Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 10
May 23, 2026 23:30
Vitinho
(ast. Matheus Rossetto)
36'
Luiz Fernando
53'
(pen.)
Lucca Prior
(ast. Kayke)
90'+9
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza EC a 44% win probability (draw 32%, Londrina 23%). The final result was Fortaleza EC 3–0 Londrina.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
2.38
Actual xG
0.28
2
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Matheus Rossetto
28'
E. Britez
29'
⚽Vitinho
· ast. Matheus Rossetto
36'
45'+1
Caio Rodrigues
46'
Andre Cardoso
/
Andre Luiz
Matheus Rossetto
/ Rodrigo
46'
51'
Vitinho Mota
⚽Luiz Fernando
(pen.)
53'
56'
Caio Rafael
/
Thalis
56'
Paulinho Moccelin
/
Vitinho Mota
63'
Rafael Monteiro
65'
Fabiano
/
Joao Tavares
G. Fuentes
/ Mauricio Junior
74'
75'
Juninho
/
Caio Rodrigues
79'
Heron
/
Rafael Monteiro
Rodriguinho
83'
83'
Iago Teles
Vitinho
/ Welliton
84'
J. B. Miritello
/ Kayke
84'
Lucas Sasha
/ Ryan
90'+3
Luiz Fernando
/ Lucca Prior
90'+3
⚽Lucca Prior
· ast. Kayke
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
44.24%
Fortaleza ←
32.53%
X
23.23%
Londrina
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza EC)
44.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.51
2.38
+0.87
0.77
0.28
-0.49
Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (2.38 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
João Ricardo
G
João Ricardo
G
3
Lucas Gazal
D
Lucas Gazal
D
4
Luan Freitas
D
Luan Freitas
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
18
Gabriel Fuentes
74'
M
Gabriel Fuentes
74'
M
88
Lucas Sasha
89'
M
Lucas Sasha
89'
M
20
Matheus Rossetto
1 👟
45'
M
Matheus Rossetto
1 👟
45'
M
75
Rodriguinho
M
Rodriguinho
M
32
Luiz Fernando
1 ⚽
89'
F
Luiz Fernando
1 ⚽
89'
F
11
Vitinho
1 ⚽
83'
F
Vitinho
1 ⚽
83'
F
9
J. Miritello
84'
F
J. Miritello
84'
F
Bench
33
Kauã Rocha
D
Kauã Rocha
D
99
Kayke
1 👟
17'
F
Kayke
1 👟
17'
F
10
Lucas Crispim
M
Lucas Crispim
M
38
Lucca Prior
1 ⚽
8'
M
Lucca Prior
1 ⚽
8'
M
13
Maurício Júnior
16'
D
Maurício Júnior
16'
D
28
Paulinho
D
Paulinho
D
77
Paulo Baya
F
Paulo Baya
F
29
Rodrigo Santos
45'
M
Rodrigo Santos
45'
M
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
8'
M
Ryan Gustavo
8'
M
25
Vinicius Silvestre
G
Vinicius Silvestre
G
31
Welliton
18'
F
Welliton
18'
F
30
Kozlinski
G
Kozlinski
G
6
Rafael Monteiro
79'
D
Rafael Monteiro
79'
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
Gabriel Lacerda
D
27
Caio Rodrigues
D
Caio Rodrigues
D
13
André Dhominique
D
André Dhominique
D
5
André Luiz
45'
M
André Luiz
45'
M
11
Iago Teles
M
Iago Teles
M
96
Thalis Cantanhede
56'
M
Thalis Cantanhede
56'
M
32
João Tavares
65'
M
João Tavares
65'
M
7
Vitinho
1 ⚽
56'
M
Vitinho
1 ⚽
56'
M
9
Bruno Santos
F
Bruno Santos
F
Bench
17
André Cardoso
45'
M
André Cardoso
45'
M
28
Caio Maia
F
Caio Maia
F
55
Caio Rafael
19'
F
Caio Rafael
19'
F
20
Fabiano
25'
M
Fabiano
25'
M
34
Heron
11'
D
Heron
11'
D
77
Juninho
15'
F
Juninho
15'
F
29
Kauê Leonardo
D
Kauê Leonardo
D
1
Luan
G
Luan
G
18
Paulinho Moccelin
34'
F
Paulinho Moccelin
34'
F
3
Yago Lincoln
D
Yago Lincoln
D
Best on the pitch
Vitinho
F · Fortaleza
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
Gabriel Fuentes
M · Fortaleza
7.90
· 47 pass
Luan Freitas
D · Fortaleza
7.50
1 shots
· 40 pass
Kayke
F · Fortaleza
7.50
1 👟
Lucas Gazal
D · Fortaleza
7.30
1 shots
· 59 pass
Rodrigo Santos
M · Fortaleza
7.30
· 22 pass
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Luan Freitas | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Fuentes | M | 74 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Rossetto | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Luiz Fernando | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 83 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kayke | F | 17 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucca Prior | M | 8 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Maurício Júnior | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Santos | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Ryan Gustavo | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Welliton | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Londrina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozlinski | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Monteiro | D | 79 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Lacerda | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Caio Rodrigues | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| André Dhominique | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | — | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Iago Teles | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Thalis Cantanhede | M | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| João Tavares | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 56 | 5.90 | 1 | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| André Cardoso | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Caio Rafael | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Fabiano | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Heron | D | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Juninho | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho Moccelin | F | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza EC vs Londrina?
The final score was Fortaleza EC 3–0 Londrina.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza EC vs Londrina?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Fortaleza EC win, 32% to a draw, and 23% to an Londrina win.