Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 17 June 21, 2026 16:00 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

#3 · 62 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Paide

#2 · 64 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Flora Tallinn, result Paide wins

D. Kuraksin (ast. T. Varjund) 5'

39' A. Badamosi

(pen.) 80' H. Anier

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flora Tallinn a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Paide 14%). The final result was Flora Tallinn 1–2 Paide. In 4 previous meetings, Flora Tallinn have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Paide.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽D. Kuraksin · ast. T. Varjund

5'

39'

A. Badamosi⚽

41'

M. Miller

M. Kolobov

55'

55'

H. Ojamaa / K. Piht ↕

59'

H. Anier / A. Badamosi ↕

59'

Daniel Cabral / D. Luts ↕

↕ D. Kuraksin / R. Alliku

61'

R. Alliku

80'

80'

(pen.) H. Anier⚽

↕ R. Valdmets / T. Usta

81'

↕ S. Alamaa / A. Kaares

81'

83'

R. Nigula / E. Tur ↕

83'

S. Luts / M. P. Sohna ↕

S. Tovstik

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

67.3%

Flora

17.81%

X

14.89%

Paide ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paide) 14.89% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Flora

2.16

—

—

Paide

0.45

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	36	91
2	Paide	36	64
3	Flora Tallinn	36	62
4	Kalju Nomme	36	61
5	Tammeka	36	53
6	Laagri	36	47
7	Vaprus	36	40
8	Nõmme United	36	38
9	Kuressaare	36	37
10	Trans Narva	36	23