✗Model wrong — prediction France, result Draw
Michael Olise
(ast. Rayan Cherki)
55'
68'
Alessandro Bastoni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 57% win probability (draw 26%, Italy 15%). The final result was France 1–1 Italy. In 2 previous meetings, France have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Italy.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
14
8
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
4
20
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
54'
Nicolo Fagioli
⚽Michael Olise
· ast. Rayan Cherki
55'
62'
Nicolò Barella
/
Sandro Tonali
62'
Antonio Vergara
/
Pio Esposito
68'
Alessandro Bastoni⚽
Dayot Upamecano
73'
73'
Moise Kean
Rayan Cherki
/ Eduardo Camavinga
76'
Désiré Doue
/ Bradley Barcola
76'
80'
Daniel Maldini
/
Sebastiano Esposito
80'
Issa Doumbia
/
Davide Frattesi
82'
Antonio Vergara
Dayot Upamecano
85'
Lucas Da Cunha
/ Maxence Lacroix
87'
90'+2
Alessandro Bastoni
90'
Gianluca Scamacca
/
Nicolo Fagioli
Pre-match prediction
57.55%
France
26.74%
X ←
15.71%
Italy
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
—
—
0.85
—
—
Lineups
16
M. Maignan
G
M. Maignan
G
3
A. Truffert
D
A. Truffert
D
4
D. Upamecano
85'
D
D. Upamecano
85'
D
22
J. Jacquet
D
J. Jacquet
D
2
P. Kalulu
D
P. Kalulu
D
14
A. Rabiot
M
A. Rabiot
M
21
L. da Cunha
87'
M
L. da Cunha
87'
M
9
R. Cherki
1 👟
76'
M
R. Cherki
1 👟
76'
M
20
D. Doué
76'
F
D. Doué
76'
F
7
O. Dembélé
F
O. Dembélé
F
11
M. Olise
1 ⚽
F
M. Olise
1 ⚽
F
Bench
13
A. Diouf
M
A. Diouf
M
12
B. Barcola
14'
F
B. Barcola
14'
F
6
E. Camavinga
14'
M
E. Camavinga
14'
M
19
E. Lepaul
F
E. Lepaul
F
1
G. Restes
G
G. Restes
G
23
J. Butez
G
J. Butez
G
5
J. Koundé
D
J. Koundé
D
15
L. Yoro
D
L. Yoro
D
18
M. Akliouche
M
M. Akliouche
M
8
M. Koné
M
M. Koné
M
17
M. Lacroix
3'
D
M. Lacroix
3'
D
1
G. Donnarumma
G
G. Donnarumma
G
5
R. Calafiori
D
R. Calafiori
D
6
A. Bastoni
1 ⚽
D
A. Bastoni
1 ⚽
D
19
G. Scalvini
D
G. Scalvini
D
2
M. Kayode
D
M. Kayode
D
10
N. Fagioli
89'
M
N. Fagioli
89'
M
8
S. Tonali
62'
M
S. Tonali
62'
M
16
D. Frattesi
80'
M
D. Frattesi
80'
M
9
M. Kean
F
M. Kean
F
7
F. Esposito
62'
F
F. Esposito
62'
F
20
S. Esposito
80'
F
S. Esposito
80'
F
Bench
21
A. Vergara
28'
M
A. Vergara
28'
M
17
D. Maldini
10'
F
D. Maldini
10'
F
22
G. Di Lorenzo
D
G. Di Lorenzo
D
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
11
G. Scamacca
1'
F
G. Scamacca
1'
F
13
G. Vicario
G
G. Vicario
G
15
I. Doumbia
10'
M
I. Doumbia
10'
M
12
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
3
M. Ruggeri
D
M. Ruggeri
D
14
M. Zoma
F
M. Zoma
F
18
N. Barella
28'
M
N. Barella
28'
M
4
S. Ricci
M
S. Ricci
M
Best on the pitch
M. Olise
F · France
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 79 pass
R. Cherki
M · France
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 75 pass
A. Bastoni
D · Italy
7.68
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 54 pass
L. da Cunha
M · France
7.46
· 85 pass
M. Kayode
D · Italy
7.40
· 24 pass
G. Donnarumma
G · Italy
7.40
· 34 pass
France — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan | G | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Truffert | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 85 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 90 | 84% | 2 | — | 1 |
| J. Jacquet | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 80 | 79% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Kalulu | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| L. da Cunha | M | 87 | 7.46 | — | — | 0 | 85 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 76 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 75 | 70% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 76 | 7.03 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 45% | 5 | — | — |
| O. Dembélé | F | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 6 | 51 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Olise | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 79 | 67% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Barcola | F | 14 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 14 | 6.86 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 3 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Italy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Donnarumma | G | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Calafiori | D | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Bastoni | D | 90 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 4 | 54 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Scalvini | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Fagioli | M | 89 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 62 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kean | F | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 62 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 80 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Vergara | M | 28 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Maldini | F | 10 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 10 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Barella | M | 28 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of France vs Italy?
The final score was France 1–1 Italy.
What did the model predict before France vs Italy?
The model assigned 57% probability to a France win, 26% to a draw, and 15% to an Italy win.