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M. Olise 43'
M. Olise 49'
M. Olise (ast. M. Gusto) 74'
64' (ast. S. Charles) P. Kelly
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Northern Ireland 26%). The final result was France 3–1 Northern Ireland.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
73%
Possession
27%
5
Corners
1
20
Tackles
15
Match Events
⚽M. Olise
43'
↕ J. Kounde / M. Gusto
46'
↕ W. Saliba / M. Lacroix
46'
⚽M. Olise
49'
↕ O. Dembele / R. Cherki
62'
↕ T. Hernandez / L. Digne
62'
↕ D. Doue / B. Barcola
62'
63'
E. Galbraith / A. McCann ↕
64'
ast. S. Charles · P. Kelly⚽
⚽M. Olise · ast. M. Gusto
74'
79'
J. Magennis / J. Donley ↕
79'
J. McDonnell / I. Price ↕
79'
C. O'Neill / P. Kelly ↕
↕ A. Tchouameni / M. Kone
82'
↕ M. Olise / M. Akliouche
82'
↕ A. Rabiot / N. Kante
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
46.43%
France ←
27.42%
X
26.16%
Northern
we assigned to the actual result (France) 46.43% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
France
2.26
—
—
Northern
1.13
—
—
Lineups
France France 4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan M. Maignan G 6.30
19 T. Hernández T. Hernández 62' D 7.50
17 William Saliba William Saliba 45' D 7.60
4 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D 7.20
5 J. Koundé J. Koundé 45' D 6.70
14 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot 89' M 7.50
8 A. Tchouaméni A. Tchouaméni 82' M 7.90
20 D. Doué D. Doué 62' M 7.20
7 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 62' M 6.90
11 M. Olise M. Olise 3 ⚽ 82' M 10.00
10 Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé F 6.70
Bench
12 B. Barcola B. Barcola 28' F 6.90
1 B. Samba B. Samba G
15 I. Konaté I. Konaté D
22 J. Mateta J. Mateta F
3 L. Digne L. Digne 28' D 6.30
21 L. Hernández L. Hernández D
25 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 8' M 6.70
2 M. Gusto M. Gusto 1 👟 45' D 6.50
6 M. Koné M. Koné 8' M 7.30
26 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix 45' D 6.20
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram F
13 N'Golo Kanté N'Golo Kanté 1' M
24 R. Cherki R. Cherki 28' M 7.20
23 R. Risser R. Risser G
18 W. Zaïre-Emery W. Zaïre-Emery M
1 P. Charles P. Charles G 6.30
22 C. Brown C. Brown D 6.30
3 Ruairi McConville Ruairi McConville D 6.60
5 T. Hume T. Hume D 6.60
15 J. Devenny J. Devenny M 6.20
19 S. Charles S. Charles 1 👟 M 7.20
16 Ali McCann Ali McCann 63' M 6.20
20 B. Spencer B. Spencer M 6.20
14 I. Price I. Price 79' F 6.90
2 Patrick Kelly Patrick Kelly 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
10 J. Donley J. Donley 79' F 6.30
Bench
17 B. Graham B. Graham F
13 Ceadach O'Neill Ceadach O'Neill 11' F 6.60
8 C. Marshall C. Marshall F
7 E. Galbraith E. Galbraith 27' M 6.30
6 Jamie Carson McDonnell Jamie Carson McDonnell 11' M 6.70
23 J. Clarke J. Clarke G
21 J. Magennis J. Magennis 11' F 6.70
18 J. Reid J. Reid F
9 K. Morrison K. Morrison M
12 L. Southwood L. Southwood G
11 P. Smyth P. Smyth F
Best on the pitch
M. Olise
M. Olise
M · France
10.00
3 ⚽
5 shots · 59 pass
A. Tchouaméni
A. Tchouaméni
M · France
7.90
1 shots · 84 pass
William Saliba
William Saliba
D · France
7.60
· 50 pass
T. Hernández
T. Hernández
D · France
7.50
1 shots · 54 pass
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
M · France
7.50
1 shots · 80 pass
M. Koné
M. Koné
M · France
7.30
· 18 pass
France France — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Maignan G 90 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
T. Hernández D 62 7.50 — — 1 54 51% 1 — —
William Saliba D 45 7.60 — — — 50 48% 2 — —
D. Upamecano D 90 7.20 — — — 100 95% 1 — —
J. Koundé D 45 6.70 — — — 43 41% — — —
A. Rabiot M 89 7.50 — — 1 80 75% 2 — —
A. Tchouaméni M 82 7.90 — — 1 84 82% 4 — —
D. Doué M 62 7.20 — — 1 48 45% — — —
O. Dembélé M 62 6.90 — — — 31 28% 2 — —
M. Olise M 82 10.00 3 — 5 59 51% 3 — —
Kylian Mbappé F 90 6.70 — — 5 64 54% 1 — —
B. Barcola F 28 6.90 — — 1 18 17% — — —
L. Digne D 28 6.30 — — 1 31 26% 1 — —
M. Akliouche M 8 6.70 — — 1 12 11% — — —
M. Gusto D 45 6.50 — 1 — 35 32% 1 — —
M. Koné M 8 7.30 — — — 18 18% 1 — —
M. Lacroix D 45 6.20 — — 1 36 34% — — —
N'Golo Kanté M 1 — — — — 2 2% 1 — —
R. Cherki M 28 7.20 — — — 49 45% — — —
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Charles G 90 6.30 — — — 34 17% — — —
C. Brown D 90 6.30 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
Ruairi McConville D 90 6.60 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
T. Hume D 90 6.60 — — — 47 37% 2 — —
J. Devenny M 90 6.20 — — 1 26 20% 2 — —
S. Charles M 90 7.20 — 1 1 36 33% 2 — —
Ali McCann M 63 6.20 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
B. Spencer M 90 6.20 — — — 29 22% — — —
I. Price F 79 6.90 — — — 24 20% 1 — —
Patrick Kelly F 79 7.20 1 — 2 16 13% 3 — —
J. Donley F 79 6.30 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
Ceadach O'Neill F 11 6.60 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
E. Galbraith M 27 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Jamie Carson McDonnell M 11 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
J. Magennis F 11 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of France vs Northern Ireland?
The final score was France 3–1 Northern Ireland.
What did the model predict before France vs Northern Ireland?
The model assigned 46% probability to a France win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Northern Ireland win.