Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 02:30
J. Savarino
10'
(pen.)
Hercules
(ast. Martinelli)
28'
A. Canobbio
66'
12'
F. Londono
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 47% win probability (draw 31%, Deportivo La Guaira 21%). The final result was Fluminense 3–1 Deportivo La Guaira. In 1 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo La Guaira.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
1.21
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
0
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
1
18
Tackles
16
Match Events
⚽J. Savarino
(pen.)
10'
12'
F. Londono⚽
⚽Hercules
· ast. Martinelli
28'
Hercules
/ Nonato
46'
58'
C. Faya
/
M. Gonzalez
58'
M. Sulbaran
/
J. Meza
58'
J. Perdomo
/
J. Correa
⚽A. Canobbio
66'
74'
A. Uribe
/
Y. Rivas
Martinelli
/ F. Bernal
78'
J. Savarino
/ K. Serna
83'
84'
N. Hernandez
/
L. Martinez
L. Acosta
/ Y. Soteldo
90'+1
John Kennedy
/ G. Cano
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
47.59%
Fluminense ←
31.21%
X
21.21%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense)
47.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.21
+0.24
0.67
0.72
+0.05
Fluminense dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
22
J. Freytes
D
J. Freytes
D
3
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
8
Martinelli
1 👟
78'
M
Martinelli
1 👟
78'
M
35
Hércules
1 ⚽
45'
M
Hércules
1 ⚽
45'
M
11
J. Savarino
1 ⚽
83'
M
J. Savarino
1 ⚽
83'
M
32
L. Acosta
M
L. Acosta
M
17
A. Canobbio
1 ⚽
M
A. Canobbio
1 ⚽
M
9
John Kennedy
F
John Kennedy
F
Bench
5
F. Bernal
14'
M
F. Bernal
14'
M
14
G. Cano
1'
F
G. Cano
1'
F
21
Igor Rabello
D
Igor Rabello
D
29
J. Millán
D
J. Millán
D
90
K. Serna
9'
F
K. Serna
9'
F
27
Marcelo
G
Marcelo
G
16
Nonato
47'
M
Nonato
47'
M
19
R. Castillo
F
R. Castillo
F
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
28
Riquelme
F
Riquelme
F
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
7
Y. Soteldo
1'
F
Y. Soteldo
1'
F
1
C. Varela
G
20
J. Gutiérrez
D
J. Gutiérrez
D
3
Diego Osío
D
24
G. Ortiz
D
16
L. Peña
84'
D
14
C. Da Silva
M
7
J. Meza
58'
M
27
J. Correa
58'
M
15
M. González
58'
M
18
Yackson Rivas
74'
M
36
F. Londoño
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Alexis Rodríguez
F
Alexis Rodríguez
F
9
A. Uribe
18'
F
6
Carlos Faya
34'
M
Carlos Faya
34'
M
32
Franco Cáceres
M
Franco Cáceres
M
10
J. Castellanos
M
12
Jorge Sánchez
G
Jorge Sánchez
G
8
J. Perdomo
34'
M
11
J. Vargas
M
5
Martín Gianoli
D
Martín Gianoli
D
22
M. Sulbarán
34'
M
33
N. Hernández
8'
D
77
R. Arace
F
Best on the pitch
A. Canobbio
M · Fluminense
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Hércules
M · Fluminense
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
F. Londoño
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.50
1 👟
· 71 pass
C. Da Silva
M · Deportivo
7.30
· 45 pass
J. Freytes
D · Fluminense
7.00
· 66 pass
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Freytes | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Jemmes | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Guga | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Martinelli | M | 78 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 71 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 45 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Savarino | M | 83 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| John Kennedy | F | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bernal | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Cano | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Serna | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nonato | M | 47 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Varela | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 33% | — | — | — |
| J. Gutiérrez | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Osío | D | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Ortiz | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Peña | D | 84 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| C. Da Silva | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Meza | M | 58 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Correa | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. González | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Yackson Rivas | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Londoño | F | 92 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Uribe | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Perdomo | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Sulbarán | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Hernández | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The final score was Fluminense 3–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Fluminense win, 31% to a draw, and 21% to an Deportivo La Guaira win.