Town and 1.6 for Sheffield Utd (total 3.8), with a 89% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.87% probability.

Season Stats

Fleetwood Town
2W 1D 0L
Sheffield Utd
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
2.0
0.7
Conceded
1.0
2.7
Shots OT
3.3
4.7
Corners
3.0
36%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Fleetwood Town
2W 0D 0L · at home
Sheffield Utd
2W 0D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
67%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fleetwood Town Sheffield Utd →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.0% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.8% 6.2% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
W Shrewsbury 4–0
W Chesterfield 1–0
D Barnsley 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
W Blackburn 1–2
W Mansfield Town 0–3
L Birmingham 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 41%

Playing profile

Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
Attack
30
Defence
84
Form
65
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
Attack
39
Defence
59
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd?
The model gives Fleetwood Town a 48% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 29% for an Sheffield Utd win.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd?
Expected goals: Fleetwood Town 2.2, Sheffield Utd 1.6 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 89%.
What is the most likely score in Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.87%.