Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 25
September 01, 2026 00:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Fortaleza EC, result Draw
Mailton
(ast. Joao Ricardo)
30'
33'
(ast. Boschilia)
A. Torres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza EC a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Operario-PR 19%). The final result was Fortaleza EC 1–1 Operario-PR. In 1 previous meetings, Fortaleza EC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Operario-PR.
Match statistics
25
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
2.69
Actual xG
0.85
3
Saves
6
60%
Possession
40%
11
Corners
1
15
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
T. Cardona
10'
23'
Moraes
⚽Mailton
· ast. Joao Ricardo
30'
33'
ast. Boschilia ·
A. Torres⚽
46'
Gabriel Feliciano
/
Moraes
Lucas Sasha
/ Rodrigo
64'
Rodriguinho
/ Lucas Crispim
65'
65'
Maxwell
/
A. Torres
74'
Aylon
/
H. Pereira
Pedro Henrique
/ Paulo Baya
79'
Luiz Fernando
/ Welliton
79'
83'
Vinicius Mingotti
/
Pablo
83'
Indio
/
Vinicius Diniz
Mauricio Junior
/ Henrique Kaio
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.83%
Fortaleza
23.57%
X ←
19.6%
Operario-PR
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
2.69
+0.96
0.88
0.85
-0.04
Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (2.69 vs 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
João Ricardo
1 👟
G
João Ricardo
1 👟
G
13
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
D
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
D
6
T. Cardona
D
T. Cardona
D
3
Lucas Gazal
D
Lucas Gazal
D
22
Maílton
1 ⚽
D
Maílton
1 ⚽
D
75
Rodriguinho
65'
M
Rodriguinho
65'
M
5
Pierre
M
Pierre
M
88
Lucas Sasha
64'
M
Lucas Sasha
64'
M
32
Luiz Fernando
79'
F
Luiz Fernando
79'
F
9
J. Miritello
F
J. Miritello
F
16
Pedro Henrique
79'
F
Pedro Henrique
79'
F
Bench
12
Kaio Henrique
5'
D
Kaio Henrique
5'
D
4
Luan
D
Luan
D
10
Lucas Crispim
30'
M
Lucas Crispim
30'
M
19
Lucas Emanoel
F
Lucas Emanoel
F
17
Nathan Fogaça
F
Nathan Fogaça
F
77
Paulo Baya
16'
F
Paulo Baya
16'
F
29
Rodrigo
31'
M
Rodrigo
31'
M
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
M
Ryan Gustavo
M
25
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Vinícius Silvestre
G
11
Vitinho
F
Vitinho
F
31
Welliton
16'
F
Welliton
16'
F
33
Vagner
G
Vagner
G
6
Moraes
45'
D
Moraes
45'
D
43
Joseph
D
Joseph
D
22
J. Cuenú
D
J. Cuenú
D
26
Maguinho
D
Maguinho
D
20
Vinícius Diniz
83'
M
Vinícius Diniz
83'
M
39
Matheus Trindade
M
Matheus Trindade
M
14
Hildeberto Pereira
74'
M
Hildeberto Pereira
74'
M
10
Boschilia
1 👟
M
Boschilia
1 👟
M
7
Á. Quiñones
1 ⚽
65'
M
Á. Quiñones
1 ⚽
65'
M
92
Pablo
83'
F
Pablo
83'
F
Bench
11
Aylon
21'
F
Aylon
21'
F
99
Caio Dantas
F
Caio Dantas
F
1
Elias Martello Curzel
G
Elias Martello Curzel
G
27
Gabriel Feliciano
50'
D
Gabriel Feliciano
50'
D
5
Índio
12'
M
Índio
12'
M
8
J. Zuluaga
M
J. Zuluaga
M
4
Klaus
D
Klaus
D
77
Maxwell
30'
F
Maxwell
30'
F
16
Miranda
D
Miranda
D
88
Neto Paraíba
M
Neto Paraíba
M
30
Pedro Vilhena
M
Pedro Vilhena
M
9
Vinícius Mingotti
12'
F
Vinícius Mingotti
12'
F
Best on the pitch
Maílton
D · Fortaleza
9.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 58 pass
Á. Quiñones
M · Operario-PR
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Boschilia
M · Operario-PR
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 42 pass
Pierre
M · Fortaleza
7.20
2 shots
· 75 pass
J. Cuenú
D · Operario-PR
7.20
· 37 pass
Joseph
D · Operario-PR
7.20
· 37 pass
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Cardona | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 95 | 87% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Maílton | D | 95 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Pierre | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | F | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 95 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Kaio Henrique | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Crispim | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Baya | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Welliton | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Operario-PR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vagner | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Moraes | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Joseph | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Cuenú | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Maguinho | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius Diniz | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Trindade | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Hildeberto Pereira | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Boschilia | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Á. Quiñones | M | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Pablo | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Aylon | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Feliciano | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Índio | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Maxwell | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinícius Mingotti | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR?
The final score was Fortaleza EC 1–1 Operario-PR.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Fortaleza EC win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Operario-PR win.