Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 29 September 20, 2026 18:00 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

#3 · 62 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Vaprus

#7 · 40 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Flora Tallinn

E. Sorga (ast. S. Alamaa) 60'

E. Sorga (ast. D. Zotov) 62'

S. Alamaa 90'+4

55' (ast. S. Viidas) M. Limberg

75' (ast. M. Limberg) S. Kapper

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flora Tallinn a 73% win probability (draw 13%, Vaprus 12%). The final result was Flora Tallinn 3–2 Vaprus. In 4 previous meetings, Flora Tallinn have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Vaprus.

Match statistics

Match Events

55'

ast. S. Viidas · M. Limberg⚽

⚽E. Sorga · ast. S. Alamaa

60'

↕ D. Kuraksin / R. Alliku

60'

↕ M. Kukkonen / D. Zotov

60'

⚽E. Sorga · ast. D. Zotov

62'

75'

ast. M. Limberg · S. Kapper⚽

76'

V. Vallik / S. Kapper ↕

76'

J. Poder / S. Viidas ↕

↕ E. Sorga / T. Usta

80'

86'

R. Orm / M. Villota ↕

90'+2

U. Nomm / K. Aloe ↕

⚽S. Alamaa

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

73.46%

Flora ←

13.98%

X

12.56%

Vaprus

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Flora Tallinn) 73.46% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Flora

3.04

—

—

Vaprus

0.97

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	36	91
2	Paide	36	64
3	Flora Tallinn	36	62
4	Kalju Nomme	36	61
5	Tammeka	36	53
6	Laagri	36	47
7	Vaprus	36	40
8	Nõmme United	36	38
9	Kuressaare	36	37
10	Trans Narva	36	23