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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 9 April 02, 2026 02:30
Fluminense
#4 · 48 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Corinthians
#14 · 32 pts
John Kennedy (ast. K. Serna) 20'
Hercules 45'
R. Castillo (ast. Martinelli) 83'
89' Andre
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Corinthians 24%). The final result was Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Corinthians.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
7
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
10
11
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽John Kennedy · ast. K. Serna
20'
35'
Matheus Bidu
⚽Hercules
45'
46'
F. Angileri / Matheus Bidu ↕
46'
J. Lingard / Breno Bidon ↕
46'
M. Pereira / Charles Rigon ↕
52'
Allan
L. Acosta
52'
55'
Allan
62'
Andre
↕ L. Acosta / PH Ganso
69'
↕ K. Serna / Y. Soteldo
70'
76'
Z. Labyad / Yuri Alberto ↕
↕ Hercules / Alisson
77'
↕ John Kennedy / R. Castillo
77'
77'
Dieguinho / R. Garro ↕
⚽R. Castillo · ast. Martinelli
83'
↕ Martinelli / G. Cano
86'
89'
Andre⚽
90'+4
M. Pereira
Pre-match prediction
49.04%
Fluminense ←
26.3%
X
24.65%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense) 49.04% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fluminense
1.95
1.84
-0.11
Corinthians
0.63
0.57
-0.06
Fluminense dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 28 43
8 Santos Santos 28 41
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 28 36
11 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 28 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.20
6 Renê Renê D 7.50
22
D 6.90
3 Jemmes Jemmes D 7.20
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D 6.60
8 Matheus Martinelli Matheus Martinelli 1 👟 86' M 7.00
35 Hércules Hércules 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.50
90 K. Serna K. Serna 1 👟 70' M 7.90
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta 69' M 7.20
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino M 6.20
9 John Kennedy John Kennedy 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.30
Bench
25 Alisson Alisson 13' M 6.30
23 Guga Guga D
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana D
4 Ignacio Ignacio D
94 Otávio Otávio M
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso 21' M 6.90
19 R. Castillo R. Castillo 1 ⚽ 13' F 7.30
7 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 20' F 6.90
Corinthians Corinthians 4-2-3-1
51 Kauê Camargo Kauê Camargo G 6.60
21 Matheus Bidu Matheus Bidu 45' D 6.30
13 Gustavo Henrique Gustavo Henrique D 5.90
3 Gabriel Paulista Gabriel Paulista D 6.20
2 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho D 6.20
29 Allan Allan 55' M 5.30
35 Charles Charles 45' M 6.30
49 Andre Andre 1 ⚽ M 7.30
8 R. Garro R. Garro 77' M 6.70
7 Breno Breno 45' M 6.30
9 Yuri Alberto Yuri Alberto 76' F 6.20
Bench
5 André Ramalho André Ramalho D
61 Dieguinho Dieguinho 13' M 6.20
77 J. Lingard J. Lingard 45' M 6.20
31
Kayke F
23 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 45' M 6.30
20 P. Milans P. Milans D
11 Vitinho Vitinho F
Best on the pitch
K. Serna
K. Serna
M · Fluminense
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
Renê
Renê
D · Fluminense
7.50
· 69 pass
Hércules
Hércules
M · Fluminense
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
Andre
Andre
M · Corinthians
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
R. Castillo
R. Castillo
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
John Kennedy
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
5 shots · 8 pass
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 21 19% — — —
Renê D 90 7.50 — — — 69 56% 3 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 2 58 47% 1 — —
Jemmes D 90 7.20 — — — 59 56% 4 — —
Samuel Xavier D 90 6.60 — — 1 52 50% — — —
Matheus Martinelli M 86 7.00 — 1 — 64 57% — — —
Hércules M 77 7.50 1 — 1 40 37% 1 — —
K. Serna M 70 7.90 — 1 2 16 14% 1 — —
L. Acosta M 69 7.20 — — 1 32 27% 1 1 —
J. Savarino M 90 6.20 — — 2 46 36% — — —
John Kennedy F 77 7.30 1 — 5 8 8% — — —
Alisson M 13 6.30 — — — 17 17% — — —
PH Ganso M 21 6.90 — — 1 17 16% — — —
R. Castillo F 13 7.30 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
Y. Soteldo F 20 6.90 — — — 21 19% — — —
Corinthians Corinthians — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kauê Camargo G 90 6.60 — — — 20 12% — — —
Matheus Bidu D 45 6.30 — — — 25 20% — 1 —
Gustavo Henrique D 90 5.90 — — — 36 33% — — —
Gabriel Paulista D 90 6.20 — — 2 46 42% — — —
Matheuzinho D 90 6.20 — — — 34 29% 2 — —
Allan M 55 5.30 — — 1 38 30% — 1 1
Charles M 45 6.30 — — — 20 19% — — —
Andre M 90 7.30 1 — 2 14 12% 4 1 —
R. Garro M 77 6.70 — — — 26 22% — — —
Breno M 45 6.30 — — — 14 11% — — —
Yuri Alberto F 76 6.20 — — — 9 5% — — —
Dieguinho M 13 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Lingard M 45 6.20 — — 1 17 13% — — —
Matheus Pereira M 45 6.30 — — 2 18 15% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Corinthians?
The final score was Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Fluminense win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Corinthians win.