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Førde - Aalesund

NM Cupen September 16, 2026 17:00
Førde
vs
Aalesund
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.87%
Win
Førde
32.1%
Draw
33.03%
Win
Aalesund
4.5
Expected xG
3.36

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.28%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ 93.3% hit rate (15 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Førde a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Aalesund. Expected goals are 4.5 for Førde and 3.4 for Aalesund (total 7.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.28% probability.

Season Stats

Førde
1W 0D 1L
Aalesund
6W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
4.0
2.0
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
86%
0%
Clean Sht
14%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in NM Cupen. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
43%
BTTS
Førde
0W 0D 1L · at home
Aalesund
6W 0D 1L · away
0.0
gls/g
4.0
2.0
Conceded
1.1
0%
Win %
86%
0%
Win or Draw
86%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
57%
0%
BTTS
86%
0%
Clean Sht
14%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Førde Aalesund →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
2 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.7% 3.1% 2.1%
4 0.7% 2.2% 3.7% 4.2% 3.5% 2.3%
5 0.6% 2.0% 3.4% 3.8% 3.1% 2.1%

Recent form

Førde Førde
W Floro 2–4
L hodd 0–2
Aalesund Aalesund
W Langevag 0–13
L Brann 2–1
W Viking 1–2
W Egersund 2–3
W Lysekloster 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Førde Førde
Attack
75
Defence
41
Form
56
Aalesund Aalesund
Attack
57
Defence
48
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Førde vs Aalesund?
The model gives Førde a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Aalesund win.
How many goals are expected in Førde vs Aalesund?
Expected goals: Førde 4.5, Aalesund 3.4 (total 7.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Førde vs Aalesund?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.28%.