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France U21 - Italy U21

Friendlies Internazionali November 13, 2026 18:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.56%
Win
France U21
31.55%
Draw
34.89%
Win
Italy U21
2.02
Expected xG
2.32

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.39%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 66%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Italy U21 a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for France U21. Expected goals are 2.0 for France U21 and 2.3 for Italy U21 (total 4.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.39% probability.

Season Stats

France U21
1W 1D 1L
Italy U21
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
1.3
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
0%
33%
O 2.5
0%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ France U21 Italy U21 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
1 2.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.2% 4.8% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0%
4 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

L Japan U18 1–3
W Ukraine U18 1–0
D Austria U18 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
W Albania U21 1–0

Playing profile

France U21 France U21
Attack
25
Defence
66
Form
51
Italy U21 Italy U21
Attack
25
Defence
100
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win France U21 vs Italy U21?
The model gives France U21 a 33% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 34% for an Italy U21 win.
How many goals are expected in France U21 vs Italy U21?
Expected goals: France U21 2.0, Italy U21 2.3 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in France U21 vs Italy U21?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.39%.