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Fredrikstad - Ham-Kam

Eliteserien May 16, 2026 16:00
#14 · 7 pts
vs
#6 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.47%
Win
Fredrikstad
29.69%
Draw
32.84%
Win
Ham-Kam
1.29
Expected xG
1.14

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fredrikstad a 37% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Ham-Kam. Expected goals are 1.3 for Fredrikstad and 1.1 for Ham-Kam (total 2.4), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.9% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Fredrikstad Ham-Kam →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 10.0% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
L Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1
L Brann 3–1
L Viking 1–2
L Kristiansund BK 2–0
D Valerenga 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 16%
W Valerenga 1–0
D Kristiansund BK 1–1
W Start 2–1
W KFUM Oslo 4–0
L Molde 4–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Attack
33
Defence
48
Form
34
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
Attack
36
Defence
59
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Tromso Tromso 10 23
2 Viking Viking 8 21
3 Lillestrom Lillestrom 8 16
4 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 7 13
5 Molde Molde 8 13
6 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 7 13
7 Sandefjord Sandefjord 8 13
8 Brann Brann 8 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 8 8
10 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 7 8
11 Valerenga Valerenga 8 8
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 8 8
13 Rosenborg Rosenborg 8 8
14 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 8 7
15 Start Start 8 4
16 Aalesund Aalesund 7 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Ham-Kam?
The model gives Fredrikstad a 37% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 32% for an Ham-Kam win.
How many goals are expected in Fredrikstad vs Ham-Kam?
Expected goals: Fredrikstad 1.3, Ham-Kam 1.1 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Fredrikstad vs Ham-Kam?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.