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← Serie D - Girone F

Fossombrone - L'Aquila

Serie D - Girone F September 13, 2026 15:00
Fossombrone
#7 · 3 pts
vs
L'Aquila
#8 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.15%
Win
Fossombrone
32.63%
Draw
32.22%
Win
L'Aquila
1.67
Expected xG
0.68

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.97%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fossombrone a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for L'Aquila. Expected goals are 1.7 for Fossombrone and 0.7 for L'Aquila (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.97% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Fossombrone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for L'Aquila.

Season Stats

Fossombrone
4W 5D 6L
L'Aquila
3W 6D 6L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.0
1.2
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
47%
O 2.5
40%
47%
BTTS
53%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone F. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Fossombrone
5W 3D 2L · at home
L'Aquila
2W 4D 4L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.2
0.5
Conceded
1.4
50%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
40%
O 1.5
80%
30%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fossombrone L'Aquila →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 15.9% 10.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% —
2 13.3% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 7.4% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% — —
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Fossombrone Fossombrone
W Real Giulianova 1–2
L Recanatese 2–0
W Castelfidardo Calcio 3–1
D Atletico Ascoli 1–1
L Ancona 1–2
L'Aquila L'Aquila
W Termoli Calcio 1–0
D Termoli Calcio 1–1
D Ancona 0–0
L Ostia Mare 2–1
D Sammaurese 0–0

Playing profile

Fossombrone Fossombrone
Attack
16
Defence
40
Form
26
L'Aquila L'Aquila
Attack
9
Defence
37
Form
20
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Fossombrone
0
Draw
1
L'Aquila
29 Mar 2026 Serie D - Girone F 1–0
16 Nov 2025 Serie D - Girone F 0–3

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia 1 3
2 Teramo Teramo 1 3
3 Angelana Angelana 1 3
4 Ancona Ancona 1 3
5 Foligno Calcio Foligno Calcio 1 3
6 Santegidiese Santegidiese 1 3
7 Fossombrone Fossombrone 1 3
8 L'Aquila L'Aquila 1 3
9 Recanatese Recanatese 1 1
10 Pietralunga Pietralunga 1 1
11 Real Giulianova Real Giulianova 1 0
12 Notaresco Notaresco 1 0
13 Montecchio Gallo Montecchio Gallo 1 0
14 Lanciano FC Lanciano FC 1 0
15 Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio 1 0
16 Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli 1 0
17 Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina 1 0
18 Maceratese Maceratese 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fossombrone vs L'Aquila?
The model gives Fossombrone a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an L'Aquila win.
How many goals are expected in Fossombrone vs L'Aquila?
Expected goals: Fossombrone 1.7, L'Aquila 0.7 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Fossombrone vs L'Aquila?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.97%.