France - Sweden
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
27.9°C
💨 12 km/h
· Kuwait
⚡ Pre-match analysis
75.82%
Win
France
14.27%
Draw
9.91%
Win
Sweden
3.3
1.07
Expected xG
Most likely result
3–1
(8.1%)
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
81%
Model prediction
France
75.82%
Probability
82.6%
1X2 accuracy · 23 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives France a 75% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Sweden. Expected goals are 3.3 for France and 1.1 for Sweden (total 4.4), with a 89% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 8.1% probability.
Season Stats
3W
0D
0L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
3.3
Goals
2.3
0.7
Conceded
2.3
7.0
Shots OT
6.3
5.0
Corners
5.3
55%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in World Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 1.5
75%
O 2.5
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
2W
0D
0L
· at home
0W
1D
1L
· away
3.0
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
3.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ France
Sweden →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
France
Attack
59
Defence
74
Form
76
Sweden
Attack
47
Defence
55
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
What's at stake · Group I
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → France | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #1 | #1 |
| → Sweden | #1 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win France vs Sweden?
The model gives France a 75% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 9% for an Sweden win.
How many goals are expected in France vs Sweden?
Expected goals: France 3.3, Sweden 1.1 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 89%.
What is the most likely score in France vs Sweden?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.1%.