Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 20
July 29, 2026 02:35
Ronald
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza EC a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Botafogo SP 24%). The final result was Fortaleza EC 1–0 Botafogo SP. In 1 previous meetings, Fortaleza EC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Botafogo SP.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
2.16
Actual xG
0.42
5
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
10
Corners
6
9
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
37'
Vilar
⚽Ronald
57'
66'
Jefferson Nem
/
Ze Hugo
66'
Guilherme Queiroz
/
Arthur Caike
69'
Matheus Sales
J. B. Miritello
/ Nathan Fogaca
72'
80'
Marco Antonio
/
Rafael Gava
80'
Felipe Vieira
/
Wesley Santos
Pedro Henrique
/ Luiz Fernando
82'
Vitinho
/ Welliton
82'
89'
Thiago Moraes
/
Matheus Sales
Lucas Sasha
/ Rodrigo
90'+2
Rodriguinho
/ T. Cardona
90'+2
90'+8
Felipe Vieira
Pre-match prediction
50.98%
Fortaleza ←
24.69%
X
24.32%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza EC)
50.98%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
2.16
+0.56
1.06
0.42
-0.64
Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
João Ricardo
G
João Ricardo
G
13
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
D
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
D
3
Lucas Gazal
D
Lucas Gazal
D
23
Neris
D
Neris
D
22
Maílton
D
Maílton
D
8
Ronald
1 ⚽
M
Ronald
1 ⚽
M
88
Lucas Sasha
M
Lucas Sasha
M
16
Pedro Henrique
82'
M
Pedro Henrique
82'
M
75
Rodriguinho
M
Rodriguinho
M
11
Vitinho
82'
M
Vitinho
82'
M
9
J. Miritello
72'
F
J. Miritello
72'
F
Bench
33
Kauã Rocha
D
Kauã Rocha
D
4
Luan
D
Luan
D
10
Lucas Crispim
M
Lucas Crispim
M
19
Lucas Emanoel
F
Lucas Emanoel
F
32
Luiz Fernando
17'
F
Luiz Fernando
17'
F
17
Nathan Fogaça
27'
F
Nathan Fogaça
27'
F
77
Paulo Baya
F
Paulo Baya
F
29
Rodrigo
7'
M
Rodrigo
7'
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
M
Ryan Gustavo
M
6
T. Cardona
7'
D
T. Cardona
7'
D
25
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Vinícius Silvestre
G
31
Welliton
17'
F
Welliton
17'
F
1
Victor Souza
G
Victor Souza
G
100
Patrick Brey
D
Patrick Brey
D
4
Vilar
D
Vilar
D
3
Ericson
D
Ericson
D
31
Pedro Henrique
D
Pedro Henrique
D
8
Everton Morelli
M
Everton Morelli
M
16
Matheus Sales
89'
M
Matheus Sales
89'
M
23
Wesley Pinheiro Santos
80'
M
Wesley Pinheiro Santos
80'
M
10
Rafael Gava
80'
M
Rafael Gava
80'
M
30
Zé Hugo
66'
M
Zé Hugo
66'
M
18
Arthur Caíke
66'
F
Arthur Caíke
66'
F
Bench
25
Adriano
G
Adriano
G
26
Felipe Vieira
19'
D
Felipe Vieira
19'
D
22
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
17
Guilherme Queiróz
33'
F
Guilherme Queiróz
33'
F
11
Jefferson Nem
33'
F
Jefferson Nem
33'
F
12
Jordan
G
Jordan
G
5
L. Maciel
M
L. Maciel
M
28
Marco Antônio
19'
M
Marco Antônio
19'
M
29
Thiago Henrique
10'
M
Thiago Henrique
10'
M
13
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
Best on the pitch
João Ricardo
G · Fortaleza
8.50
· 22 pass
Lucas Gazal
D · Fortaleza
7.90
1 shots
· 59 pass
Ronald
M · Fortaleza
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
Maílton
D · Fortaleza
7.70
· 45 pass
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
D · Fortaleza
7.60
· 29 pass
Victor Souza
G · Botafogo
7.60
· 27 pass
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 99 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues | D | 99 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 99 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Neris | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Maílton | D | 99 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 99 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Fogaça | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Cardona | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Welliton | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Souza | G | 99 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Brey | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Vilar | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Ericson | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Everton Morelli | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wesley Pinheiro Santos | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 7 | — | — |
| Rafael Gava | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Hugo | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Caíke | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vieira | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Queiróz | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Nem | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Marco Antônio | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Henrique | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP?
The final score was Fortaleza EC 1–0 Botafogo SP.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Fortaleza EC win, 24% to a draw, and 24% to an Botafogo SP win.