Fluminense - Vasco DA Gama
Copa do Brasil
August 06, 2026 02:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.85%
Win
Fluminense
24.72%
Draw
19.43%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
1.89
0.89
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Fluminense
55.85%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.48%)
1X2 Result
1
56%
X
25%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
81%
X2
44%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
75%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fluminense a 55% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Vasco DA Gama. Expected goals are 1.9 for Fluminense and 0.9 for Vasco DA Gama (total 2.8), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.48% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Season Stats
8W
2D
2L
5W
7D
2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.4
0.7
Conceded
0.8
5.9
Shots OT
5.5
6.1
Corners
4.9
54%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
79%
50%
O 2.5
43%
50%
BTTS
57%
42%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
33%
BTTS
4W
1D
0L
· at home
3W
4D
1L
· away
1.4
gls/g
1.2
0.4
Conceded
0.4
80%
Win %
38%
100%
Win or Draw
88%
60%
O 1.5
63%
20%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
25%
60%
Clean Sht
63%
0%
Failed to Score
38%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 11.7% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Fluminense
Attack
44
Defence
81
Form
62
Vasco DA Gama
Attack
38
Defence
65
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model gives Fluminense a 55% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 19% for an Vasco DA Gama win.
How many goals are expected in Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Expected goals: Fluminense 1.9, Vasco DA Gama 0.9 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.48%.