J. Salas
(ast. A. Arroyo)
45'+1
H. Lopes
86'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza FC a 45% win probability (draw 33%, Águilas Doradas 20%). The final result was Fortaleza FC 2–0 Águilas Doradas.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
2
0.72
Actual xG
0.70
2
Saves
3
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
1
7
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Salas
· ast. A. Arroyo
45'+1
J. Salas
46'
S. Cuero
58'
64'
A. Alvarez
/
B. Uruena
64'
J. E. Avalo Trejos
/
J. Roa
68'
J. Obregon
/
F. A. Suarez Chalare
72'
J. E. Avalo Trejos
J. Salas
/ R. D. Rivas Torres
74'
J. Herrera
79'
J. Velasquez
/ S. Navarro
85'
⚽H. Lopes
(og)
86'
88'
A. Ricaurte
89'
J. Quintero
/
A. Ricaurte
J. Herrera
/ F. Pulicastro
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.94%
Fortaleza ←
33.43%
X
20.63%
Águilas
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza FC)
45.94%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.72
-0.54
0.72
0.70
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.72 – 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
S. Cuero
D
S. Cuero
D
18
Jhon Balanta
D
Jhon Balanta
D
6
Y. Díaz
D
Y. Díaz
D
16
Joan Cajares
D
Joan Cajares
D
17
Kevin Balanta
M
Kevin Balanta
M
14
L. Pico
M
L. Pico
M
24
J. Salas
1 ⚽
74'
M
J. Salas
1 ⚽
74'
M
33
A. Arroyo
1 👟
M
A. Arroyo
1 👟
M
10
Jhon Velásquez
85'
M
Jhon Velásquez
85'
M
9
Sebastian Herrera
F
Sebastian Herrera
F
Bench
20
C. Orozco
D
26
Richardson Rivas
22'
M
Richardson Rivas
22'
M
8
S. Navarro
11'
M
S. Navarro
11'
M
1
Iván Arboleda
G
Iván Arboleda
G
32
J. Mena
D
J. Mena
D
3
J. Varela
D
J. Varela
D
29
H. Lópes
1 ⚽
D
H. Lópes
1 ⚽
D
26
Dylan Lozano
D
Dylan Lozano
D
19
M
25
Juan Camilo Roa
64'
M
Juan Camilo Roa
64'
M
10
B. Urueña
64'
M
8
A. Ricaurte
89'
M
A. Ricaurte
89'
M
15
F. Suárez
68'
M
F. Suárez
68'
M
9
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F
Bench
18
A. Alvarez
32'
M
20
A. Higgins
D
A. Higgins
D
24
J. Ávalo
8'
M
J. Ávalo
8'
M
2
J. Garcia
D
99
J. Obregón
28'
F
J. Obregón
28'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Pico
M · Fortaleza
7.90
· 78 pass
Y. Díaz
D · Fortaleza
7.60
2 shots
· 71 pass
J. Salas
M · Fortaleza
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
A. Arroyo
M · Fortaleza
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 66 pass
M · Águilas
7.60
1 shots
· 26 pass
G · Fortaleza
7.30
· 23 pass
Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| S. Cuero | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 46% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhon Balanta | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Díaz | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Joan Cajares | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Balanta | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Pico | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 78 | 77% | — | — | — |
| J. Salas | M | 74 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Arroyo | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Velásquez | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Herrera | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Richardson Rivas | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Navarro | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Arboleda | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Mena | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Varela | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Lópes | D | 96 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 37 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Dylan Lozano | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — | |
| Juan Camilo Roa | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Urueña | M | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Ricaurte | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Suárez | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Alvarez | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Ávalo | M | 8 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Obregón | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza FC vs Águilas Doradas?
The final score was Fortaleza FC 2–0 Águilas Doradas.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza FC vs Águilas Doradas?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Fortaleza FC win, 33% to a draw, and 20% to an Águilas Doradas win.