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M. Olise 43'
M. Olise 49'
M. Olise (ast. M. Gusto) 74'
64' (ast. S. Charles) P. Kelly
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Northern Ireland 26%). The final result was France 3–1 Northern Ireland.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
73%
Possession
27%
5
Corners
1
20
Tackles
15
Match Events
M. Olise
43'
J. Kounde / M. Gusto
46'
W. Saliba / M. Lacroix
46'
M. Olise
49'
O. Dembele / R. Cherki
62'
T. Hernandez / L. Digne
62'
D. Doue / B. Barcola
62'
63'
E. Galbraith / A. McCann
64'
ast. S. Charles · P. Kelly
M. Olise · ast. M. Gusto
74'
79'
J. Magennis / J. Donley
79'
J. McDonnell / I. Price
79'
C. O'Neill / P. Kelly
A. Tchouameni / M. Kone
82'
M. Olise / M. Akliouche
82'
A. Rabiot / N. Kante
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
46.43%
France ←
27.42%
X
26.16%
Northern
we assigned to the actual result (France) 46.43% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
France
2.26
Northern
1.13
Lineups
France France 4-2-3-1
16 Mike Maignan Mike Maignan G 6.30
19 Theo Hernández Theo Hernández 62' D 7.50
17 William Saliba William Saliba 45' D 7.60
4 Dayot Upamecano Dayot Upamecano D 7.20
5 Jules Koundé Jules Koundé 45' D 6.70
14 Adrien Rabiot Adrien Rabiot 89' M 7.50
8 Aurélien Tchouaméni Aurélien Tchouaméni 82' M 7.90
20 Désiré Doué Désiré Doué 62' M 7.20
7 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 62' M 6.90
11 M. Olise M. Olise 3 ⚽ 82' M 10.00
10 Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé F 6.70
Bench
12 B. Barcola B. Barcola 28' F 6.90
1 Brice Samba Brice Samba G
15 Ibrahima Konaté Ibrahima Konaté D
22 Jean-Philippe Mateta Jean-Philippe Mateta F
3 Lucas Digne Lucas Digne 28' D 6.30
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández D
25 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 8' M 6.70
2 Malo Gusto Malo Gusto 1 👟 45' D 6.50
6 Manu Koné Manu Koné 8' M 7.30
9 Marcus Thuram Marcus Thuram F
26 Maxence Lacroix Maxence Lacroix 45' D 6.20
13 N'Golo Kanté N'Golo Kanté 1' M
24 R. Cherki R. Cherki 28' M 7.20
23 Robin Risser Robin Risser G
18 Warren Zaïre-Emery Warren Zaïre-Emery M
1 Pierce Charles Pierce Charles G 6.30
22 Ciaron Brown Ciaron Brown D 6.30
3 Ruairi McConville Ruairi McConville D 6.60
5 T. Hume T. Hume D 6.60
15 Justin Devenny Justin Devenny M 6.20
19 Shea Charles Shea Charles 1 👟 M 7.20
16 Ali McCann Ali McCann 63' M 6.20
20 Brodie Spencer Brodie Spencer M 6.20
14 Isaac Price Isaac Price 79' F 6.90
2 Patrick Kelly Patrick Kelly 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
10 Jamie Donley Jamie Donley 79' F 6.30
Bench
17 Braiden Graham Braiden Graham F
8 Callum Marshall Callum Marshall F
13 Ceadach O'Neill Ceadach O'Neill 11' F 6.60
7 Ethan Galbraith Ethan Galbraith 27' M 6.30
6 Jamie McDonnell Jamie McDonnell 11' M 6.70
23 J. Clarke J. Clarke G
21 Josh Magennis Josh Magennis 11' F 6.70
18 J. Reid J. Reid F
9 Kieran Morrison Kieran Morrison M
12 Luke Southwood Luke Southwood G
11 Paul Smyth Paul Smyth F
Best on the pitch
M. Olise
M. Olise
M · France
10.00
3 ⚽
5 shots · 59 pass
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Aurélien Tchouaméni
M · France
7.90
1 shots · 84 pass
William Saliba
William Saliba
D · France
7.60
· 50 pass
Theo Hernández
Theo Hernández
D · France
7.50
1 shots · 54 pass
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot
M · France
7.50
1 shots · 80 pass
Manu Koné
Manu Koné
M · France
7.30
· 18 pass
France France — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mike Maignan G 90 6.30 16 14%
Theo Hernández D 62 7.50 1 54 51% 1
William Saliba D 45 7.60 50 48% 2
Dayot Upamecano D 90 7.20 100 95% 1
Jules Koundé D 45 6.70 43 41%
Adrien Rabiot M 89 7.50 1 80 75% 2
Aurélien Tchouaméni M 82 7.90 1 84 82% 4
Désiré Doué M 62 7.20 1 48 45%
O. Dembélé M 62 6.90 31 28% 2
M. Olise M 82 10.00 3 5 59 51% 3
Kylian Mbappé F 90 6.70 5 64 54% 1
B. Barcola F 28 6.90 1 18 17%
Lucas Digne D 28 6.30 1 31 26% 1
M. Akliouche M 8 6.70 1 12 11%
Malo Gusto D 45 6.50 1 35 32% 1
Manu Koné M 8 7.30 18 18% 1
Maxence Lacroix D 45 6.20 1 36 34%
N'Golo Kanté M 1 2 2% 1
R. Cherki M 28 7.20 49 45%
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pierce Charles G 90 6.30 34 17%
Ciaron Brown D 90 6.30 28 25% 1
Ruairi McConville D 90 6.60 20 18% 1
T. Hume D 90 6.60 47 37% 2
Justin Devenny M 90 6.20 1 26 20% 2
Shea Charles M 90 7.20 1 1 36 33% 2
Ali McCann M 63 6.20 30 27% 1
Brodie Spencer M 90 6.20 29 22%
Isaac Price F 79 6.90 24 20% 1
Patrick Kelly F 79 7.20 1 2 16 13% 3
Jamie Donley F 79 6.30 15 11% 1
Ceadach O'Neill F 11 6.60 1 1% 1
Ethan Galbraith M 27 6.30 5 5%
Jamie McDonnell M 11 6.70 3 3%
Josh Magennis F 11 6.70 4 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of France vs Northern Ireland?
The final score was France 3–1 Northern Ireland.
What did the model predict before France vs Northern Ireland?
The model assigned 46% probability to a France win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Northern Ireland win.