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Forge - Pacific FC

Canadian Premier League October 08, 2026 01:00
Forge
#2 · 42 pts
vs
Pacific FC
#8 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
75.8%
Win
Forge
12.54%
Draw
11.65%
Win
Pacific FC
4.07
Expected xG
0.88
Most likely outcome
Forge
75.8%
Probability
52.6%
1X2 accuracy · 19 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–0 (8.28%)
1X2 Result
1 76%
X 13%
2 12%
Double Chance ✓ 94.7% hit rate (19 picks)
1X 88%
X2 24%
12 88%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Forge a 75% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 11% for Pacific FC. Expected goals are 4.1 for Forge and 0.9 for Pacific FC (total 5.0), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 8.28% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Forge have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pacific FC.

Season Stats

Forge
9W 2D 4L
Pacific FC
1W 6D 8L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
2.1
5.0
Shots OT
5.6
6.7
Corners
2.8
52%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
87%
47%
O 2.5
60%
53%
BTTS
73%
33%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Canadian Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Forge
7W 2D 1L · at home
Pacific FC
0W 5D 5L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.2
0.6
Conceded
2.2
70%
Win %
0%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
90%
20%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
40%
30%
BTTS
70%
60%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Forge Pacific FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
1 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —
2 5.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 7.9% 7.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 8.1% 7.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
5 6.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% —

Recent form

Forge Forge
D York United 1–1
L Supra du Quebec 1–0
W Pacific FC 2–0
W Supra du Quebec 3–2
L Cavalry FC 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Pacific FC Pacific FC
D York United 3–3
D Atlético Ottawa 0–0
W HFX Wanderers FC 4–3
L Forge 2–0
D Vancouver FC 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Forge Forge
Attack
31
Defence
74
Form
54
Pacific FC Pacific FC
Attack
41
Defence
53
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Forge
0
Draw
0
Pacific FC
23 Aug 2026 Canadian Premier League 2–0
27 Apr 2026 Canadian Premier League 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 20 46
2 Forge Forge 20 42
3 Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 21 34
4 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 21 30
5 Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 20 22
6 HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 21 20
7 York United York United 19 20
8 Pacific FC Pacific FC 20 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Forge vs Pacific FC?
The model gives Forge a 75% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 11% for an Pacific FC win.
How many goals are expected in Forge vs Pacific FC?
Expected goals: Forge 4.1, Pacific FC 0.9 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Forge vs Pacific FC?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.28%.