Skip to main content
← NM Cupen

Follo - Sarpsborg 08 FF

NM Cupen September 30, 2026 18:00
Follo
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.7%
Win
Follo
32.6%
Draw
33.69%
Win
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.59
Expected xG
1.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.13%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ 93.3% hit rate (15 picks)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Follo a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Expected goals are 1.6 for Follo and 1.6 for Sarpsborg 08 FF (total 3.2), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.13% probability.

Season Stats

Follo
2W 0D 1L
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
2.3
1.7
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in NM Cupen. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Follo
1W 0D 1L · at home
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1W 1D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
2.3
2.0
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
33%
50%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Follo Sarpsborg 08 FF →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.4% 10.4% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Follo Follo
W Råde 1–2
L Lyn 0–2
W Notodden 6–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
W Sparta Sarpsborg 0–2
L Fredrikstad 2–1
D Kjelsås 4–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Follo Follo
Attack
28
Defence
60
Form
51
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Attack
40
Defence
61
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The model gives Follo a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Sarpsborg 08 FF win.
How many goals are expected in Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Expected goals: Follo 1.6, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.6 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.13%.