Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 20 July 17, 2026 18:00 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

#2 · 49 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Nõmme United

#8 · 28 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Flora Tallinn, result Nõmme United wins

T. Varjund (ast. D. Kuraksin) 58'

(og) 20' O. Pihela

45'+4 (ast. Z. Beglarishvili) Y. Morishige

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flora Tallinn a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Nõmme United 11%). The final result was Flora Tallinn 1–2 Nõmme United. In 3 previous meetings, Flora Tallinn have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nõmme United.

Match statistics

Match Events

K. Kivila

11'

↕ R. Valdmets / E. Grunvald

14'

S. Alamaa

17'

20'

(og) O. Pihela⚽

30'

T. Vendelin / N. Vassiljev ↕

45'+4

ast. Z. Beglarishvili · Y. Morishige⚽

↕ M. Kalimullin / R. Sappinen

46'

↕ T. Teevali / T. Varjund

46'

46'

A. Truuvaart / E. Ounapuu ↕

↕ A. Vaher / M. Kolobov

46'

⚽T. Varjund · ast. D. Kuraksin

58'

↕ R. Alliku / S. Zenjov

73'

79'

I. Krasnov / B. Chisala ↕

79'

B. Vain / H. Jarvelaid ↕

90'+3

I. Krasnov

Pre-match prediction

74.95%

Flora

13.31%

X

11.75%

Nõmme ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nõmme United) 11.75% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Flora

2.96

—

—

Nõmme

0.90

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	27	68
2	Flora Tallinn	27	49
3	Kalju Nomme	28	47
4	Paide	26	45
5	Tammeka	26	41
6	Vaprus	27	34
7	Laagri	27	31
8	Nõmme United	27	28
9	Kuressaare	27	28
10	Trans Narva	28	18