A. Arroyo
(ast. S. Navarro)
86'
24'
(ast. B. Correa)
T. Angel
(pen.)
64'
Y. Guzman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza FC a 37% win probability (draw 32%, America de Cali 30%). The final result was Fortaleza FC 1–2 America de Cali.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.58
Actual xG
1.57
1
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
1
5
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Velasquez
13'
24'
ast. B. Correa ·
T. Angel⚽
29'
D. Valencia
J. Cajares
39'
J. Velasquez
/ S. Navarro
46'
64'
(pen.)
Y. Guzman⚽
65'
Y. Guzman
K. A. Balanta Carabali
/ T. Wilke
65'
69'
M. Torres
/
T. Angel
69'
J. Lucumi
/
J. Murillo
R. D. Rivas Torres
/ F. Pulicastro
70'
74'
J. Escobar
Y. Diaz
/ J. Medina Obando
74'
75'
L. M. Mina
/
B. Correa
80'
J. Soto
83'
C. Sierra
/
Y. Guzman
83'
J. Cavadia
/
J. Escobar
⚽A. Arroyo
· ast. S. Navarro
86'
88'
L. M. Mina
Pre-match prediction
37.37%
Fortaleza
32.52%
X
30.1%
America ←
we assigned to the actual result (America de Cali)
30.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
1.58
+0.35
1.05
1.57
+0.52
xG dominance was balanced (1.58 – 1.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
S. Cuero
D
S. Cuero
D
18
Jhon Balanta
D
Jhon Balanta
D
6
Y. Díaz
74'
D
Y. Díaz
74'
D
16
Joan Cajares
D
Joan Cajares
D
14
L. Pico
M
L. Pico
M
17
Kevin Balanta
65'
M
Kevin Balanta
65'
M
26
Richardson Rivas
70'
M
Richardson Rivas
70'
M
33
A. Arroyo
1 ⚽
M
A. Arroyo
1 ⚽
M
10
Jhon Velásquez
45'
M
Jhon Velásquez
45'
M
9
Sebastian Herrera
F
Sebastian Herrera
F
Bench
20
C. Orozco
D
8
S. Navarro
1 👟
51'
M
S. Navarro
1 👟
51'
M
12
J. Soto
G
J. Soto
G
30
O. Bertel
D
O. Bertel
D
24
C. Tovar
D
C. Tovar
D
4
A. Mosquera
D
A. Mosquera
D
16
Brayan Correa
1 👟
75'
D
Brayan Correa
1 👟
75'
D
5
J. Escobar
83'
M
J. Escobar
83'
M
15
R. Carrascal
M
R. Carrascal
M
7
J. Murillo
69'
M
J. Murillo
69'
M
10
Yeison Guzmán
1 ⚽
83'
M
Yeison Guzmán
1 ⚽
83'
M
21
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
69'
M
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
69'
M
9
J. Valencia
29'
F
J. Valencia
29'
F
Bench
20
Adrián Ramos
F
Adrián Ramos
F
1
Jean
G
Jean
G
17
J. Lucumí
27'
F
J. Lucumí
27'
F
25
Joel Romero
M
6
José Cavadia
13'
M
José Cavadia
13'
M
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
28
Luis Mina
21'
D
Luis Mina
21'
D
2
M. Torres
27'
D
M. Torres
27'
D
Best on the pitch
T. Ángel
M · America
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
L. Pico
M · Fortaleza
7.50
1 shots
· 62 pass
Yeison Guzmán
M · America
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
Brayan Correa
D · America
7.50
1 👟
· 17 pass
A. Arroyo
M · Fortaleza
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
J. Escobar
M · America
7.00
· 37 pass
Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| S. Cuero | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Balanta | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Y. Díaz | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Joan Cajares | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Pico | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Balanta | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Richardson Rivas | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Arroyo | M | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Velásquez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Herrera | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Navarro | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Soto | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Bertel | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Tovar | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mosquera | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Correa | D | 75 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Escobar | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Carrascal | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Murillo | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Guzmán | M | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Ángel | M | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 29 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Lucumí | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| José Cavadia | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Mina | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Torres | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
The final score was Fortaleza FC 1–2 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Fortaleza FC win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an America de Cali win.