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Fortuna Düsseldorf - SC Freiburg

DFB Pokal August 23, 2026 18:00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
vs
SC Freiburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.24%
Win
Fortuna Düsseldorf
25.61%
Draw
25.15%
Win
SC Freiburg
2.34
Expected xG
0.74

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.9%)
1X2 Result
1 49%
X 26%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 51%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fortuna Düsseldorf a 49% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 25% for SC Freiburg. Expected goals are 2.3 for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 0.7 for SC Freiburg (total 3.1), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Freiburg.

Season Stats

Fortuna Düsseldorf
1W 0D 1L
SC Freiburg
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.6
2.5
Conceded
0.6
7.5
Shots OT
5.4
7.5
Corners
3.4
62%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
40%
100%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
63%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0W 0D 1L · at home
SC Freiburg
2W 1D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
3.0
Conceded
0.8
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
25%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fortuna Düsseldorf SC Freiburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 10.7% 8.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 12.5% 9.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 9.8% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 5.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
L SC Freiburg 1–3
W FC Schweinfurt 05 2–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
L VfB Stuttgart 2–1
D Hertha BSC 0–0
W SV Darmstadt 98 2–0
W Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–3
W Sportfreunde Lotte 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
Attack
57
Defence
78
Form
74
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
Attack
40
Defence
50
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0
Draw
1
SC Freiburg
29 Oct 2025 DFB Pokal 1–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg?
The model gives Fortuna Düsseldorf a 49% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 25% for an SC Freiburg win.
How many goals are expected in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg?
Expected goals: Fortuna Düsseldorf 2.3, SC Freiburg 0.7 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.