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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 June 16, 2026 21:00
France
#1 · 9 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Senegal
#3 · 3 pts
K. Mbappe (ast. M. Olise) 66'
B. Barcola (ast. A. Rabiot) 82'
K. Mbappe 90'+6
90'+5 (ast. I. Ndiaye) I. Mbaye
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Senegal 25%). The final result was France 3–1 Senegal.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
1.89
Actual xG
0.50
2
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
4
18
Tackles
14
Match Events
⚽K. Mbappe · ast. M. Olise
66'
75'
I. Mbaye / I. Sarr ↕
76'
H. Diarra / L. Camara ↕
↕ O. Dembele / B. Barcola
80'
⚽B. Barcola · ast. A. Rabiot
82'
83'
I. Ndiaye / P. Gueye ↕
83'
B. Dieng / N. Jackson ↕
↕ D. Doue / R. Cherki
87'
88'
P. Ciss / I. Gueye ↕
90'+5
ast. I. Ndiaye · I. Mbaye⚽
⚽K. Mbappe
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
46.94%
France ←
27.8%
X
25.25%
Senegal
we assigned to the actual result (France) 46.94% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
France
2.01
1.89
-0.12
Senegal
1.09
0.50
-0.59
France dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 France France 3 9
2 Norway Norway 3 6
3 Senegal Senegal 3 3
4 Iraq Iraq 3 0
Lineups
France France 4-2-3-1
16 Mike Maignan Mike Maignan G 6.20
19 Theo Hernández Theo Hernández D 6.50
17 William Saliba William Saliba D 6.70
4 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D 7.90
5 Jules Koundé Jules Koundé D 6.30
14 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot 1 👟 M 7.50
8 A. Tchouaméni A. Tchouaméni M 7.30
20 D. Doué D. Doué 87' M 6.70
7 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 80' M 7.00
11 M. Olise M. Olise 1 👟 M 7.90
10 Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
12 B. Barcola B. Barcola 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.90
1 Brice Samba Brice Samba G
15 Ibrahima Konaté Ibrahima Konaté D
22 Jean-Philippe Mateta Jean-Philippe Mateta F
3 Lucas Digne Lucas Digne D
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández D
25 Maghnes Akliouche Maghnes Akliouche M
2 Malo Gusto Malo Gusto D
6 Manu Koné Manu Koné M
26 Maxence Lacroix Maxence Lacroix D
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram F
13 N'Golo Kanté N'Golo Kanté M
24 R. Cherki R. Cherki 13' M 6.30
23 Robin Risser Robin Risser G
18 Warren Zaïre-Emery Warren Zaïre-Emery M
Senegal Senegal 4-2-3-1
16 É. Mendy É. Mendy G 6.90
25 El Hadji Malick Diouf El Hadji Malick Diouf D 6.20
19 M. Niakhaté M. Niakhaté D 6.50
3 K. Koulibaly K. Koulibaly D 6.20
15 Krépin Diatta Krépin Diatta D 6.90
26 P. Gueye P. Gueye 83' M 6.90
5 Idrissa Gana Gueye Idrissa Gana Gueye 88' M 6.60
10 S. Mané S. Mané M 6.30
8 L. Camara L. Camara 76' M 6.20
18 I. Sarr I. Sarr 75' M 6.30
11 N. Jackson N. Jackson 83' F 5.90
Bench
4 Abdoulaye Seck Abdoulaye Seck D
24 Antoine Mendy Antoine Mendy D
7 Assane Diao Assane Diao F
22 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye Bara Sapoko Ndiaye M
9 B. Dieng B. Dieng 17' F 6.50
12 C. Ndiaye C. Ndiaye F
21 H. Diarra H. Diarra 14' M 6.30
20 Ibrahim Mbaye Ibrahim Mbaye 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.30
13 I. Ndiaye I. Ndiaye 1 👟 17' F 6.70
14 Ismail Jakobs Ismail Jakobs D
2 Mamadou Sarr Mamadou Sarr D
23 Mory Diaw Mory Diaw G
17 Pape Matar Sarr Pape Matar Sarr M
6 P. Ciss P. Ciss 12' M 6.70
1 Yehvann Diouf Yehvann Diouf G
Best on the pitch
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé
F · France
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
B. Barcola
B. Barcola
F · France
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
D. Upamecano
D. Upamecano
D · France
7.90
· 80 pass
M. Olise
M. Olise
M · France
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 57 pass
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
M · France
7.50
1 👟
· 50 pass
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye
F · Senegal
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
France France — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mike Maignan G 90 6.20 — — — 39 28% — — —
Theo Hernández D 90 6.50 — — — 48 45% 2 — —
William Saliba D 90 6.70 — — — 72 69% — — —
D. Upamecano D 90 7.90 — — — 80 70% 6 — —
Jules Koundé D 90 6.30 — — — 59 51% 4 — —
A. Rabiot M 90 7.50 — 1 — 50 46% — — —
A. Tchouaméni M 90 7.30 — — — 70 62% 3 — —
D. Doué M 87 6.70 — — 2 36 31% — — —
O. Dembélé M 80 7.00 — — — 34 26% 1 — —
M. Olise M 90 7.90 — 1 2 57 51% 2 — —
Kylian Mbappé F 90 8.20 2 — 4 16 15% — — —
B. Barcola F 10 7.90 1 — 1 7 6% — — —
R. Cherki M 13 6.30 — — — 8 5% — — —
Senegal Senegal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
É. Mendy G 90 6.90 — — — 36 31% — — —
El Hadji Malick Diouf D 90 6.20 — — — 43 31% 2 — —
M. Niakhaté D 90 6.50 — — — 81 74% — — —
K. Koulibaly D 90 6.20 — — — 44 37% 4 — —
Krépin Diatta D 90 6.90 — — — 49 43% 5 — —
P. Gueye M 83 6.90 — — — 48 41% — — —
Idrissa Gana Gueye M 88 6.60 — — — 61 56% 2 — —
S. Mané M 90 6.30 — — 1 30 26% — — —
L. Camara M 76 6.20 — — — 30 26% — — —
I. Sarr M 75 6.30 — — 2 14 11% — — —
N. Jackson F 83 5.90 — — 1 17 12% 1 — —
B. Dieng F 17 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
H. Diarra M 14 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Ibrahim Mbaye F 15 7.30 1 — 1 8 7% — — —
I. Ndiaye F 17 6.70 — 1 — 10 9% — — —
P. Ciss M 12 6.70 — — — 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of France vs Senegal?
The final score was France 3–1 Senegal.
What did the model predict before France vs Senegal?
The model assigned 46% probability to a France win, 27% to a draw, and 25% to an Senegal win.