Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 21
July 30, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Bahia 25%). The final result was Fluminense 0–0 Bahia. In 4 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bahia.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
0
2.09
Actual xG
0.37
0
Saves
9
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
1
16
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Ignacio
11'
J. Freytes
/ Thiago Silva
42'
49'
Erick Pulga
L. Acosta
/ J. Savarino
62'
Thiago Silva
/ Igor Rabello
62'
Martinelli
/ Hercules
62'
65'
Everton Ribeiro
/
Ademir
65'
Michel Araujo
/
Luciano Juba
74'
David Martins
/
Jean Lucas
75'
Kaue Junior
/
Erick Pulga
Hulk
/ G. Cano
75'
88'
Willian Jose
/
A. Veliz
Pre-match prediction
48.13%
Fluminense
26.82%
X ←
25.05%
Bahia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
2.09
+0.78
0.92
0.37
-0.55
Fluminense dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
22
J. Freytes
42'
D
J. Freytes
42'
D
4
Ignacio
D
Ignacio
D
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
8
Martinelli
62'
M
Martinelli
62'
M
16
Nonato
M
Nonato
M
30
Y. Soteldo
M
Y. Soteldo
M
32
L. Acosta
62'
M
L. Acosta
62'
M
17
A. Canobbio
M
A. Canobbio
M
7
Hulk
75'
F
Hulk
75'
F
Bench
25
Alisson
M
Alisson
M
14
G. Cano
19'
F
G. Cano
19'
F
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
35
Hércules
32'
M
Hércules
32'
M
21
Igor Rabello
32'
D
Igor Rabello
32'
D
11
J. Savarino
32'
F
J. Savarino
32'
F
90
K. Serna
F
K. Serna
F
27
Marcelo
G
Marcelo
G
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
10
PH Ganso
M
PH Ganso
M
28
Riquelme
F
Riquelme
F
3
Thiago Silva
20'
D
Thiago Silva
20'
D
1
Ronaldo
G
Ronaldo
G
46
Luciano Juba
65'
D
Luciano Juba
65'
D
21
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
31
Roman Gomez
D
Roman Gomez
D
11
Rodrigo Nestor
M
Rodrigo Nestor
M
5
N. Acevedo
M
N. Acevedo
M
16
Erick Pulga
75'
M
Erick Pulga
75'
M
6
Jean Lucas
74'
M
Jean Lucas
74'
M
7
Ademir
65'
M
Ademir
65'
M
9
A. Véliz
88'
F
A. Véliz
88'
F
Bench
57
Çağatay Yılmaz
19'
M
Çağatay Yılmaz
19'
M
63
David Martins
20'
M
David Martins
20'
M
10
Éverton Ribeiro
29'
M
Éverton Ribeiro
29'
M
17
G. Herrera
G
G. Herrera
G
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
43
Luiz Gustavo
D
Luiz Gustavo
D
15
M. Araújo
29'
M
M. Araújo
29'
M
23
Mateo Sanabria
F
Mateo Sanabria
F
77
Ruan Pablo
F
Ruan Pablo
F
55
Sidney Duarte
M
Sidney Duarte
M
67
Wendel Passos
M
Wendel Passos
M
12
Willian José
6'
F
Willian José
6'
F
Best on the pitch
Ronaldo
G · Bahia
9.30
· 29 pass
Marcos Victor
D · Bahia
7.60
· 45 pass
Samuel Xavier
D · Fluminense
7.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.30
2 shots
· 50 pass
A. Canobbio
M · Fluminense
7.20
3 shots
· 46 pass
Hulk
F · Fluminense
7.20
4 shots
· 18 pass
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Renê | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Freytes | D | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| Martinelli | M | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Nonato | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Cano | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Rabello | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Savarino | F | 32 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Silva | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 94 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Victor | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Roman Gomez | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 76 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ademir | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Çağatay Yılmaz | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| David Martins | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Bahia?
The final score was Fluminense 0–0 Bahia.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Bahia?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Fluminense win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Bahia win.