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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 23 August 15, 2026 21:30
Fluminense
#4 · 45 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Palmeiras
#1 · 56 pts
Hulk (ast. A. Canobbio) 42'
K. Serna 85'
G. Cano (ast. Martinelli) 90'+2
10' (ast. J. Piquerez) G. Gomez
82' (ast. J. Lopez) Mauricio
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Palmeiras 34%). The final result was Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras. In 1 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
7
2.72
Actual xG
1.68
5
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
5
21
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
ast. J. Piquerez · G. Gomez⚽
34'
J. Piquerez
⚽Hulk · ast. A. Canobbio
42'
46'
R. Sosa / Vitor Roque ↕
46'
Arthur Gabriel / J. Piquerez ↕
↕ Igor Rabello / J. Millan
54'
Guga
61'
A. Canobbio
63'
↕ Hulk / G. Cano
69'
↕ PH Ganso / L. Acosta
69'
73'
Arthur Gabriel
73'
E. Martinez / J. Arias ↕
73'
Mauricio / Andreas Pereira ↕
L. Acosta
79'
↕ Hercules / Nonato
79'
↕ Y. Soteldo / K. Serna
79'
80'
Felipe Anderson / R. Sosa ↕
82'
ast. J. Lopez · Mauricio⚽
⚽K. Serna
85'
⚽G. Cano · ast. Martinelli
90'+2
90'+5
G. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
34.91%
Fluminense ←
30.68%
X
34.41%
Palmeiras
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense) 34.91% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fluminense
0.98
2.72
+1.74
Palmeiras
0.98
1.68
+0.7
Fluminense dominated by xG (2.72 vs 1.68). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 27 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 36
10 Santos Santos 26 35
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
12 Vitoria Vitoria 27 33
13 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 26 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 27 29
16 Gremio Gremio 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1 Fábio Fábio G 7.20
6 Renê Renê D 6.20
44 Jemmes Jemmes D 6.60
21 Igor Rabello Igor Rabello 54' D 7.50
23 Guga Guga D 7.70
8 Martinelli Martinelli 1 👟 M 6.60
35 Hércules Hércules 79' M 6.90
30 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 79' M 6.30
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso 69' M 7.50
17 A. Canobbio A. Canobbio 1 👟 M 7.30
7 Hulk Hulk 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.70
Bench
14 G. Cano G. Cano 1 ⚽ 21' F 6.60
29 J. Millán J. Millán 36' D 6.20
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino F
46 Julio Fidelis Julio Fidelis D
90 K. Serna K. Serna 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.20
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta 21' M 6.20
16 Nonato Nonato 11' M 6.30
94 Otávio Otávio M
19 R. Castillo R. Castillo F
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D
3 Thiago Silva Thiago Silva D
98 Vitor Eudes Vitor Eudes G
Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-4-2
1 Carlos Miguel Carlos Miguel G 7.00
22 J. Piquerez J. Piquerez 1 👟 45' D 6.20
15 G. Gómez G. Gómez 1 ⚽ D 7.20
26 Murilo Murilo D 6.30
4 A. Giay A. Giay D 6.30
11 J. Arias J. Arias 73' M 6.00
17 Marlon Freitas Marlon Freitas M 6.60
8 Andreas Pereira Andreas Pereira 73' M 7.20
40 Allan Allan M 6.60
9 Vitor Roque Vitor Roque 45' F 5.90
42 J. López J. López 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
56 Arthur Arthur 45' D 6.50
43 Benedetti Benedetti D
3 Bruno Fuchs Bruno Fuchs D
32 E. Martínez E. Martínez 17' M 6.70
7 Felipe Anderson Felipe Anderson 10' M 6.50
39 Heittor Heittor F
21 Kaique Kaique G
30 Lucas Evangelista Lucas Evangelista M
50 Luis Felipe Luis Felipe M
14 Marcelo Lomba Marcelo Lomba G
18 Maurício Maurício 1 ⚽ 17' M 7.20
19 R. Sosa R. Sosa 35' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Guga
Guga
D · Fluminense
7.70
· 54 pass
J. López
J. López
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 24 pass
Hulk
Hulk
F · Fluminense
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
Igor Rabello
Igor Rabello
D · Fluminense
7.50
· 33 pass
PH Ganso
PH Ganso
M · Fluminense
7.50
1 shots · 52 pass
A. Canobbio
A. Canobbio
M · Fluminense
7.30
1 👟
3 shots · 33 pass
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 90 7.20 — — — 15 13% — — —
Renê D 90 6.20 — — — 57 48% 3 — —
Jemmes D 90 6.60 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
Igor Rabello D 54 7.50 — — — 33 32% 4 — —
Guga D 90 7.70 — — — 54 45% 7 1 —
Martinelli M 90 6.60 — 1 1 51 47% — 1 —
Hércules M 79 6.90 — — 1 41 39% 1 — —
Y. Soteldo M 79 6.30 — — 2 31 29% — — —
PH Ganso M 69 7.50 — — 1 52 48% 3 — —
A. Canobbio M 90 7.30 — 1 3 33 28% 2 1 —
Hulk F 69 7.70 1 — 2 24 19% — — —
G. Cano F 21 6.60 1 — 3 6 5% — — —
J. Millán D 36 6.20 — — — 24 18% — — —
K. Serna F 11 7.20 1 — 1 7 7% — — —
L. Acosta M 21 6.20 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
Nonato M 11 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Palmeiras Palmeiras — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Carlos Miguel G 90 7.00 — — — 22 16% — — —
J. Piquerez D 45 6.20 — 1 — 15 13% 2 1 —
G. Gómez D 90 7.20 1 — 2 30 22% 2 1 —
Murilo D 90 6.30 — — 1 26 18% 2 — —
A. Giay D 90 6.30 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
J. Arias M 73 6.00 — — 2 13 12% 3 — —
Marlon Freitas M 90 6.60 — — — 56 50% — — —
Andreas Pereira M 73 7.20 — — — 33 31% — — —
Allan M 90 6.60 — — 2 24 18% 2 — —
Vitor Roque F 45 5.90 — — 1 7 6% — — —
J. López F 90 7.70 — 1 2 24 19% 2 — —
Arthur D 45 6.50 — — — 12 10% 3 1 —
E. Martínez M 17 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Felipe Anderson M 10 6.50 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Maurício M 17 7.20 1 — 1 7 6% — — —
R. Sosa F 35 6.90 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Fluminense win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Palmeiras win.