Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 FF
Eliteserien
September 13, 2026 19:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.8%
Win
Fredrikstad
23.41%
Draw
27.79%
Win
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.66
1.17
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.91%)
1X2 Result
1
49%
X
23%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
51%
12
77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
55%
✓ 71.7% hit rate (53 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fredrikstad a 48% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Expected goals are 1.7 for Fredrikstad and 1.2 for Sarpsborg 08 FF (total 2.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.91% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Fredrikstad have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Season Stats
6W
1D
8L
5W
4D
6L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.1
1.5
Conceded
1.4
3.7
Shots OT
3.7
3.6
Corners
4.6
47%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
60%
53%
O 2.5
60%
53%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Eliteserien. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
21%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
5W
1D
3L
· at home
2W
3D
5L
· away
1.3
gls/g
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.6
56%
Win %
20%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
78%
O 1.5
70%
56%
O 2.5
60%
11%
O 3.5
30%
67%
BTTS
50%
22%
Clean Sht
30%
11%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Fredrikstad
Attack
35
Defence
62
Form
50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Attack
39
Defence
58
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
19 | 47 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
19 | 44 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
19 | 35 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
19 | 33 |
| 5 |
Lillestrom
|
20 | 32 |
| 6 |
Rosenborg
|
19 | 27 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
19 | 26 |
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
|
19 | 26 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
19 | 24 |
| 10 |
Ham-Kam
|
19 | 23 |
| 11 |
Valerenga
|
20 | 22 |
| 12 |
Sandefjord
|
19 | 20 |
| 13 |
Kristiansund BK
|
19 | 19 |
| 14 |
KFUM Oslo
|
19 | 19 |
| 15 |
Aalesund
|
19 | 18 |
| 16 |
Start
|
19 | 13 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The model gives Fredrikstad a 48% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 27% for an Sarpsborg 08 FF win.
How many goals are expected in Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Expected goals: Fredrikstad 1.7, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.2 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.91%.