✓Model correct — prediction France
K. Mbappe
(ast. O. Dembele)
45'
B. Barcola
(ast. M. Olise)
53'
K. Mbappe
(ast. M. Olise)
74'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 75% win probability (draw 14%, Sweden 9%). The final result was France 3–0 Sweden.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
7
12
Shots on target
3
3.17
Actual xG
0.65
3
Saves
9
61%
Possession
39%
9
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
Match Events
21'
⚽K. Mbappe
· ast. O. Dembele
45'
⚽B. Barcola
· ast. M. Olise
53'
66'
T. Ali
/
E. Stroud
66'
B. Zeneli
/
L. Bergvall
⚽K. Mbappe
· ast. M. Olise
74'
J. Kounde
/ M. Gusto
75'
O. Dembele
/ D. Doue
75'
L. Digne
/ T. Hernandez
78'
82'
M. Svanberg
/
D. Svensson
82'
B. Nygren
/
Y. Ayari
K. Mbappe
/ J. Mateta
85'
M. Olise
/ R. Cherki
85'
89'
G. Nilsson
/
A. Isak
Pre-match prediction
75.4%
France ←
14.69%
X
9.91%
Sweden
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (France)
75.4%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.28
3.17
-0.11
1.06
0.65
-0.41
France dominated by xG (3.17 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
M. Maignan
G
M. Maignan
G
3
L. Digne
78'
D
L. Digne
78'
D
17
William Saliba
D
William Saliba
D
4
D. Upamecano
D
D. Upamecano
D
5
J. Koundé
75'
D
J. Koundé
75'
D
14
A. Rabiot
M
A. Rabiot
M
8
A. Tchouaméni
M
A. Tchouaméni
M
12
B. Barcola
1 ⚽
M
B. Barcola
1 ⚽
M
11
M. Olise
2 👟
85'
M
M. Olise
2 👟
85'
M
7
O. Dembélé
1 👟
75'
M
O. Dembélé
1 👟
75'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
2 ⚽
85'
F
Kylian Mbappé
2 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
1
B. Samba
G
B. Samba
G
20
D. Doué
15'
F
D. Doué
15'
F
15
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
22
Jean-Philippe Mateta
9'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
9'
F
21
L. Hernández
D
L. Hernández
D
25
M. Akliouche
M
M. Akliouche
M
2
M. Gusto
15'
D
M. Gusto
15'
D
6
M. Koné
M
M. Koné
M
26
M. Lacroix
D
M. Lacroix
D
9
M. Thuram
F
M. Thuram
F
13
N'Golo Kanté
M
N'Golo Kanté
M
24
R. Cherki
9'
M
R. Cherki
9'
M
23
R. Risser
G
R. Risser
G
19
Theo Hernández
12'
D
Theo Hernández
12'
D
18
W. Zaïre-Emery
M
W. Zaïre-Emery
M
1
J. Widell Zetterström
G
J. Widell Zetterström
G
5
G. Gudmundsson
D
G. Gudmundsson
D
3
V. Lindelöf
D
V. Lindelöf
D
2
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
8
D. Svensson
82'
D
D. Svensson
82'
D
24
E. Stroud
66'
M
E. Stroud
66'
M
18
Y. Ayari
82'
M
Y. Ayari
82'
M
7
L. Bergvall
66'
M
L. Bergvall
66'
M
11
A. Elanga
M
A. Elanga
M
9
A. Isak
89'
F
A. Isak
89'
F
17
V. Gyökeres
F
V. Gyökeres
F
Bench
21
A. Bernhardsson
F
A. Bernhardsson
F
10
B. Nygren
8'
F
B. Nygren
8'
F
22
B. Zeneli
24'
M
B. Zeneli
24'
M
15
C. Starfelt
D
C. Starfelt
D
20
E. Smith
D
E. Smith
D
25
G. Nilsson
1'
F
G. Nilsson
1'
F
14
H. Ekdal
D
H. Ekdal
D
6
H. Johansson
M
H. Johansson
M
16
J. Karlström
M
J. Karlström
M
13
Ken Sema
M
23
K. Nordfeldt
G
K. Nordfeldt
G
19
M. Svanberg
8'
M
M. Svanberg
8'
M
26
T. Ali
24'
M
T. Ali
24'
M
12
V. Johansson
G
V. Johansson
G
Best on the pitch
Kylian Mbappé
F · France
9.60
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 41 pass
M. Olise
M · France
9.00
2 👟
5 shots
· 69 pass
J. Widell Zetterström
G · Sweden
8.70
· 24 pass
B. Barcola
M · France
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
A. Tchouaméni
M · France
7.70
1 shots
· 67 pass
M. Maignan
G · France
7.70
· 24 pass
France — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| William Saliba | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| J. Koundé | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Barcola | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 85 | 9.00 | — | 2 | 5 | 69 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Dembélé | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 85 | 9.60 | 2 | — | 5 | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Gusto | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Theo Hernández | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Sweden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Gudmundsson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Svensson | D | 82 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Stroud | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Ayari | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Elanga | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Zeneli | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Nilsson | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Svanberg | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Ali | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of France vs Sweden?
The final score was France 3–0 Sweden.
What did the model predict before France vs Sweden?
The model assigned 75% probability to a France win, 14% to a draw, and 9% to an Sweden win.