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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 31 October 18, 2026 21:00 Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Fluminense
#5 · 51 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Santos
#8 · 45 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Fluminense, result Santos wins
Rodrigo Castillo (ast. Igor Rabello) 4'
49' (ast. Rodinei) Gabriel Barbosa
54' (ast. Gabriel Bontempo) Philippe Coutinho
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 54% win probability (draw 19%, Santos 26%). The final result was Fluminense 1–2 Santos. In 1 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Santos.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
17
2
Shots on target
5
0.99
Actual xG
2.26
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
5
25
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Rodrigo Castillo · ast. Igor Rabello
4'
25'
Álvaro Barreal
Agustín Canobbio
31'
49'
ast. Rodinei · Gabriel Barbosa⚽
54'
ast. Gabriel Bontempo · Philippe Coutinho⚽
↕ Rodrigo Castillo / Hulk
57'
↕ Yeferson Soteldo / Jefferson David Savarino Quintero
57'
↕ Luciano Acosta / Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
57'
↕ Agustín Canobbio / Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado
57'
72'
Rony / Philippe Coutinho ↕
72'
Christian Oliva / Everton ↕
↕ Gustavo Nonato Santana / Kevin Serna
76'
83'
João Alencar Santos Paes da Costa / Lucas Veríssimo ↕
87'
Rafael Gonzaga / Álvaro Barreal ↕
87'
Benjamín Rollheiser / Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior ↕
Jefferson David Savarino Quintero
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
54.29%
Fluminense
19.17%
X
26.55%
Santos ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Santos) 26.55% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fluminense
2.86
0.99
-1.87
Santos
1.88
2.26
+0.38
Santos dominated by xG (2.26 vs 0.99). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 31 67
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 31 66
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 31 53
4 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 31 51
5 Fluminense Fluminense 31 51
6 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 31 50
7 Bahia Bahia 31 49
8 Santos Santos 31 45
9 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 31 42
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 31 41
11 Botafogo Botafogo 31 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 31 39
13 Vitoria Vitoria 31 37
14 Mirassol Mirassol 31 36
15 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 30 35
16 Corinthians Corinthians 31 33
17 Internacional Internacional 31 32
18 Gremio Gremio 31 31
19 Remo Remo 31 26
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 30 18
Lineups
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1 Fábio Fábio G 6.22
6 Renê Renê D 6.15
21 Igor Rabello Igor Rabello 1 👟 D 7.20
4 Ignacio Ignacio D 6.41
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D 6.52
16 Nonato Nonato 76' M 6.72
35 Hércules Hércules M 7.12
30 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 57' M 6.62
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta 57' M 5.86
17 A. Canobbio A. Canobbio 57' M 5.81
19 R. Castillo R. Castillo 1 ⚽ 57' F 7.52
Bench
23 Guga Guga D 0.00
7 Hulk Hulk 33' F 6.43
22 J. Freytes J. Freytes D 0.00
29 J. Millán J. Millán D 0.00
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 33' F 6.34
90 K. Serna K. Serna 14' F 6.86
27 Marcelo Marcelo G 0.00
94 Otávio Otávio M 0.00
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso 33' M 6.11
3 Thiago Silva Thiago Silva D 0.00
34 Wesley Nata Wesley Nata 33' F 6.34
Santos Santos 4-2-3-1
1 Diógenes Diógenes G 6.77
22 Á. Barreal Á. Barreal 87' D 6.50
14 Luan Peres Luan Peres D 6.66
4 Lucas Veríssimo Lucas Veríssimo 83' D 6.77
23 Rodinei Rodinei 1 👟 D 7.01
48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira Gustavo Henrique Pereira M 6.61
8 Gabriel Bontempo Gabriel Bontempo 1 👟 M 7.70
7 Everton Everton 72' M 6.70
10 Neymar Neymar 87' M 6.12
11 Philippe Coutinho Philippe Coutinho 1 ⚽ 72' M 8.02
9 Gabriel Barbosa Gabriel Barbosa 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
32 B. Rollheiser B. Rollheiser 3' F 6.50
28 C. Oliva C. Oliva 18' M 6.41
25 Gabriel Menino Gabriel Menino M 0.00
18 Igor Vinicius Igor Vinicius D 0.00
42 João Alencar João Alencar 7' D 6.28
34 João Paulo João Paulo G 0.00
26 João Paulo Ananias João Paulo Ananias D 0.00
5 João Schmidt João Schmidt M 0.00
30 M. Terceros M. Terceros M 0.00
38 Rafael Gonzaga Rafael Gonzaga 3' D 6.14
33 Rony Rony 18' F 6.89
16 Thaciano Thaciano M 0.00
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Barbosa
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 44 pass
Philippe Coutinho
Philippe Coutinho
M · Santos
8.02
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
Gabriel Bontempo
Gabriel Bontempo
M · Santos
7.70
1 👟
· 60 pass
R. Castillo
R. Castillo
F · Fluminense
7.52
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
Igor Rabello
Igor Rabello
D · Fluminense
7.20
1 👟
· 46 pass
Hércules
Hércules
M · Fluminense
7.12
· 56 pass
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 90 6.22 — — 0 19 18% 0 — —
Renê D 90 6.15 — — 0 66 55% 0 — —
Igor Rabello D 90 7.20 — 1 0 46 41% 2 — —
Ignacio D 90 6.41 — — 0 63 53% 4 — —
Samuel Xavier D 90 6.52 — — 2 51 43% 4 — —
Nonato M 76 6.72 — — 0 61 57% 4 — —
Hércules M 90 7.12 — — 0 56 52% 5 — —
Y. Soteldo M 57 6.62 — — 0 21 18% 0 — —
L. Acosta M 57 5.86 — — 0 22 16% 1 — —
A. Canobbio M 57 5.81 — — 2 14 12% 3 1 —
R. Castillo F 57 7.52 1 — 1 13 10% 0 — —
Hulk F 33 6.43 — — 2 12 9% 1 — —
J. Savarino F 33 6.34 — — 1 23 20% 0 1 —
K. Serna F 14 6.86 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
PH Ganso M 33 6.11 — — 0 36 32% 0 — —
Wesley Nata F 33 6.34 — — 0 9 9% 1 — —
Santos Santos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diógenes G 90 6.77 — — 0 21 16% 0 — —
Á. Barreal D 87 6.50 — — 1 47 42% 3 1 —
Luan Peres D 90 6.66 — — 0 56 49% 0 — —
Lucas Veríssimo D 83 6.77 — — 0 45 42% 1 — —
Rodinei D 90 7.01 — 1 0 34 29% 2 — —
Gustavo Henrique Pereira M 90 6.61 — — 0 53 49% 5 — —
Gabriel Bontempo M 90 7.70 — 1 0 60 58% 0 — —
Everton M 72 6.70 — — 4 32 31% 3 — —
Neymar M 87 6.12 — — 3 58 44% 0 — —
Philippe Coutinho M 72 8.02 1 — 1 39 38% 1 — —
Gabriel Barbosa F 90 8.20 1 — 4 44 39% 0 — —
B. Rollheiser F 3 6.50 — — 2 5 5% 1 — —
C. Oliva M 18 6.41 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
João Alencar D 7 6.28 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Rafael Gonzaga D 3 6.14 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Rony F 18 6.89 — — 1 12 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Santos?
The final score was Fluminense 1–2 Santos.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Santos?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Fluminense win, 19% to a draw, and 26% to an Santos win.