A. Arroyo
(ast. S. Navarro)
86'
24'
(ast. B. Correa)
T. Angel
(pen.)
64'
Y. Guzman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza FC a 37% win probability (draw 32%, America de Cali 30%). The final result was Fortaleza FC 1–2 America de Cali.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.58
Actual xG
1.57
1
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
1
5
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Velasquez
13'
24'
ast. B. Correa ·
T. Angel⚽
29'
D. Valencia
J. Cajares
39'
J. Velasquez
/ S. Navarro
46'
64'
(pen.)
Y. Guzman⚽
65'
Y. Guzman
K. A. Balanta Carabali
/ T. Wilke
65'
69'
M. Torres
/
T. Angel
69'
J. Lucumi
/
J. Murillo
R. D. Rivas Torres
/ F. Pulicastro
70'
74'
J. Escobar
Y. Diaz
/ J. Medina Obando
74'
75'
L. M. Mina
/
B. Correa
80'
J. Soto
83'
C. Sierra
/
Y. Guzman
83'
J. Cavadia
/
J. Escobar
⚽A. Arroyo
· ast. S. Navarro
86'
88'
L. M. Mina
Pre-match prediction
37.37%
Fortaleza
32.52%
X
30.1%
America ←
we assigned to the actual result (America de Cali)
30.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
1.58
+0.35
1.05
1.57
+0.52
xG dominance was balanced (1.58 – 1.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
S. Cuero
D
18
J. Balanta
D
6
Y. Diaz
74'
D
16
J. Cajares
D
14
Leonardo Pico
M
17
K. A. Balanta Carabali
65'
M
26
R. D. Rivas Torres
70'
M
33
A. Arroyo
1 ⚽
M
A. Arroyo
1 ⚽
M
10
J. Velasquez
45'
M
9
J. Herrera
F
Bench
20
C. Orozco
D
8
S. Navarro
1 👟
51'
M
12
Jorge Soto
G
Jorge Soto
G
30
Omar Bertel
D
Omar Bertel
D
24
Cristian Tovar
D
Cristian Tovar
D
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
Andrés Mosquera
D
16
Brayan Correa
1 👟
75'
D
Brayan Correa
1 👟
75'
D
5
J. Escobar
83'
M
J. Escobar
83'
M
15
R. Carrascal
M
R. Carrascal
M
7
Jhon Murillo
69'
M
Jhon Murillo
69'
M
10
Yeison Guzmán
1 ⚽
83'
M
Yeison Guzmán
1 ⚽
83'
M
21
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
69'
M
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
69'
M
9
Daniel Valencia
29'
F
Daniel Valencia
29'
F
Bench
20
Adrián Ramos
F
Adrián Ramos
F
1
Jean Fernandes
G
Jean Fernandes
G
17
J. Lucumí
27'
F
J. Lucumí
27'
F
25
Joel Romero
M
Joel Romero
M
6
José Cavadia
13'
M
José Cavadia
13'
M
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
28
Luis Mina
21'
D
Luis Mina
21'
D
2
M. Torres
27'
D
M. Torres
27'
D
Best on the pitch
T. Ángel
M · America
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Leonardo Pico
M · Fortaleza
7.50
1 shots
· 62 pass
Yeison Guzmán
M · America
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
Brayan Correa
D · America
7.50
1 👟
· 17 pass
A. Arroyo
M · Fortaleza
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
J. Escobar
M · America
7.00
· 37 pass
Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| S. Cuero | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Balanta | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Y. Diaz | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cajares | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Pico | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 60% | — | — | — |
| K. A. Balanta Carabali | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. D. Rivas Torres | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Arroyo | M | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Velasquez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Herrera | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Navarro | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soto | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Omar Bertel | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Tovar | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Mosquera | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Correa | D | 75 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Escobar | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Carrascal | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhon Murillo | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Guzmán | M | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Ángel | M | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Valencia | F | 29 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Lucumí | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| José Cavadia | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Mina | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Torres | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
The final score was Fortaleza FC 1–2 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Fortaleza FC win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an America de Cali win.