Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 02:30
J. Savarino
10'
(pen.)
Hercules
(ast. Martinelli)
28'
A. Canobbio
66'
12'
F. Londono
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 47% win probability (draw 31%, Deportivo La Guaira 21%). The final result was Fluminense 3–1 Deportivo La Guaira. In 1 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo La Guaira.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
1.21
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
0
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
1
18
Tackles
16
Match Events
⚽J. Savarino
(pen.)
10'
12'
F. Londono⚽
⚽Hercules
· ast. Martinelli
28'
Hercules
/ Nonato
46'
58'
C. Faya
/
M. Gonzalez
58'
M. Sulbaran
/
J. Meza
58'
J. Perdomo
/
J. Correa
⚽A. Canobbio
66'
74'
A. Uribe
/
Y. Rivas
Martinelli
/ F. Bernal
78'
J. Savarino
/ K. Serna
83'
84'
N. Hernandez
/
L. Martinez
L. Acosta
/ Y. Soteldo
90'+1
John Kennedy
/ G. Cano
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
47.59%
Fluminense ←
31.21%
X
21.21%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense)
47.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.21
+0.24
0.67
0.72
+0.05
Fluminense dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
22
Juan Pablo Freytes
D
Juan Pablo Freytes
D
3
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
8
Martinelli
1 👟
78'
M
Martinelli
1 👟
78'
M
35
Hércules
1 ⚽
45'
M
Hércules
1 ⚽
45'
M
11
J. Savarino
1 ⚽
83'
M
J. Savarino
1 ⚽
83'
M
32
L. Acosta
M
L. Acosta
M
17
A. Canobbio
1 ⚽
M
A. Canobbio
1 ⚽
M
9
John Kennedy
F
John Kennedy
F
Bench
5
Facundo Bernal
14'
M
Facundo Bernal
14'
M
14
Germán Cano
1'
F
Germán Cano
1'
F
21
Igor Rabello
D
Igor Rabello
D
29
Julián Millán
D
Julián Millán
D
90
Kevin Serna
9'
F
Kevin Serna
9'
F
27
Marcelo Pitaluga
G
Marcelo Pitaluga
G
16
Nonato
47'
M
Nonato
47'
M
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
28
Riquelme Felipe
F
Riquelme Felipe
F
19
Rodrigo Castillo
F
Rodrigo Castillo
F
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
7
Yeferson Soteldo
1'
F
Yeferson Soteldo
1'
F
1
Cristopher Varela
G
20
Jorge Gutiérrez
D
Jorge Gutiérrez
D
3
Diego Osío
D
24
Guillermo Ortíz
D
Guillermo Ortíz
D
16
Luis Pena
84'
D
Luis Pena
84'
D
14
Cesar Da Silva
M
Cesar Da Silva
M
7
José Alí Meza
58'
M
José Alí Meza
58'
M
27
José Correa
58'
M
José Correa
58'
M
15
Miguel González
58'
M
Miguel González
58'
M
18
Yackson Rivas
74'
M
Yackson Rivas
74'
M
36
Flabian Londoño
1 ⚽
F
Flabian Londoño
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Alexis Rodríguez
F
Alexis Rodríguez
F
9
Anthony Uribe
18'
F
Anthony Uribe
18'
F
6
Carlos Faya
34'
M
Carlos Faya
34'
M
32
Franco Cáceres
M
Franco Cáceres
M
11
Jesús Vargas
M
Jesús Vargas
M
12
Jorge Sánchez
G
Jorge Sánchez
G
10
Juan Castellanos
M
Juan Castellanos
M
8
Juan Perdomo
34'
M
Juan Perdomo
34'
M
22
Manuel Sulbarán
34'
M
Manuel Sulbarán
34'
M
5
Martín Gianoli
D
Martín Gianoli
D
33
Nelson Hernández
8'
D
Nelson Hernández
8'
D
77
R. Arace
F
R. Arace
F
Best on the pitch
A. Canobbio
M · Fluminense
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Hércules
M · Fluminense
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Flabian Londoño
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.50
1 👟
· 71 pass
Cesar Da Silva
M · Deportivo
7.30
· 45 pass
Juan Pablo Freytes
D · Fluminense
7.00
· 66 pass
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Freytes | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Jemmes | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Guga | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Martinelli | M | 78 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 71 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 45 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Savarino | M | 83 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| John Kennedy | F | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Bernal | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Germán Cano | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Serna | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nonato | M | 47 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Yeferson Soteldo | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Varela | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Gutiérrez | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Osío | D | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Guillermo Ortíz | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Pena | D | 84 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Cesar Da Silva | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| José Alí Meza | M | 58 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| José Correa | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel González | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Yackson Rivas | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Flabian Londoño | F | 92 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Uribe | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Perdomo | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Sulbarán | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Nelson Hernández | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The final score was Fluminense 3–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Fluminense win, 31% to a draw, and 21% to an Deportivo La Guaira win.