Eliteserien · Regular Season - 13 July 11, 2026 14:00

Fredrikstad

#11 · 20 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Lillestrom

#4 · 25 pts

62' (ast. S. Drammeh) G. Nyheim

73' (ast. Felix Va) T. Olsen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fredrikstad a 43% win probability (draw 25%, Lillestrom 30%). The final result was Fredrikstad 0–2 Lillestrom. In 1 previous meetings, Fredrikstad have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lillestrom.

Match statistics

1

Shots on target

4

1.27

Actual xG

1.22

61%

Possession

39%

8

Corners

3

Match Events

15'

M. Karlsbakk

M. Nilsson

43'

59'

Felix Va / L. Alperud ↕

59'

K. Krygard / M. Karlsbakk ↕

D. Eid

61'

S. Rafn

61'

62'

ast. S. Drammeh · G. Nyheim⚽

↕ S. Laghzaoui / L. Owusu

68'

73'

ast. Felix Va · T. Olsen⚽

↕ B. Faraas / J. Nunez

75'

↕ M. Nilsson / J. Nysveen

84'

↕ O. Ohlenschlaeger / J. Norbye

84'

↕ F. Ghebreyohannes / A. Andresen

84'

90'+1

K. Arierhi / T. Olsen ↕

90'+5

S. Foss / S. Drammeh ↕

90'+5

H. Woxen / G. Nyheim ↕

Pre-match prediction

43.97%

Fredrikstad

25.23%

X

30.8%

Lillestrom ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom) 30.8% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Fredrikstad

1.92

1.27

-0.65

Lillestrom

1.24

1.22

-0.02

xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	17	41
2	Viking	16	40
3	Tromso	16	34
4	Lillestrom	16	25
5	Molde	16	24
6	Brann	16	22
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	16	22
8	Ham-Kam	16	22
9	Rosenborg	16	21
10	Valerenga	16	20
11	Fredrikstad	16	20
12	KFUM Oslo	16	18
13	Sandefjord	16	15
14	Kristiansund BK	16	15
15	Aalesund	16	14
16	Start	17	10