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Fortaleza EC - Palmeiras

Copa do Brasil August 06, 2026 02:30
Fortaleza EC
vs
Palmeiras
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.17%
Win
Fortaleza EC
28.33%
Draw
36.5%
Win
Palmeiras
1.39
Expected xG
1.48

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.88%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 28%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 65%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 36% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Fortaleza EC. Expected goals are 1.4 for Fortaleza EC and 1.5 for Palmeiras (total 2.9), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.88% probability.

Season Stats

Fortaleza EC
4W 3D 0L
Palmeiras
4W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.8
0.9
Conceded
0.7
4.0
Shots OT
5.3
7.3
Corners
5.3
52%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
57%
O 1.5
67%
29%
O 2.5
50%
57%
BTTS
17%
43%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Fortaleza EC
2W 1D 0L · at home
Palmeiras
2W 0D 1L · away
2.3
gls/g
1.7
1.7
Conceded
0.7
67%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
33%
33%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fortaleza EC Palmeiras →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 8.4% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.9% 11.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
D CRB 0–0
W CRB 2–1
W Nova Iguaçu 0–1
W Manauara 0–1
W Maguary PE 4–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Palmeiras Palmeiras
W Jacuipense 1–4
W Jacuipense 3–0
L Corinthians 0–2
L Corinthians 1–0
W Ceara 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Attack
38
Defence
66
Form
59
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
49
Defence
71
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?
The model gives Fortaleza EC a 35% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 36% for an Palmeiras win.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?
Expected goals: Fortaleza EC 1.4, Palmeiras 1.5 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.88%.