Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 18
July 18, 2026 02:00
Vitinho
3'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Fortaleza EC 36%). The final result was Fortaleza EC 1–0 Novorizontino.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
3
1.15
Actual xG
0.96
3
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
10
Corners
6
8
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Vitinho
3'
Joao Ricardo
40'
Neris
45'+1
45'+1
Robson
Luiz Fernando
/ Welliton
46'
46'
Juninho
/
Helio Borges
Rodriguinho
56'
61'
Vinicius Paiva
/
Romulo
61'
Tavinho
/
Luis Oyama
Lucas Gazal
64'
Rodriguinho
/ Mailton
65'
Rodrigo
/ Pierre
65'
68'
C. Ortiz
/
Robson
68'
Carlao
/
Reidiney
Neris
/ Luan Freitas
74'
Pedro Henrique
/ Paulo Baya
79'
Pre-match prediction
36.04%
Fortaleza ←
24.49%
X
39.46%
Novorizontino
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza EC)
36.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.15
-0.09
1.52
0.96
-0.55
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
João Ricardo
G
João Ricardo
G
18
G. Fuentes
D
G. Fuentes
D
3
Lucas Gazal
D
Lucas Gazal
D
23
Neris
74'
D
Neris
74'
D
75
Rodriguinho
65'
D
Rodriguinho
65'
D
29
Rodrigo
65'
M
Rodrigo
65'
M
88
Lucas Sasha
M
Lucas Sasha
M
32
Luiz Fernando
45'
M
Luiz Fernando
45'
M
11
Vitinho
1 ⚽
M
Vitinho
1 ⚽
M
16
Pedro Henrique
79'
M
Pedro Henrique
79'
M
9
J. Miritello
F
J. Miritello
F
Bench
4
Luan
22'
D
Luan
22'
D
10
Lucas Crispim
M
Lucas Crispim
M
19
Lucas Emanoel
F
Lucas Emanoel
F
38
Lucca
M
Lucca
M
22
Maílton
31'
D
Maílton
31'
D
77
Paulo Baya
17'
F
Paulo Baya
17'
F
5
Pierre
31'
M
Pierre
31'
M
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
M
Ryan Gustavo
M
6
T. Cardona
D
T. Cardona
D
25
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Vinícius Silvestre
G
31
Welliton
51'
F
Welliton
51'
F
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
66
Maykon
D
Maykon
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
26
Gabriel Bahia
D
Gabriel Bahia
D
20
Nilson Castrillón
D
Nilson Castrillón
D
41
Reidiney
68'
M
Reidiney
68'
M
6
Luis Oyama
61'
M
Luis Oyama
61'
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
M
Matheus Bianqui
M
77
Hélio Borges
45'
M
Hélio Borges
45'
M
11
Robson
68'
F
Robson
68'
F
10
Romulo
61'
F
Romulo
61'
F
Bench
22
A. Alvariño
M
A. Alvariño
M
9
Carlão
28'
F
Carlão
28'
F
3
Carlinhos
D
Carlinhos
D
31
César
G
César
G
8
C. Ortíz
28'
F
C. Ortíz
28'
F
27
Diego Mathias
F
Diego Mathias
F
14
Eduardo Brock
D
Eduardo Brock
D
50
Juninho
51'
M
Juninho
51'
M
18
Léo Naldi
M
Léo Naldi
M
15
Tavinho
35'
F
Tavinho
35'
F
16
Vinícius
35'
F
Vinícius
35'
F
Best on the pitch
Vitinho
M · Fortaleza
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Matheus Bianqui
M · Novorizontino
7.70
2 shots
· 71 pass
Jordi
G · Novorizontino
7.70
· 14 pass
Gabriel Bahia
D · Novorizontino
7.50
· 89 pass
Patrick
D · Novorizontino
7.30
1 shots
· 79 pass
João Ricardo
G · Fortaleza
7.30
· 27 pass
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Fuentes | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| Neris | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Luan | D | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Maílton | D | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Baya | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Pierre | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Welliton | F | 51 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi | G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Maykon | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bahia | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 89 | 85% | 2 | — | — |
| Nilson Castrillón | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Reidiney | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Oyama | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Bianqui | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Hélio Borges | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Robson | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Romulo | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| C. Ortíz | F | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Tavinho | F | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino?
The final score was Fortaleza EC 1–0 Novorizontino.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Fortaleza EC win, 24% to a draw, and 39% to an Novorizontino win.