A. Arroyo
(ast. S. Navarro)
86'
24'
(ast. B. Correa)
T. Angel
(pen.)
64'
Y. Guzman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza FC a 37% win probability (draw 32%, America de Cali 30%). The final result was Fortaleza FC 1–2 America de Cali.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.58
Actual xG
1.57
1
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
1
5
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Velasquez
13'
24'
ast. B. Correa ·
T. Angel⚽
29'
D. Valencia
J. Cajares
39'
J. Velasquez
/ S. Navarro
46'
64'
(pen.)
Y. Guzman⚽
65'
Y. Guzman
K. A. Balanta Carabali
/ T. Wilke
65'
69'
M. Torres
/
T. Angel
69'
J. Lucumi
/
J. Murillo
R. D. Rivas Torres
/ F. Pulicastro
70'
74'
J. Escobar
Y. Diaz
/ J. Medina Obando
74'
75'
L. M. Mina
/
B. Correa
80'
J. Soto
83'
C. Sierra
/
Y. Guzman
83'
J. Cavadia
/
J. Escobar
⚽A. Arroyo
· ast. S. Navarro
86'
88'
L. M. Mina
Pre-match prediction
37.37%
Fortaleza
32.52%
X
30.1%
America ←
we assigned to the actual result (America de Cali)
30.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
1.58
+0.35
1.05
1.57
+0.52
xG dominance was balanced (1.58 – 1.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
S. Cuero
D
18
Jhon Balanta
D
Jhon Balanta
D
6
Yesid Díaz
74'
D
Yesid Díaz
74'
D
16
Joan Cajares
D
Joan Cajares
D
14
Leonardo Pico
M
Leonardo Pico
M
17
Kevin Balanta
65'
M
Kevin Balanta
65'
M
26
Richardson Rivas
70'
M
Richardson Rivas
70'
M
33
A. Arroyo
1 ⚽
M
A. Arroyo
1 ⚽
M
10
Jhon Velásquez
45'
M
Jhon Velásquez
45'
M
9
Sebastian Herrera
F
Sebastian Herrera
F
Bench
20
C. Orozco
D
8
Sebastián Navarro
1 👟
51'
M
Sebastián Navarro
1 👟
51'
M
12
Jorge Soto
G
Jorge Soto
G
30
Omar Bertel
D
Omar Bertel
D
24
Cristian Tovar
D
Cristian Tovar
D
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
Andrés Mosquera
D
16
Brayan Correa
1 👟
75'
D
Brayan Correa
1 👟
75'
D
5
J. Escobar
83'
M
J. Escobar
83'
M
15
R. Carrascal
M
R. Carrascal
M
7
Jhon Murillo
69'
M
Jhon Murillo
69'
M
10
Yeison Guzmán
1 ⚽
83'
M
Yeison Guzmán
1 ⚽
83'
M
21
Tomás Ángel
1 ⚽
69'
M
Tomás Ángel
1 ⚽
69'
M
9
Daniel Valencia
29'
F
Daniel Valencia
29'
F
Bench
20
Adrián Ramos
F
Adrián Ramos
F
17
Jan Lucumí
27'
F
Jan Lucumí
27'
F
1
Jean Fernandes
G
Jean Fernandes
G
25
Joel Romero
M
6
José Cavadia
13'
M
José Cavadia
13'
M
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
28
Luis Mina
21'
D
Luis Mina
21'
D
2
M. Torres
27'
D
M. Torres
27'
D
Best on the pitch
Tomás Ángel
M · America
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Leonardo Pico
M · Fortaleza
7.50
1 shots
· 62 pass
Yeison Guzmán
M · America
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
Brayan Correa
D · America
7.50
1 👟
· 17 pass
A. Arroyo
M · Fortaleza
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
J. Escobar
M · America
7.00
· 37 pass
Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| S. Cuero | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Balanta | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Yesid Díaz | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Joan Cajares | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Pico | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Balanta | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Richardson Rivas | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Arroyo | M | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Velásquez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Herrera | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Navarro | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soto | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Omar Bertel | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Tovar | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Mosquera | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Correa | D | 75 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Escobar | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Carrascal | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhon Murillo | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Guzmán | M | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomás Ángel | M | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Valencia | F | 29 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | 1 |
| Jan Lucumí | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| José Cavadia | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Mina | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Torres | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
The final score was Fortaleza FC 1–2 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Fortaleza FC win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an America de Cali win.