58'
J. Hornkamp
90'+5
(ast. A. Oufkir)
J. Hornkamp
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Fortuna Sittard 29%). The final result was Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar. In 2 previous meetings, Fortuna Sittard have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AZ Alkmaar.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
18
2
Shots on target
11
0.44
Actual xG
3.43
9
Saves
2
28%
Possession
72%
1
Corners
15
12
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
O. Romeny
5'
46'
C. Stengs
/
Weslley Patati
46'
J. Hornkamp
/
D. Kwakman
A. Descotte
/ I. Pinto
46'
58'
J. Hornkamp⚽
N. de Groot
/ J. Dahlhaus
66'
S. Zand
/ M. Ihattaren
66'
S. van Ottele
/ Y. Oukili
67'
69'
J. Clasie
/
K. Smit
S. Wylin
/ R. Guth
76'
86'
S. Maikuma
/
E. Dijkstra
86'
A. Oufkir
/
M. Meerdink
90'+3
A. Oufkir
90'+5
ast. A. Oufkir ·
J. Hornkamp⚽
Pre-match prediction
29.78%
Fortuna
30.19%
X
40.03%
AZ ←
we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar)
40.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
0.44
-0.61
2.85
3.43
+0.58
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (3.43 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
M. Branderhorst
G
M. Branderhorst
G
15
N. de Groot
66'
D
N. de Groot
66'
D
28
Justin Quincy Hubner
D
Justin Quincy Hubner
D
6
S. van Ottele
67'
D
S. van Ottele
67'
D
2
Siebe Wylin
75'
D
Siebe Wylin
75'
D
20
É. Michut
M
É. Michut
M
23
P. Brittijn
M
P. Brittijn
M
22
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
66'
M
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
66'
M
9
A. Descotte
45'
F
A. Descotte
45'
F
25
L. Zeefuik
F
L. Zeefuik
F
10
O. Romeny
5'
F
O. Romeny
5'
F
Bench
12
Ivo Pinto
49'
D
Ivo Pinto
49'
D
8
J. Dahlhaus
28'
D
J. Dahlhaus
28'
D
33
K. Reitmaier
G
K. Reitmaier
G
1
L. Koopmans
G
L. Koopmans
G
52
M. Ihattaren
28'
M
M. Ihattaren
28'
M
38
Moussa Gbemou
M
Moussa Gbemou
M
3
Rodrigo Guth
19'
D
Rodrigo Guth
19'
D
5
Y. Oukili
27'
M
Y. Oukili
27'
M
28
J. De Busser
G
J. De Busser
G
5
M. Chávez
D
M. Chávez
D
4
L. Schouten
D
L. Schouten
D
3
W. Goes
D
W. Goes
D
22
E. Dijkstra
86'
D
E. Dijkstra
86'
D
6
P. Koopmeiners
M
P. Koopmeiners
M
21
D. Kwakman
45'
M
D. Kwakman
45'
M
11
R. Daal
M
R. Daal
M
10
K. Smit
69'
M
K. Smit
69'
M
7
Weslley Patati
45'
M
Weslley Patati
45'
M
9
M. Meerdink
86'
F
M. Meerdink
86'
F
Bench
24
A. Oufkir
1 👟
8'
F
A. Oufkir
1 👟
8'
F
45
B. Kovacs
F
B. Kovacs
F
23
B. van Duijl
D
B. van Duijl
D
14
C. Stengs
49'
M
C. Stengs
49'
M
75
H. de Wit
M
H. de Wit
M
12
H. Verhulst
G
H. Verhulst
G
8
J. Clasie
25'
M
J. Clasie
25'
M
19
J. Hornkamp
2 ⚽
49'
F
J. Hornkamp
2 ⚽
49'
F
31
R. Ichihara
D
R. Ichihara
D
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
13
S. de Grand
D
S. de Grand
D
2
S. Maikuma
8'
D
S. Maikuma
8'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Branderhorst
G · Fortuna
8.90
· 51 pass
J. De Busser
G · AZ
7.70
· 19 pass
P. Koopmeiners
M · AZ
7.60
3 shots
· 101 pass
J. Hornkamp
F · AZ
7.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 3 pass
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
M · Fortuna
7.30
1 shots
· 13 pass
W. Goes
D · AZ
7.30
· 47 pass
Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Branderhorst | G | 94 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 26% | — | — | — |
| N. de Groot | D | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Quincy Hubner | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| S. van Ottele | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Siebe Wylin | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| É. Michut | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| P. Brittijn | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand | M | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Descotte | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Zeefuik | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Romeny | F | 5 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 |
| Ivo Pinto | D | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dahlhaus | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Ihattaren | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Guth | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Oukili | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. De Busser | G | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Chávez | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | — | — | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Goes | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 86 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 101 | 99% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Kwakman | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | — | — | — |
| R. Daal | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 43% | — | — | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Stengs | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hornkamp | F | 49 | 7.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Maikuma | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Fortuna Sittard win, 30% to a draw, and 40% to an AZ Alkmaar win.