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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 23 August 15, 2026 21:30
Fluminense
#4 · 57 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Palmeiras
#2 · 73 pts
Hulk (ast. A. Canobbio) 42'
K. Serna 85'
G. Cano (ast. Martinelli) 90'+2
10' (ast. J. Piquerez) G. Gomez
82' (ast. J. Lopez) Mauricio
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Palmeiras 34%). The final result was Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras. In 3 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Palmeiras.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
7
2.72
Actual xG
1.68
5
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
5
21
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
ast. J. Piquerez · G. Gomez⚽
34'
J. Piquerez
⚽Hulk · ast. A. Canobbio
42'
46'
R. Sosa / Vitor Roque ↕
46'
Arthur Gabriel / J. Piquerez ↕
↕ Igor Rabello / J. Millan
54'
Guga
61'
A. Canobbio
63'
↕ Hulk / G. Cano
69'
↕ PH Ganso / L. Acosta
69'
73'
Arthur Gabriel
73'
E. Martinez / J. Arias ↕
73'
Mauricio / Andreas Pereira ↕
L. Acosta
79'
↕ Hercules / Nonato
79'
↕ Y. Soteldo / K. Serna
79'
80'
Felipe Anderson / R. Sosa ↕
82'
ast. J. Lopez · Mauricio⚽
⚽K. Serna
85'
⚽G. Cano · ast. Martinelli
90'+2
90'+5
G. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
34.91%
Fluminense ←
30.68%
X
34.41%
Palmeiras
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense) 34.91% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fluminense
0.98
2.72
+1.74
Palmeiras
0.98
1.68
+0.7
Fluminense dominated by xG (2.72 vs 1.68). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 34 57
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos Santos 34 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 34 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 37
19 Remo Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 21
Lineups
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1 Fábio Fábio G 7.20
6 Renê Renê D 6.20
44 Jemmes Jemmes D 6.60
21 Igor Rabello Igor Rabello 54' D 7.50
23 Guga Guga D 7.70
8 Martinelli Martinelli 1 👟 M 6.60
35 Hércules Hércules 79' M 6.90
30 Yeferson Soteldo Yeferson Soteldo 79' M 6.30
10 Ganso Ganso 69' M 7.50
17 Agustín Canobbio Agustín Canobbio 1 👟 M 7.30
7 Hulk Hulk 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.70
Bench
14 Germán Cano Germán Cano 1 ⚽ 21' F 6.60
11 Jefferson Savarino Jefferson Savarino F
29 J. Millán J. Millán 36' D 6.20
46 Julio Fidelis Julio Fidelis D
90 Kevin Serna Kevin Serna 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.20
32 Luciano Acosta Luciano Acosta 21' M 6.20
16 Nonato Nonato 11' M 6.30
94 Otávio Otávio M
19 Rodrigo Castillo Rodrigo Castillo F
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D
3 Thiago Silva Thiago Silva D
98 Vitor Eudes Vitor Eudes G
Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-4-2
1 Carlos Miguel Carlos Miguel G 7.00
22 J. Piquerez J. Piquerez 1 👟 45' D 6.20
15 G. Gomez G. Gomez 1 ⚽ D 7.20
26 Murilo Murilo D 6.30
4 A. Giay A. Giay D 6.30
11 J. Arias J. Arias 73' M 6.00
17 Marlon Freitas Marlon Freitas M 6.60
8 Andreas Pereira Andreas Pereira 73' M 7.20
40 Allan Allan M 6.60
9 Vitor Roque Vitor Roque 45' F 5.90
42 J. Lopez J. Lopez 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
56 Arthur Gabriel Arthur Gabriel 45' D 6.50
43 Benedetti Benedetti D
3 Bruno Fuchs Bruno Fuchs D
32 E. Martinez E. Martinez 17' M 6.70
7 Felipe Anderson Felipe Anderson 10' M 6.50
39 Heittor Heittor F
21 Kaique Kaique G
30 Lucas Evangelista Lucas Evangelista M
50 Luis Pacheco Luis Pacheco M
14 Marcelo Lomba Marcelo Lomba G
18 Mauricio Mauricio 1 ⚽ 17' M 7.20
19 R. Sosa R. Sosa 35' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Guga
Guga
D · Fluminense
7.70
· 54 pass
J. Lopez
J. Lopez
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 24 pass
Hulk
Hulk
F · Fluminense
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
Igor Rabello
Igor Rabello
D · Fluminense
7.50
· 33 pass
Ganso
Ganso
M · Fluminense
7.50
1 shots · 52 pass
Agustín Canobbio
Agustín Canobbio
M · Fluminense
7.30
1 👟
3 shots · 33 pass
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 90 7.20 — — — 15 13% — — —
Renê D 90 6.20 — — — 57 48% 3 — —
Jemmes D 90 6.60 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
Igor Rabello D 54 7.50 — — — 33 32% 4 — —
Guga D 90 7.70 — — — 54 45% 7 1 —
Martinelli M 90 6.60 — 1 1 51 47% — 1 —
Hércules M 79 6.90 — — 1 41 39% 1 — —
Yeferson Soteldo M 79 6.30 — — 2 31 29% — — —
Ganso M 69 7.50 — — 1 52 48% 3 — —
Agustín Canobbio M 90 7.30 — 1 3 33 28% 2 1 —
Hulk F 69 7.70 1 — 2 24 19% — — —
Germán Cano F 21 6.60 1 — 3 6 5% — — —
J. Millán D 36 6.20 — — — 24 18% — — —
Kevin Serna F 11 7.20 1 — 1 7 7% — — —
Luciano Acosta M 21 6.20 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
Nonato M 11 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Palmeiras Palmeiras — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Carlos Miguel G 90 7.00 — — — 22 16% — — —
J. Piquerez D 45 6.20 — 1 — 15 13% 2 1 —
G. Gomez D 90 7.20 1 — 2 30 22% 2 1 —
Murilo D 90 6.30 — — 1 26 18% 2 — —
A. Giay D 90 6.30 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
J. Arias M 73 6.00 — — 2 13 12% 3 — —
Marlon Freitas M 90 6.60 — — — 56 50% — — —
Andreas Pereira M 73 7.20 — — — 33 31% — — —
Allan M 90 6.60 — — 2 24 18% 2 — —
Vitor Roque F 45 5.90 — — 1 7 6% — — —
J. Lopez F 90 7.70 — 1 2 24 19% 2 — —
Arthur Gabriel D 45 6.50 — — — 12 10% 3 1 —
E. Martinez M 17 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Felipe Anderson M 10 6.50 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Mauricio M 17 7.20 1 — 1 7 6% — — —
R. Sosa F 35 6.90 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Fluminense win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Palmeiras win.