Floriana - Marsaxlokk
Premier League
May 16, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.57%
Win
Floriana
27.43%
Draw
29.01%
Win
Marsaxlokk
1.5
1.2
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Floriana a 43% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Marsaxlokk. Expected goals are 1.5 for Floriana and 1.2 for Marsaxlokk (total 2.7), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.1% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Floriana have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Marsaxlokk.
Score Matrix
↕ Floriana
Marsaxlokk →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Floriana
Attack
33
Defence
78
Form
61
Marsaxlokk
Attack
45
Defence
66
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
The model gives Floriana a 43% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 29% for an Marsaxlokk win.
How many goals are expected in Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
Expected goals: Floriana 1.5, Marsaxlokk 1.2 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.