Copa Libertadores
· Round of 16
August 12, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Fluminense 35%). The final result was Fluminense 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia. In 3 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Independ. Rivadavia.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
0.70
Actual xG
0.44
4
Saves
3
74%
Possession
26%
7
Corners
6
17
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
17'
L. Costa
Ignacio
45'
R. Castillo
/ A. Canobbio
46'
Hercules
/ L. Acosta
46'
Guilherme Arana
/ Rene
55'
Hulk
/ G. Cano
62'
66'
K. A. Vazquez
/
L. Costa
66'
G. Rios
/
L. Bucca
Nonato
70'
Y. Soteldo
/ J. Savarino
78'
Nonato
/ PH Ganso
78'
79'
A. Osella
/
I. Villalba
79'
A. Vigo
/
M. Salas
89'
D. Crego
/
M. Fernandez
90'+5
S. Moreyra
/
A. Arce
Pre-match prediction
35.61%
Fluminense
28.1%
X ←
36.29%
Independ.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
0.70
-0.72
1.64
0.44
-1.2
xG dominance was balanced (0.70 – 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
13
Guilherme Arana
55'
D
Guilherme Arana
55'
D
3
Thiago Silva
D
Thiago Silva
D
4
Ignacio
D
Ignacio
D
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
16
Nonato
78'
M
Nonato
78'
M
8
Martinelli
M
Martinelli
M
35
Hércules
45'
M
Hércules
45'
M
30
Y. Soteldo
78'
F
Y. Soteldo
78'
F
19
R. Castillo
45'
F
R. Castillo
45'
F
7
Hulk
61'
F
Hulk
61'
F
Bench
17
A. Canobbio
51'
F
A. Canobbio
51'
F
14
G. Cano
35'
F
G. Cano
35'
F
21
Igor Rabello
D
Igor Rabello
D
44
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
11
J. Savarino
18'
F
J. Savarino
18'
F
90
K. Serna
F
K. Serna
F
32
L. Acosta
51'
M
L. Acosta
51'
M
27
Marcelo
G
Marcelo
G
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
10
PH Ganso
18'
M
PH Ganso
18'
M
6
Renê
41'
D
Renê
41'
D
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
1
Nicolás Bolcato
G
Nicolás Bolcato
G
3
J. Elordi
D
J. Elordi
D
42
Sheyko Studer
D
Sheyko Studer
D
40
I. Villalba
78'
D
I. Villalba
78'
D
36
E. Bonifacio
D
E. Bonifacio
D
8
L. Bucca
66'
M
L. Bucca
66'
M
5
T. Bottari
M
T. Bottari
M
2
L. Costa
66'
M
L. Costa
66'
M
10
M. Fernández
89'
M
M. Fernández
89'
M
17
M. Salas
79'
F
M. Salas
79'
F
9
A. Arce
F
A. Arce
F
Bench
13
A. Osella
18'
D
A. Osella
18'
D
28
A. Vigo
17'
D
A. Vigo
17'
D
27
D. Crego
7'
M
D. Crego
7'
M
21
Emmanuel Gómez
G
Emmanuel Gómez
G
43
F. Sartori
F
F. Sartori
F
11
G. Ríos
30'
M
G. Ríos
30'
M
32
K. Vázquez
30'
M
K. Vázquez
30'
M
14
Luciano Gómez
D
Luciano Gómez
D
23
Luis Díaz
F
Luis Díaz
F
19
R. Atencio
F
R. Atencio
F
34
S. Moreyra
1'
M
S. Moreyra
1'
M
7
V. Ramis
F
V. Ramis
F
Best on the pitch
Thiago Silva
D · Fluminense
7.70
· 95 pass
Guga
D · Fluminense
7.70
1 shots
· 65 pass
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.50
1 shots
· 101 pass
Fábio
G · Fluminense
7.30
· 17 pass
L. Acosta
M · Fluminense
7.30
· 25 pass
Sheyko Studer
D · Independ.
7.30
· 12 pass
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 55 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Silva | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 95 | 88% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| Guga | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 53% | 7 | — | — |
| Nonato | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | — | 1 | — |
| Martinelli | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 90% | 4 | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Castillo | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | F | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Cano | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Savarino | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 51 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Renê | D | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Bolcato | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Elordi | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Sheyko Studer | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Villalba | D | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Bonifacio | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bucca | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Bottari | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Costa | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Salas | F | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Arce | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Osella | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Vigo | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Crego | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Ríos | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| K. Vázquez | M | 30 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Moreyra | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The final score was Fluminense 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Fluminense win, 28% to a draw, and 36% to an Independ. Rivadavia win.