← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 9 April 02, 2026 04:30
Fluminense
#3 · 27 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Corinthians
#16 · 18 pts
John Kennedy (ast. K. Serna) 20'
Hercules 45'
R. Castillo (ast. Martinelli) 83'
89' Andre

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Corinthians 24%). The final result was Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
7
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
10
11
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽John Kennedy · ast. K. Serna
20'
35'
Matheus Bidu
⚽Hercules
45'
46'
F. Angileri / Matheus Bidu ↕
46'
J. Lingard / Breno Bidon ↕
46'
M. Pereira / Charles Rigon ↕
52'
Allan
L. Acosta
52'
55'
Allan
62'
Andre
↕ L. Acosta / PH Ganso
69'
↕ K. Serna / Y. Soteldo
70'
76'
Z. Labyad / Yuri Alberto ↕
↕ Hercules / Alisson
77'
↕ John Kennedy / R. Castillo
77'
77'
Dieguinho / R. Garro ↕
⚽R. Castillo · ast. Martinelli
83'
↕ Martinelli / G. Cano
86'
89'
Andre⚽
90'+4
M. Pereira
Pre-match prediction
49.04%
Fluminense ←
26.3%
X
24.65%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense) 49.04% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fluminense
1.95
1.84
-0.11
Corinthians
0.63
0.57
-0.06
Fluminense dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Lineups
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.20
6 Renê Renê D 7.50
22
D 6.90
3
Jemmes D 7.20
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D 6.60
8
Martinelli 1 👟 86' M 7.00
35 Hércules Hércules 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.50
90 Kevin Serna Kevin Serna 1 👟 70' M 7.90
32 Luciano Acosta Luciano Acosta 69' M 7.20
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino M 6.20
9 John Kennedy John Kennedy 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.30
Bench
25 Alisson Alisson 13' M 6.30
23 Guga Guga D
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana D
4 Ignácio Ignácio D
94 Otávio Otávio M
10
PH Ganso 21' M 6.90
19 Rodrigo Castillo Rodrigo Castillo 1 ⚽ 13' F 7.30
7 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 20' F 6.90
Corinthians Corinthians 4-2-3-1
51 Kauê Kauê G 6.60
21 Matheus Bidu Matheus Bidu 45' D 6.30
13 Gustavo Henrique Gustavo Henrique D 5.90
3 Gabriel Paulista Gabriel Paulista D 6.20
2 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho D 6.20
29
Allan 55' M 5.30
35
Charles Rigon 45' M 6.30
49
Andre 1 ⚽ M 7.30
8 R. Garro R. Garro 77' M 6.70
7 Breno Bidon Breno Bidon 45' M 6.30
9 Yuri Alberto Yuri Alberto 76' F 6.20
Bench
5 André Ramalho André Ramalho D
61 Dieguinho Dieguinho 13' M 6.20
77 J. Lingard J. Lingard 45' M 6.20
31
Kayke F
23 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 45' M 6.30
20 Pedro Milans Pedro Milans D
11
Vitinho F
Best on the pitch
Kevin Serna
Kevin Serna
M · Fluminense
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
Renê
Renê
D · Fluminense
7.50
· 69 pass
Hércules
Hércules
M · Fluminense
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
Andre
M · Corinthians
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
Rodrigo Castillo
Rodrigo Castillo
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
John Kennedy
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
5 shots · 8 pass
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 21 19% — — —
Renê D 90 7.50 — — — 69 56% 3 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 2 58 47% 1 — —
Jemmes D 90 7.20 — — — 59 56% 4 — —
Samuel Xavier D 90 6.60 — — 1 52 50% — — —
Martinelli M 86 7.00 — 1 — 64 57% — — —
Hércules M 77 7.50 1 — 1 40 37% 1 — —
Kevin Serna M 70 7.90 — 1 2 16 14% 1 — —
Luciano Acosta M 69 7.20 — — 1 32 27% 1 1 —
J. Savarino M 90 6.20 — — 2 46 36% — — —
John Kennedy F 77 7.30 1 — 5 8 8% — — —
Alisson M 13 6.30 — — — 17 17% — — —
PH Ganso M 21 6.90 — — 1 17 16% — — —
Rodrigo Castillo F 13 7.30 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
Y. Soteldo F 20 6.90 — — — 21 19% — — —
Corinthians Corinthians — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kauê G 90 6.60 — — — 20 12% — — —
Matheus Bidu D 45 6.30 — — — 25 20% — 1 —
Gustavo Henrique D 90 5.90 — — — 36 33% — — —
Gabriel Paulista D 90 6.20 — — 2 46 42% — — —
Matheuzinho D 90 6.20 — — — 34 29% 2 — —
Allan M 55 5.30 — — 1 38 30% — 1 1
Charles Rigon M 45 6.30 — — — 20 19% — — —
Andre M 90 7.30 1 — 2 14 12% 4 1 —
R. Garro M 77 6.70 — — — 26 22% — — —
Breno Bidon M 45 6.30 — — — 14 11% — — —
Yuri Alberto F 76 6.20 — — — 9 5% — — —
Dieguinho M 13 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Lingard M 45 6.20 — — 1 17 13% — — —
Matheus Pereira M 45 6.30 — — 2 18 15% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Corinthians?
The final score was Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Fluminense win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Corinthians win.