Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado
(ast. Claudio Rodrigues Gomes)
90'+3
45'
(ast. Joaquín Piquerez)
José Manuel López
85'
(ast. Felipe Anderson)
Marlon Freitas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Fluminense 31%). The final result was Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras. In 3 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
0.52
Actual xG
1.19
3
Saves
2
70%
Possession
30%
6
Corners
0
14
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
45'
ast. Joaquín Piquerez ·
José Manuel López⚽
Matheus Martinelli Lima
/ Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
45'
49'
Alexander Barboza
Agustín Canobbio
/ Kevin Serna
63'
74'
Maurício Magalhães Prado
/
Andreas Pereira
74'
Ramon Sosa
/
José Manuel López
74'
Felipe Anderson
/
Jhon Arias
Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
/ Luciano Acosta
78'
Hulk
/ Rodrigo Castillo
78'
Jefferson David Savarino Quintero
/ Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado
84'
85'
ast. Felipe Anderson ·
Marlon Freitas⚽
⚽Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado
· ast. Claudio Rodrigues Gomes
90'+3
90'+6
Agustin Giay
90'+6
Maurício Magalhães Prado
Gustavo Nonato Santana
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
31.73%
Fluminense
31.23%
X
37.04%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
37.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
0.52
-0.33
0.96
1.19
+0.23
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
29
J. Millán
D
J. Millán
D
3
Thiago Silva
D
Thiago Silva
D
23
Guga
1 👟
D
Guga
1 👟
D
8
Martinelli
45'
M
Martinelli
45'
M
16
Nonato
M
Nonato
M
11
J. Savarino
84'
M
J. Savarino
84'
M
10
PH Ganso
78'
M
PH Ganso
78'
M
17
A. Canobbio
63'
M
A. Canobbio
63'
M
7
Hulk
78'
F
Hulk
78'
F
Bench
35
Hércules
45'
M
Hércules
45'
M
21
Igor Rabello
D
Igor Rabello
D
44
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
90
K. Serna
27'
F
K. Serna
27'
F
32
L. Acosta
12'
M
L. Acosta
12'
M
27
Marcelo
G
Marcelo
G
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
19
R. Castillo
12'
F
R. Castillo
12'
F
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
34
Wesley Nata
1 ⚽
6'
F
Wesley Nata
1 ⚽
6'
F
30
Y. Soteldo
F
Y. Soteldo
F
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
2
A. Barboza
D
A. Barboza
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
22
J. Piquerez
1 👟
M
J. Piquerez
1 👟
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
M
Lucas Evangelista
M
17
Marlon Freitas
1 ⚽
M
Marlon Freitas
1 ⚽
M
4
A. Giay
M
A. Giay
M
8
Andreas Pereira
74'
M
Andreas Pereira
74'
M
11
J. Arias
74'
M
J. Arias
74'
M
42
J. López
1 ⚽
74'
F
J. López
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
56
Arthur
D
Arthur
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
7
Felipe Anderson
1 👟
16'
M
Felipe Anderson
1 👟
16'
M
39
Heittor
F
Heittor
F
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
16'
M
Maurício
16'
M
10
Paulinho
F
Paulinho
F
19
R. Sosa
16'
F
R. Sosa
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 52 pass
J. López
F · Palmeiras
7.68
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Wesley Nata
F · Fluminense
7.26
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
J. Piquerez
M · Palmeiras
7.23
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
PH Ganso
M · Fluminense
6.97
· 86 pass
Lucas Evangelista
M · Palmeiras
6.95
· 43 pass
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 90 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Millán | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 100 | 88% | 4 | — | — |
| Thiago Silva | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 117 | 111% | 1 | — | — |
| Guga | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | 1 | 0 | 103 | 96% | 1 | — | — |
| Martinelli | M | 45 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Nonato | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 108 | 97% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Savarino | M | 84 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 78 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 86 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 63 | 5.94 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 78 | 6.40 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 45 | 6.16 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Serna | F | 27 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 12 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Castillo | F | 12 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Wesley Nata | F | 6 | 7.26 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Piquerez | M | 90 | 7.23 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 52 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Giay | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 74 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 74 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 74 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 16 | 6.52 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 16 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Sosa | F | 16 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Fluminense win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Palmeiras win.