Eliteserien · Regular Season - 13 July 11, 2026 14:00

Fredrikstad

#8 · 28 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Lillestrom

#6 · 32 pts

62' (ast. S. Drammeh) G. Nyheim

73' (ast. Felix Va) T. Olsen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fredrikstad a 43% win probability (draw 25%, Lillestrom 30%). The final result was Fredrikstad 0–2 Lillestrom. In 2 previous meetings, Fredrikstad have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lillestrom.

Match statistics

1

Shots on target

4

1.27

Actual xG

1.22

61%

Possession

39%

8

Corners

3

Match Events

15'

M. Karlsbakk

M. Nilsson

43'

59'

Felix Va / L. Alperud ↕

59'

K. Krygard / M. Karlsbakk ↕

D. Eid

61'

S. Rafn

61'

62'

ast. S. Drammeh · G. Nyheim⚽

↕ S. Laghzaoui / L. Owusu

68'

73'

ast. Felix Va · T. Olsen⚽

↕ B. Faraas / J. Nunez

75'

↕ M. Nilsson / J. Nysveen

84'

↕ O. Ohlenschlaeger / J. Norbye

84'

↕ F. Ghebreyohannes / A. Andresen

84'

90'+1

K. Arierhi / T. Olsen ↕

90'+5

S. Foss / S. Drammeh ↕

90'+5

H. Woxen / G. Nyheim ↕

Pre-match prediction

43.97%

Fredrikstad

25.23%

X

30.8%

Lillestrom ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom) 30.8% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Fredrikstad

1.92

1.27

-0.65

Lillestrom

1.24

1.22

-0.02

xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	21	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	50
3	Tromso	21	38
4	Molde	21	36
5	Rosenborg	21	33
6	Lillestrom	21	32
7	Brann	21	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	25
11	Sandefjord	21	23
12	Valerenga	21	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	23
14	Aalesund	21	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	19
16	Start	21	16