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Premier League · Final May 16, 2026 16:00
#1 · 37 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#2 · 31 pts
F. Varela 56'
K. Dervisagic 90'+2
36' R. Linden
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Floriana a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Marsaxlokk 29%). The final result was Floriana 2–1 Marsaxlokk. In 4 previous meetings, Floriana have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Marsaxlokk.

Match statistics
Match Events
36'
R. Linden
40'
L. Aguirre
D. Vella / J. Grech
54'
R. Areias / M. Jah
55'
F. Varela
56'
I. Mendonca
59'
62'
J. Minala
C. M'Mombwa
66'
67'
R. Mihana / U. Arias
P. Mbong / K. Dervisagic
77'
82'
E. Pepe
K. Dervisagic
90'+2
90'+8
I. Christie-Davies / E. Pepe
90'+8
E. Attard / D. Simkus
90'+8
J. Kirby / R. Linden
C. Zammit Lonardelli / K. Mabea
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
43.17%
Floriana ←
27.54%
X
29.29%
Marsaxlokk
we assigned to the actual result (Floriana) 43.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Floriana
1.49
Marsaxlokk
1.20
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Floriana Floriana 16 37
2 Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 16 31
3 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 16 28
4 Valletta FC Valletta FC 16 24
5 Gzira United Gzira United 16 21
6 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 16 20
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
The final score was Floriana 2–1 Marsaxlokk.
What did the model predict before Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Floriana win, 27% to a draw, and 29% to an Marsaxlokk win.