Fluminense - Independ. Rivadavia
Copa Libertadores
August 11, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.93%
Win
Fluminense
25.66%
Draw
30.4%
Win
Independ. Rivadavia
2.34
1.59
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.64%)
1X2 Result
✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1
44%
X
26%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
56%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
64%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fluminense a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Independ. Rivadavia. Expected goals are 2.3 for Fluminense and 1.6 for Independ. Rivadavia (total 3.9), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.64% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Independ. Rivadavia.
Season Stats
2W
2D
2L
5W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
2.5
1.2
Conceded
1.0
5.0
Shots OT
5.0
3.2
Corners
3.7
64%
Poss.
38%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
83%
17%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
2W
0D
1L
· at home
3W
0D
0L
· away
2.0
gls/g
3.0
1.3
Conceded
1.3
67%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
67%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Fluminense
Attack
44
Defence
78
Form
59
Independ. Rivadavia
Attack
43
Defence
77
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The model gives Fluminense a 43% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 30% for an Independ. Rivadavia win.
How many goals are expected in Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Expected goals: Fluminense 2.3, Independ. Rivadavia 1.6 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.64%.