Fortaleza EC - America Mineiro
Brasileirão Série B
June 17, 2026 01:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.51%
Win
Fortaleza EC
26.52%
Draw
22.98%
Win
America Mineiro
1.61
0.89
Expected xG
Most likely result
1–0
(13.2%)
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
46%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fortaleza EC a 50% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 22% for America Mineiro. Expected goals are 1.6 for Fortaleza EC and 0.9 for America Mineiro (total 2.5), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.2% probability.
Season Stats
6W
3D
3L
0W
3D
9L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.6
0.9
Conceded
2.0
4.2
Shots OT
4.6
4.7
Corners
5.9
44%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
58%
50%
Clean Sht
8%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in Brasileirão Série B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
82%
O 1.5
65%
O 2.5
37%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
4W
1D
0L
· at home
0W
2D
4L
· away
2.4
gls/g
0.5
0.8
Conceded
2.2
80%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
80%
O 1.5
83%
80%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
33%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 13.2% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Fortaleza EC
Attack
35
Defence
68
Form
64
America Mineiro
Attack
31
Defence
55
Form
23
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vila Nova
|
12 | 25 |
| 2 |
São Bernardo
|
12 | 24 |
| 3 |
Sport Recife
|
12 | 23 |
| 4 |
Fortaleza EC
|
12 | 21 |
| 5 |
Novorizontino
|
12 | 20 |
| 6 |
Criciuma
|
12 | 20 |
| 7 |
Nautico Recife
|
12 | 19 |
| 8 |
Operario-PR
|
12 | 19 |
| 9 |
Athletic Club
|
12 | 18 |
| 10 |
Goias
|
12 | 17 |
| 11 |
Atletico Goianiense
|
13 | 17 |
| 12 |
Juventude
|
12 | 16 |
| 13 |
Ceara
|
12 | 16 |
| 14 |
Cuiaba
|
12 | 16 |
| 15 |
CRB
|
13 | 15 |
| 16 |
Botafogo SP
|
12 | 10 |
| 17 |
Avai
|
12 | 10 |
| 18 |
Londrina
|
12 | 8 |
| 19 |
Ponte Preta
|
12 | 8 |
| 20 |
America Mineiro
|
12 | 3 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs America Mineiro?
The model gives Fortaleza EC a 50% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 22% for an America Mineiro win.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza EC vs America Mineiro?
Expected goals: Fortaleza EC 1.6, America Mineiro 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Fortaleza EC vs America Mineiro?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.2%.