Premier League
· Final
May 16, 2026 16:00
F. Varela
56'
K. Dervisagic
90'+2
36'
R. Linden
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Floriana a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Marsaxlokk 29%). The final result was Floriana 2–1 Marsaxlokk. In 4 previous meetings, Floriana have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Marsaxlokk.
Match statistics
Match Events
36'
R. Linden⚽
40'
L. Aguirre
D. Vella
/ J. Grech
54'
R. Areias
/ M. Jah
55'
⚽F. Varela
56'
I. Mendonca
59'
62'
J. Minala
C. M'Mombwa
66'
67'
R. Mihana
/
U. Arias
P. Mbong
/ K. Dervisagic
77'
82'
E. Pepe
⚽K. Dervisagic
90'+2
90'+8
I. Christie-Davies
/
E. Pepe
90'+8
E. Attard
/
D. Simkus
90'+8
J. Kirby
/
R. Linden
C. Zammit Lonardelli
/ K. Mabea
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
43.17%
Floriana ←
27.54%
X
29.29%
Marsaxlokk
we assigned to the actual result (Floriana)
43.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
—
—
1.20
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
The final score was Floriana 2–1 Marsaxlokk.
What did the model predict before Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Floriana win, 27% to a draw, and 29% to an Marsaxlokk win.