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Platense - Fluminense

Copa Libertadores September 16, 2026 00:00
Platense
#2 · 10 pts
vs
Fluminense
#2 · 8 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.99%
Win
Platense
33.18%
Draw
37.84%
Win
Fluminense
0.72
Expected xG
0.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (17.05%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 33%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 71%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 58%
Over 2.5 27%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fluminense a 37% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Platense. Expected goals are 0.7 for Platense and 0.9 for Fluminense (total 1.6), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 17.05% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Platense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.

Season Stats

Platense
3W 3D 3L
Fluminense
3W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
0.9
3.7
Shots OT
4.1
4.4
Corners
3.4
48%
Poss.
65%
Percentages
89%
O 1.5
78%
33%
O 2.5
33%
56%
BTTS
56%
22%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Platense
1W 2D 1L · at home
Fluminense
0W 3D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.5
1.2
Conceded
1.0
25%
Win %
0%
75%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
75%
25%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
25%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Platense Fluminense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.3% 17.8% 8.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.9% 12.9% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% —
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% — —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Platense Platense
L Fluminense 2–0
D Coquimbo Unido 0–0
D Coquimbo Unido 1–1
W Corinthians 0–2
L Santa Fe 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Fluminense Fluminense
W Platense 2–0
D Independ. Rivadavia 1–1
D Independ. Rivadavia 0–0
W Deportivo La Guaira 3–1
W Bolívar 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Platense Platense
Attack
23
Defence
63
Form
44
Fluminense Fluminense
Attack
36
Defence
67
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Platense
0
Draw
1
Fluminense
9 Sep 2026 Copa Libertadores 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Platense vs Fluminense?
The model gives Platense a 28% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 37% for an Fluminense win.
How many goals are expected in Platense vs Fluminense?
Expected goals: Platense 0.7, Fluminense 0.9 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Platense vs Fluminense?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.05%.