Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 16 July 03, 2026 02:00

Fortaleza EC

#5 · 62 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Ponte Preta

#20 · 15 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Fortaleza EC

J. B. Miritello (ast. Luiz Fernando) 60'

Mailton (ast. Lucas Sasha) 84'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza EC a 81% win probability (draw 11%, Ponte Preta 7%). The final result was Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta. In 1 previous meetings, Fortaleza EC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ponte Preta.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

3

1.74

Actual xG

0.48

64%

Possession

36%

7

Corners

4

Match Events

Luiz Fernando

43'

43'

S. Palacios

45'

Baianinho

46'

Diego Tavares / Baianinho ↕

Pierre

54'

⚽J. B. Miritello · ast. Luiz Fernando

60'

↕ Pierre / Lucas Sasha

63'

↕ Mauricio Junior / Lucca Prior

64'

64'

David da Hora / Diego Porfirio ↕

Lucas Gazal

66'

76'

Juan Rodrigues / Kevyson ↕

↕ Welliton / Paulo Baya

78'

↕ Rodriguinho / Mailton

79'

82'

Rodriguinho / Brandao ↕

83'

Jonathan Cafu / Marcio Silva ↕

⚽Mailton · ast. Lucas Sasha

84'

↕ Rodrigo / Ryan

85'

89'

Diego Tavares

Lucca Prior

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

81.09%

Fortaleza ←

11.47%

X

7.44%

Ponte

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza EC) 81.09% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Fortaleza

2.66

1.74

-0.92

Ponte

0.41

0.48

+0.07

Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Novorizontino	36	67
2	Juventude	36	65
3	Vila Nova	36	63
4	Criciuma	36	62
5	Fortaleza EC	36	62
6	CRB	36	55
7	Goias	36	55
8	Atletico Goianiense	36	55
9	Sport Recife	37	55
10	Operario-PR	37	54
11	São Bernardo	36	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	51
13	Cuiaba	36	47
14	Athletic Club	36	47
15	Nautico Recife	36	46
16	Ceara	36	43
17	Avai	36	37
18	Londrina	37	32
19	America Mineiro	36	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	15