Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 26
September 06, 2026 02:00
✓Model correct — prediction Fluminense
Luciano Acosta
(ast. Yeferson Soteldo)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Vasco DA Gama 18%). The final result was Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. In 5 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
4
4
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
6
20
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
9'
Andrés Gómez
Juan Pablo Freytes
21'
21'
Daniel Fuzato
40'
Paulo Henrique
Ignácio da Silva Oliveira
45'+5
Hulk
45'+6
Yeferson Soteldo
45'+6
54'
Facundo Colidio
Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
/ Luciano Acosta
58'
60'
Adson
/
Bruno Duarte Da Silva
⚽Luciano Acosta
· ast. Yeferson Soteldo
61'
Yeferson Soteldo
/ Kevin Serna
74'
74'
Claudio Spinelli
/
Tchê Tchê
74'
Jose Luis Rodriguez
/
Paulo Henrique
84'
Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros
/
Carlos Cuesta
84'
Marino Hinestroza
/
Adson
Hulk
/ Guilherme Arana
85'
Claudio Rodrigues Gomes
/ Julio César Lima Fidelis
85'
Pre-match prediction
56.49%
Fluminense ←
24.67%
X
18.85%
Vasco
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense)
56.49%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
—
—
0.67
—
—
Lineups
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
29
J. Millán
D
J. Millán
D
4
Ignacio
D
Ignacio
D
23
Guga
85'
D
Guga
85'
D
8
Martinelli
M
Martinelli
M
16
Nonato
M
Nonato
M
30
Y. Soteldo
1 👟
74'
M
Y. Soteldo
1 👟
74'
M
10
PH Ganso
58'
M
PH Ganso
58'
M
17
A. Canobbio
M
A. Canobbio
M
7
Hulk
85'
F
Hulk
85'
F
Bench
14
G. Cano
F
G. Cano
F
13
Guilherme Arana
5'
D
Guilherme Arana
5'
D
21
Igor Rabello
D
Igor Rabello
D
22
J. Freytes
D
J. Freytes
D
11
J. Savarino
F
J. Savarino
F
46
Julio Fidelis
5'
D
Julio Fidelis
5'
D
90
K. Serna
16'
F
K. Serna
16'
F
32
L. Acosta
1 ⚽
32'
M
L. Acosta
1 ⚽
32'
M
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
19
R. Castillo
F
R. Castillo
F
28
Riquelme
F
Riquelme
F
98
Vitor Eudes
G
Vitor Eudes
G
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
84'
D
C. Cuesta
84'
D
96
Paulo Henrique
74'
D
Paulo Henrique
74'
D
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
5
S. Sosa
M
S. Sosa
M
3
Tchê Tchê
74'
M
Tchê Tchê
74'
M
11
A. Gómez
F
A. Gómez
F
19
Bruno Duarte
60'
F
Bruno Duarte
60'
F
9
F. Colidio
F
F. Colidio
F
Bench
28
Adson
24'
F
Adson
24'
F
82
Avellar
D
Avellar
D
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
77
C. Spinelli
16'
F
C. Spinelli
16'
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
F
David
F
2
J. Rodríguez
16'
D
J. Rodríguez
16'
D
10
J. Rojas
F
J. Rojas
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
18
M. Hinestroza
6'
F
M. Hinestroza
6'
F
17
Nuno Moreira
M
Nuno Moreira
M
83
Ramon Rique
6'
M
Ramon Rique
6'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Acosta
M · Fluminense
8.01
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Fábio
G · Fluminense
7.29
· 21 pass
Lucas Piton
D · Vasco
7.20
3 shots
· 38 pass
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.20
· 62 pass
Thiago Mendes
M · Vasco
7.17
2 shots
· 66 pass
S. Sosa
M · Vasco
7.05
1 shots
· 83 pass
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 90 | 7.29 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Renê | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Millán | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| Ignacio | D | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Guga | D | 85 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Martinelli | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 53% | 4 | — | — |
| Nonato | M | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | M | 74 | 7.04 | — | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 85 | 6.28 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 5 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Julio Fidelis | D | 5 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Serna | F | 16 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 32 | 8.01 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 84 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 74 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 62% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Sosa | M | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 76% | 3 | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 74 | 6.64 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | F | 90 | 5.72 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Duarte | F | 60 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Colidio | F | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adson | F | 24 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 16 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 16 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 6 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 6 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Fluminense win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Vasco DA Gama win.