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Forge - Atlético Ottawa

Canadian Premier League September 13, 2026 01:00
Forge
#2 · 42 pts
vs
Atlético Ottawa
#3 · 34 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.19%
Win
Forge
30.65%
Draw
30.16%
Win
Atlético Ottawa
0.95
Expected xG
0.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.96%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance ✓ 94.7% hit rate (19 picks)
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Forge a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Ottawa. Expected goals are 0.9 for Forge and 0.9 for Atlético Ottawa (total 1.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.96% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Forge have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atlético Ottawa.

Season Stats

Forge
9W 2D 4L
Atlético Ottawa
8W 3D 4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.9
0.9
Conceded
1.6
5.0
Shots OT
3.4
6.7
Corners
3.0
52%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
93%
47%
O 2.5
87%
53%
BTTS
80%
33%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Canadian Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Forge
7W 2D 1L · at home
Atlético Ottawa
3W 1D 6L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.3
0.6
Conceded
2.1
70%
Win %
30%
90%
Win or Draw
40%
50%
O 1.5
90%
20%
O 2.5
80%
20%
O 3.5
60%
30%
BTTS
80%
60%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Forge Atlético Ottawa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.2% 14.2% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.2% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 2.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Forge Forge
D York United 1–1
L Supra du Quebec 1–0
W Pacific FC 2–0
W Supra du Quebec 3–2
L Cavalry FC 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
D Pacific FC 0–0
W York United 2–1
L Cavalry FC 3–1
W Vancouver FC 4–0
W Supra du Quebec 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Forge Forge
Attack
31
Defence
74
Form
54
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
Attack
44
Defence
61
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Forge
0
Draw
1
Atlético Ottawa
24 May 2026 Canadian Premier League 1–2
4 Apr 2026 Canadian Premier League 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 20 46
2 Forge Forge 20 42
3 Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 21 34
4 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 21 30
5 Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 20 22
6 HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 21 20
7 York United York United 19 20
8 Pacific FC Pacific FC 20 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?
The model gives Forge a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Atlético Ottawa win.
How many goals are expected in Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?
Expected goals: Forge 0.9, Atlético Ottawa 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.96%.