Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — July 03, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 16 July 03, 2026 02:00

Fortaleza EC

#4 · 47 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Ponte Preta

#20 · 10 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Fortaleza EC

J. B. Miritello (ast. Luiz Fernando) 60'

Mailton (ast. Lucas Sasha) 84'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza EC a 81% win probability (draw 11%, Ponte Preta 7%). The final result was Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta.

Match statistics

Shots on target

1.74

Actual xG

0.48

64%

Possession

36%

Corners

Match Events

Luiz Fernando

43'

S. Palacios

45'

Baianinho

46'

Diego Tavares / Baianinho ↕

Pierre

54'

⚽J. B. Miritello · ast. Luiz Fernando

60'

↕ Pierre / Lucas Sasha

63'

↕ Mauricio Junior / Lucca Prior

64'

David da Hora / Diego Porfirio ↕

Lucas Gazal

66'

76'

Juan Rodrigues / Kevyson ↕

↕ Welliton / Paulo Baya

78'

↕ Rodriguinho / Mailton

79'

82'

Rodriguinho / Brandao ↕

83'

Jonathan Cafu / Marcio Silva ↕

⚽Mailton · ast. Lucas Sasha

84'

↕ Rodrigo / Ryan

85'

89'

Diego Tavares

Lucca Prior

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

81.09%

Fortaleza ←

11.47%

7.44%

Ponte

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza EC) 81.09% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Fortaleza

2.66

1.74

-0.92

Ponte

0.41

0.48

+0.07

Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Juventude	27	50
2	Novorizontino	27	49
3	Vila Nova	27	47
4	Fortaleza EC	27	47
5	Criciuma	27	47
6	Operario-PR	27	43
7	Atletico Goianiense	27	43
8	CRB	27	42
9	Sport Recife	27	41
10	Cuiaba	27	39
11	Nautico Recife	27	37
12	Athletic Club	27	37
13	Goias	27	36
14	São Bernardo	27	35
15	Botafogo SP	27	31
16	Ceara	27	31
17	Avai	27	29
18	Londrina	27	25
19	America Mineiro	27	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	10