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Floriana - Hibernians

Premier League November 07, 2026 14:00
#5 · 16 pts
vs
#6 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.42%
Win
Floriana
26.15%
Draw
29.44%
Win
Hibernians
1.71
Expected xG
1.39

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.54%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 26%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 56%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Floriana a 44% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Hibernians. Expected goals are 1.7 for Floriana and 1.4 for Hibernians (total 3.1), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.54% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Floriana have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Hibernians.

Season Stats

Floriana
6W 5D 4L
Hibernians
5W 5D 5L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.1
1.3
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
47%
60%
BTTS
47%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Floriana
4W 2D 4L · at home
Hibernians
2W 4D 4L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.3
1.8
Conceded
1.6
40%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
90%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
70%
20%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Floriana Hibernians →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5% 6.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.7% 10.7% 7.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

L Valletta FC 0–1
L Zabbar St. Patrick 1–2
D Birkirkara 1–1
D Mosta 3–3
D Balzan FC 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
W Balzan FC 1–2
D Mosta 2–2
W Gzira United 2–1
W Birzebbuga 1–0
D Hamrun Spartans 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Floriana Floriana
Attack
46
Defence
60
Form
47
Hibernians Hibernians
Attack
34
Defence
61
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Premier Division: First stage - Top 6

# Team G Pts
1 Valletta FC Valletta FC 11 25
2 Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 11 20
3 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 11 18
4 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 11 17
5 Floriana Floriana 11 16
6 Hibernians Hibernians 11 16

What's at stake · Premier Division: First stage - Top 6

Top 2 advance to the next round

Floriana Hibernians
Current #5 #6
→ Floriana #3 #6
→ Draw #4 #6
→ Hibernians #6 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Floriana vs Hibernians?
The model gives Floriana a 44% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 29% for an Hibernians win.
How many goals are expected in Floriana vs Hibernians?
Expected goals: Floriana 1.7, Hibernians 1.4 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Floriana vs Hibernians?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.54%.