✓Model correct — prediction France
K. Mbappe
(ast. O. Dembele)
45'
B. Barcola
(ast. M. Olise)
53'
K. Mbappe
(ast. M. Olise)
74'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 75% win probability (draw 14%, Sweden 9%). The final result was France 3–0 Sweden.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
7
12
Shots on target
3
3.17
Actual xG
0.65
3
Saves
9
61%
Possession
39%
9
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
Match Events
21'
⚽K. Mbappe
· ast. O. Dembele
45'
⚽B. Barcola
· ast. M. Olise
53'
66'
T. Ali
/
E. Stroud
66'
B. Zeneli
/
L. Bergvall
⚽K. Mbappe
· ast. M. Olise
74'
J. Kounde
/ M. Gusto
75'
O. Dembele
/ D. Doue
75'
L. Digne
/ T. Hernandez
78'
82'
M. Svanberg
/
D. Svensson
82'
B. Nygren
/
Y. Ayari
K. Mbappe
/ J. Mateta
85'
M. Olise
/ R. Cherki
85'
89'
G. Nilsson
/
A. Isak
Pre-match prediction
75.4%
France ←
14.69%
X
9.91%
Sweden
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (France)
75.4%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.28
3.17
-0.11
1.06
0.65
-0.41
France dominated by xG (3.17 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
Mike Maignan
G
Mike Maignan
G
3
Lucas Digne
78'
D
Lucas Digne
78'
D
17
William Saliba
D
William Saliba
D
4
D. Upamecano
D
D. Upamecano
D
5
Jules Koundé
75'
D
Jules Koundé
75'
D
14
A. Rabiot
M
A. Rabiot
M
8
A. Tchouaméni
M
A. Tchouaméni
M
12
B. Barcola
1 ⚽
M
B. Barcola
1 ⚽
M
11
M. Olise
2 👟
85'
M
M. Olise
2 👟
85'
M
7
O. Dembélé
1 👟
75'
M
O. Dembélé
1 👟
75'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
2 ⚽
85'
F
Kylian Mbappé
2 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
1
Brice Samba
G
Brice Samba
G
20
Désiré Doué
15'
F
Désiré Doué
15'
F
15
Ibrahima Konaté
D
Ibrahima Konaté
D
22
Jean-Philippe Mateta
9'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
9'
F
21
Lucas Hernández
D
Lucas Hernández
D
25
Maghnes Akliouche
M
Maghnes Akliouche
M
2
Malo Gusto
15'
D
Malo Gusto
15'
D
6
Manu Koné
M
Manu Koné
M
26
Maxence Lacroix
D
Maxence Lacroix
D
9
M. Thuram
F
M. Thuram
F
13
N'Golo Kanté
M
N'Golo Kanté
M
24
R. Cherki
9'
M
R. Cherki
9'
M
23
Robin Risser
G
Robin Risser
G
19
Theo Hernández
12'
D
Theo Hernández
12'
D
18
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M
1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
G
Jacob Widell Zetterström
G
5
Gabriel Gudmundsson
D
Gabriel Gudmundsson
D
3
Victor Lindelöf
D
Victor Lindelöf
D
2
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
8
D. Svensson
82'
D
D. Svensson
82'
D
24
Elliot Stroud
66'
M
18
Yasin Ayari
82'
M
Yasin Ayari
82'
M
7
L. Bergvall
66'
M
L. Bergvall
66'
M
11
Anthony Elanga
M
Anthony Elanga
M
9
A. Isak
89'
F
A. Isak
89'
F
17
V. Gyökeres
F
V. Gyökeres
F
Bench
21
Alexander Bernhardsson
F
Alexander Bernhardsson
F
22
Besfort Zeneli
24'
M
Besfort Zeneli
24'
M
10
B. Nygren
8'
F
B. Nygren
8'
F
15
Carl Starfelt
D
Carl Starfelt
D
20
Eric Smith
D
Eric Smith
D
25
Gustaf Nilsson
1'
F
Gustaf Nilsson
1'
F
6
Herman Johansson
M
Herman Johansson
M
14
Hjalmar Ekdal
D
Hjalmar Ekdal
D
16
Jesper Karlström
M
Jesper Karlström
M
13
Ken Sema
M
23
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
G
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
G
19
Mattias Svanberg
8'
M
Mattias Svanberg
8'
M
26
Taha Abdi Ali
24'
M
12
Viktor Johansson
G
Viktor Johansson
G
Best on the pitch
Kylian Mbappé
F · France
9.60
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 41 pass
M. Olise
M · France
9.00
2 👟
5 shots
· 69 pass
Jacob Widell Zetterström
G · Sweden
8.70
· 24 pass
B. Barcola
M · France
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
A. Tchouaméni
M · France
7.70
1 shots
· 67 pass
Mike Maignan
G · France
7.70
· 24 pass
France — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Digne | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| William Saliba | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Jules Koundé | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Barcola | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 85 | 9.00 | — | 2 | 5 | 69 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Dembélé | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 85 | 9.60 | 2 | — | 5 | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Désiré Doué | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Malo Gusto | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Theo Hernández | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Sweden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Lindelöf | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Svensson | D | 82 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Elliot Stroud | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Yasin Ayari | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Elanga | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Besfort Zeneli | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustaf Nilsson | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mattias Svanberg | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Taha Abdi Ali | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of France vs Sweden?
The final score was France 3–0 Sweden.
What did the model predict before France vs Sweden?
The model assigned 75% probability to a France win, 14% to a draw, and 9% to an Sweden win.