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← Brasileirão Série B

Fortaleza EC - Ceara

Brasileirão Série B September 13, 2026 23:30
Fortaleza EC
#4 · 47 pts
vs
Ceara
#16 · 31 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.46%
Win
Fortaleza EC
23.14%
Draw
19.4%
Win
Ceara
1.71
Expected xG
0.85

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.79%)
1X2 Result ✓ 83.9% hit rate (31 picks)
1 57%
X 23%
2 19%
Double Chance ✓ 93.5% hit rate (31 picks)
1X 81%
X2 43%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 46%
✓ 63.3% hit rate (30 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fortaleza EC a 57% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Ceara. Expected goals are 1.7 for Fortaleza EC and 0.8 for Ceara (total 2.6), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.79% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Fortaleza EC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ceara.

Season Stats

Fortaleza EC
7W 5D 3L
Ceara
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.9
0.7
Conceded
1.4
4.1
Shots OT
3.7
5.8
Corners
5.9
51%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
73%
20%
O 2.5
33%
40%
BTTS
47%
47%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Fortaleza EC
7W 2D 1L · at home
Ceara
1W 2D 7L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.8
0.7
Conceded
1.8
70%
Win %
10%
90%
Win or Draw
30%
70%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
30%
10%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fortaleza EC Ceara →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 13.2% 11.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% —
2 11.3% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% —
3 6.4% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 2.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
W Avai 1–0
W Goias 0–1
D Operario-PR 1–1
W Criciuma 0–2
D São Bernardo 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 41%
Ceara Ceara
L Atletico Goianiense 2–1
W Sport Recife 2–1
L Vila Nova 2–0
W Londrina 2–1
L Nautico Recife 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 11%

Playing profile

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Attack
35
Defence
78
Form
60
Ceara Ceara
Attack
40
Defence
55
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Fortaleza EC
0
Draw
1
Ceara
17 May 2026 Brasileirão Série B 1–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventude Juventude 27 50
2 Novorizontino Novorizontino 27 49
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 27 47
4 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 27 47
5 Criciuma Criciuma 27 47
6 Operario-PR Operario-PR 27 43
7 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 27 43
8 CRB CRB 27 42
9 Sport Recife Sport Recife 27 41
10 Cuiaba Cuiaba 27 39
11 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 27 37
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 27 37
13 Goias Goias 27 36
14 São Bernardo São Bernardo 27 35
15 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 27 31
16 Ceara Ceara 27 31
17 Avai Avai 27 29
18 Londrina Londrina 27 25
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 27 17
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 27 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
The model gives Fortaleza EC a 57% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 19% for an Ceara win.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
Expected goals: Fortaleza EC 1.7, Ceara 0.8 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.79%.