← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 2 April 16, 2026 02:30
Fluminense
#4 · 2 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Independ. Rivadavia
#1 · 10 pts
Guilherme Arana (ast. J. Savarino) 10'
37' (ast. L. Costa) F. Sartori
51' (ast. S. Villa) A. Arce

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Independ. Rivadavia 31%). The final result was Fluminense 1–2 Independ. Rivadavia. In 1 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Independ. Rivadavia.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
4
1.14
Actual xG
1.01
2
Saves
8
71%
Possession
29%
1
Corners
1
14
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Guilherme Arana · ast. J. Savarino
10'
17'
M. Fernandez
33'
E. Bonifacio
37'
ast. L. Costa · F. Sartori⚽
↕ Hercules / F. Bernal
46'
51'
ast. S. Villa · A. Arce⚽
↕ Samuel Xavier / Guga
66'
↕ PH Ganso / K. Serna
66'
68'
F. Sartori
74'
A. Osella / L. Gomez ↕
74'
J. M. Elordi / E. Bonifacio ↕
↕ Ignacio / John Kennedy
77'
81'
G. Rios / M. Fernandez ↕
81'
L. Bucca / A. Arce ↕
↕ A. Canobbio / Wesley Nata
81'
Wesley Nata
84'
87'
I. Villalba / F. Sartori ↕
89'
N. Bolcato
Pre-match prediction
41.55%
Fluminense
27.23%
X
31.22%
Independ. ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independ. Rivadavia) 31.22% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fluminense
1.45
1.14
-0.31
Independ.
1.24
1.01
-0.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana 1 ⚽ D 7.20
22
D 6.70
4 Ignácio Ignácio 77' D 6.60
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier 66' D 6.70
8
Martinelli M 7.00
35 Hércules Hércules 45' M 6.60
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 1 👟 M 7.00
10
PH Ganso 66' M 6.90
17 Agustín Canobbio Agustín Canobbio 81' M 6.70
19 Rodrigo Castillo Rodrigo Castillo F 6.00
Bench
25 Alisson Alisson M
5 Facundo Bernal Facundo Bernal 45' M 6.90
23 Guga Guga 24' D 7.00
3
Jemmes D
9 John Kennedy John Kennedy 13' F 6.30
90 Kevin Serna Kevin Serna 24' F 6.30
94 Otávio Otávio M
6 Renê Renê D
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4-2-3-1
1 Nicolás Bolcato Nicolás Bolcato G 7.30
14 Luciano Gómez Luciano Gómez 74' D 6.70
42 Sheyko Studer Sheyko Studer D 6.50
2 Leonard Costa Leonard Costa 1 👟 D 6.90
36 Ezequiel Bonifacio Ezequiel Bonifacio 74' D 6.20
25 José Florentín José Florentín M 6.50
5 Tomas Bottari Tomas Bottari M 6.30
22 S. Villa S. Villa 1 👟 M 6.30
43 F. Sartori F. Sartori 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.30
10 M. Fernández M. Fernández 81' M 6.70
9 A. Arce A. Arce 1 ⚽ 81' F 6.90
Bench
13 Alejo Osella Alejo Osella 16' D 6.90
20 Alessandro Riep Alessandro Riep M
27 Diego Crego Diego Crego M
11 Gonzalo Ríos Gonzalo Ríos 9' M 6.30
40 Iván Villalba Iván Villalba 9' D 6.70
3 Juan Manuel Elordi Juan Manuel Elordi 16' D 6.60
8 Leonel Bucca Leonel Bucca 9' M 6.50
19 R. Atencio R. Atencio F
7 Victorio Ramis Victorio Ramis F
Best on the pitch
F. Sartori
F. Sartori
M · Independ.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.30
· 36 pass
Guilherme Arana
Guilherme Arana
D · Fluminense
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 66 pass
Guga
Guga
D · Fluminense
7.00
· 23 pass
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.00
3 shots · 79 pass
J. Savarino
J. Savarino
M · Fluminense
7.00
1 👟
4 shots · 48 pass
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 14 13% — — —
Guilherme Arana D 90 7.20 1 — 2 66 58% — — —
D 90 6.70 — — 1 83 73% — — —
Ignácio D 77 6.60 — — 1 43 40% 3 — —
Samuel Xavier D 66 6.70 — — — 48 44% 3 — —
Martinelli M 90 7.00 — — 3 79 68% 3 — —
Hércules M 45 6.60 — — — 39 34% — — —
J. Savarino M 90 7.00 — 1 4 48 42% 1 — —
PH Ganso M 66 6.90 — — — 52 44% 2 — —
Agustín Canobbio M 81 6.70 — — 1 36 31% 1 — —
Rodrigo Castillo F 90 6.00 — — 4 17 14% — — —
Facundo Bernal M 45 6.90 — — 2 48 43% — — —
Guga D 24 7.00 — — — 23 15% 1 — —
John Kennedy F 13 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Kevin Serna F 24 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nicolás Bolcato G 90 7.30 — — — 36 14% — 1 —
Luciano Gómez D 74 6.70 — — 1 23 17% 1 — —
Sheyko Studer D 90 6.50 — — — 21 16% — — —
Leonard Costa D 90 6.90 — 1 — 17 12% — — —
Ezequiel Bonifacio D 74 6.20 — — — 15 12% — 1 —
José Florentín M 90 6.50 — — 1 30 20% 3 — —
Tomas Bottari M 90 6.30 — — — 25 22% 3 — —
S. Villa M 90 6.30 — 1 1 19 15% 1 — —
F. Sartori M 87 7.30 1 — 1 11 5% — 1 —
M. Fernández M 81 6.70 — — 1 18 14% — 1 —
A. Arce F 81 6.90 1 — 2 17 10% — — —
Alejo Osella D 16 6.90 — — — 4 3% 2 — —
Gonzalo Ríos M 9 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Iván Villalba D 9 6.70 — — — 1 — — — —
Juan Manuel Elordi D 16 6.60 — — — 5 2% — — —
Leonel Bucca M 9 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The final score was Fluminense 1–2 Independ. Rivadavia.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Fluminense win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an Independ. Rivadavia win.