Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 6
August 23, 2026 21:00
A. Copete
(ast. S. Navarro)
43'
77'
(ast. I. Poveda)
A. Morelos
(pen.)
89'
E. Cardona
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza FC a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Atletico Nacional 33%). The final result was Fortaleza FC 1–2 Atletico Nacional. In 1 previous meetings, Fortaleza FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
5
0.37
Actual xG
1.93
4
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
4
Corners
7
10
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
M. Moreno
/
N. Rodriguez
⚽A. Copete
· ast. S. Navarro
43'
45'+1
M. Casco
46'
A. Morelos
/
C. Arango
46'
E. Cardona
/
J. Rengifo
46'
I. Poveda
/
A. Sarmiento
70'
S. Velasquez
/
M. Casco
S. Navarro
/ J. Blanco
71'
J. Solis
/ J. Velasquez
71'
77'
ast. I. Poveda ·
A. Morelos⚽
J. Herrera
/ T. Wilke
79'
R. D. Rivas Torres
/ A. Batioja
79'
85'
E. Cardona
A. Copete
89'
89'
(pen.)
E. Cardona⚽
J. Cajares
90'+2
90'+6
S. Velasquez
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
39.75%
Fortaleza
26.96%
X
33.29%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional)
33.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.37
-0.87
1.06
1.93
+0.88
Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
W. Barlasina
G
W. Barlasina
G
23
Juan Castillo
D
Juan Castillo
D
2
Andres Mosquera
1 ⚽
D
Andres Mosquera
1 ⚽
D
6
Y. Díaz
D
Y. Díaz
D
16
Joan Cajares
D
Joan Cajares
D
26
Richardson Rivas
79'
M
Richardson Rivas
79'
M
28
S. Vivas
M
S. Vivas
M
14
L. Pico
M
L. Pico
M
30
Jhon Solis
71'
M
Jhon Solis
71'
M
8
S. Navarro
1 👟
71'
F
S. Navarro
1 👟
71'
F
9
Sebastian Herrera
79'
F
Sebastian Herrera
79'
F
Bench
11
A. Batioja
11'
F
A. Batioja
11'
F
12
C. Santander
G
C. Santander
G
3
D. Ramírez
D
D. Ramírez
D
4
Edwin Cabezas
D
Edwin Cabezas
D
7
Italo Montaño Cortes
F
Italo Montaño Cortes
F
20
J. Blanco
19'
F
J. Blanco
19'
F
10
Jhon Velásquez
19'
M
Jhon Velásquez
19'
M
5
J. Medina Obando
D
J. Medina Obando
D
29
T. Wilke Braams
11'
F
T. Wilke Braams
11'
F
34
F. Armani
G
F. Armani
G
20
M. Casco
70'
D
M. Casco
70'
D
16
W. Tesillo
D
W. Tesillo
D
28
Robinson García
D
Robinson García
D
6
A. Román
D
A. Román
D
21
J. Campuzano
M
J. Campuzano
M
80
J. Zapata
M
J. Zapata
M
29
A. Sarmiento
45'
M
A. Sarmiento
45'
M
19
J. Rengifo
45'
M
J. Rengifo
45'
M
13
Nicolás Rodríguez
31'
M
Nicolás Rodríguez
31'
M
17
C. Arango
45'
F
C. Arango
45'
F
Bench
9
A. Morelos
1 ⚽
45'
F
A. Morelos
1 ⚽
45'
F
26
Andres Marin
D
Andres Marin
D
4
C. Haydar
D
C. Haydar
D
10
E. Cardona
1 ⚽
45'
M
E. Cardona
1 ⚽
45'
M
44
E. Zea
G
E. Zea
G
99
I. Poveda
1 👟
45'
F
I. Poveda
1 👟
45'
F
30
K. Parra
M
K. Parra
M
7
M. Moreno
59'
F
M. Moreno
59'
F
33
S. Velásquez
20'
M
S. Velásquez
20'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Morelos
F · Atletico
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
E. Cardona
M · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
W. Tesillo
D · Atletico
7.60
1 shots
· 64 pass
J. Campuzano
M · Atletico
7.20
· 60 pass
S. Navarro
F · Fortaleza
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 4 pass
Jhon Solis
M · Fortaleza
7.00
· 13 pass
Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Barlasina | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Juan Castillo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Andres Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Díaz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Joan Cajares | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Richardson Rivas | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Vivas | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Pico | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Solis | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Navarro | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Herrera | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Batioja | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Blanco | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Velásquez | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Wilke Braams | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Armani | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Casco | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Tesillo | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Robinson García | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Román | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Campuzano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sarmiento | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rengifo | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Arango | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Morelos | F | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| E. Cardona | M | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Poveda | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Moreno | F | 59 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Velásquez | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Fortaleza FC 1–2 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Fortaleza FC win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an Atletico Nacional win.