Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 9
April 02, 2026 02:30
John Kennedy
(ast. K. Serna)
20'
Hercules
45'
R. Castillo
(ast. Martinelli)
83'
89'
Andre
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Corinthians 24%). The final result was Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
7
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
10
11
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽John Kennedy
· ast. K. Serna
20'
35'
Matheus Bidu
⚽Hercules
45'
46'
F. Angileri
/
Matheus Bidu
46'
J. Lingard
/
Breno Bidon
46'
M. Pereira
/
Charles Rigon
52'
Allan
L. Acosta
52'
55'
Allan
62'
Andre
L. Acosta
/ PH Ganso
69'
K. Serna
/ Y. Soteldo
70'
76'
Z. Labyad
/
Yuri Alberto
Hercules
/ Alisson
77'
John Kennedy
/ R. Castillo
77'
77'
Dieguinho
/
R. Garro
⚽R. Castillo
· ast. Martinelli
83'
Martinelli
/ G. Cano
86'
89'
Andre⚽
90'+4
M. Pereira
Pre-match prediction
49.04%
Fluminense ←
26.3%
X
24.65%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense)
49.04%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
1.84
-0.11
0.63
0.57
-0.06
Fluminense dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
22
D
3
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
8
Martinelli
1 👟
86'
M
Martinelli
1 👟
86'
M
35
Hércules
1 ⚽
77'
M
Hércules
1 ⚽
77'
M
90
Kevin Serna
1 👟
70'
M
Kevin Serna
1 👟
70'
M
32
Luciano Acosta
69'
M
Luciano Acosta
69'
M
11
J. Savarino
M
J. Savarino
M
9
John Kennedy
1 ⚽
77'
F
John Kennedy
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
25
Alisson
13'
M
Alisson
13'
M
10
Ganso
21'
M
Ganso
21'
M
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
4
Ignácio
D
Ignácio
D
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
19
Rodrigo Castillo
1 ⚽
13'
F
Rodrigo Castillo
1 ⚽
13'
F
7
Y. Soteldo
20'
F
Y. Soteldo
20'
F
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
21
Matheus Bidu
45'
D
Matheus Bidu
45'
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
29
Allan
55'
M
Allan
55'
M
35
Charles
45'
M
Charles
45'
M
49
André Luiz
1 ⚽
M
André Luiz
1 ⚽
M
8
Rodrigo Garro
77'
M
Rodrigo Garro
77'
M
7
Breno Bidon
45'
M
Breno Bidon
45'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
76'
F
Yuri Alberto
76'
F
Bench
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
13'
M
Dieguinho
13'
M
77
J. Lingard
45'
M
J. Lingard
45'
M
31
Kayke
F
23
Matheus Pereira
45'
M
Matheus Pereira
45'
M
20
Pedro Milans
D
Pedro Milans
D
11
Vitinho
F
Best on the pitch
Kevin Serna
M · Fluminense
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 16 pass
Renê
D · Fluminense
7.50
· 69 pass
Hércules
M · Fluminense
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
André Luiz
M · Corinthians
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Rodrigo Castillo
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 8 pass
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Renê | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 47% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jemmes | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Martinelli | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 64 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Serna | M | 70 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Acosta | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Savarino | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 36% | — | — | — |
| John Kennedy | F | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alisson | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Ganso | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Castillo | F | 13 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 55 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | — | 1 | 1 |
| Charles | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Garro | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Corinthians?
The final score was Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Fluminense win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Corinthians win.