✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone
G. Calo
54'
(pen.)
A. Fiori
72'
B. L. Kone
90'+6
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 66% win probability (draw 18%, Carrarese 15%). The final result was Frosinone 3–0 Carrarese. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Carrarese.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
3
2.55
Actual xG
1.21
3
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
8
8
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
F. Ghedjemis
26'
42'
D. Bouah
⚽G. Calo
(pen.)
54'
56'
N. Schiavi
59'
E. Zuelli
/
N. Schiavi
59'
N. Calabrese
/
D. Bouah
59'
F. Abiuso
/
T. Rubino
G. Kvernadze
69'
F. Ghedjemis
/ S. Fini
70'
G. Kvernadze
/ A. Fiori
70'
⚽A. Fiori
72'
73'
J. Rouhi
/
N. Belloni
77'
F. Di Stefano
/
M. Finotto
F. Gelli
/ B. L. Kone
80'
A. Raimondo
/ M. Zilli
80'
G. Calo
/ J. Gelli
90'+1
⚽B. L. Kone
(pen.)
90'+6
90'
F. Abiuso
Pre-match prediction
66.34%
Frosinone ←
18.09%
X
15.57%
Carrarese
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone)
66.34%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.80
2.55
-0.25
1.30
1.21
-0.09
Frosinone dominated by xG (2.55 vs 1.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Lorenzo Palmisani
G
Lorenzo Palmisani
G
79
Gabriele Bracaglia
D
Gabriele Bracaglia
D
3
Gabriele Calvani
D
Gabriele Calvani
D
30
Ilario Monterisi
D
Ilario Monterisi
D
20
Anthony Oyono
D
Anthony Oyono
D
10
F. Gelli
80'
M
16
Matteo Cichella
M
Matteo Cichella
M
14
Giacomo Calò
1 ⚽
M
Giacomo Calò
1 ⚽
M
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
70'
F
Giorgi Kvernadze
70'
F
9
Antonio Raimondo
80'
F
Antonio Raimondo
80'
F
7
Farès Ghedjemis
70'
F
Farès Ghedjemis
70'
F
Bench
80
A. Fiori
1 ⚽
26'
F
A. Fiori
1 ⚽
26'
F
92
B. L. Kone
1 ⚽
16'
M
28
M. Zilli
16'
F
1
G
6
F. Oliana
D
F. Oliana
D
4
J. Illanes
D
J. Illanes
D
72
S. Zanon
D
S. Zanon
D
7
N. Belloni
73'
M
N. Belloni
73'
M
70
Luis Hasa
M
Luis Hasa
M
18
Nicolás Schiavi
59'
M
Nicolás Schiavi
59'
M
77
G. Parlanti
M
G. Parlanti
M
13
D. Bouah
59'
M
D. Bouah
59'
M
32
M. Finotto
77'
F
M. Finotto
77'
F
21
T. Rubino
59'
F
T. Rubino
59'
F
Bench
92
E. Torregrossa
F
17
E. Zuelli
37'
M
E. Zuelli
37'
M
9
F. Abiuso
37'
F
F. Abiuso
37'
F
28
F. Distefano
19'
F
F. Distefano
19'
F
8
F. Melegoni
M
F. Melegoni
M
73
J. Rouhi
23'
D
J. Rouhi
23'
D
37
N. Calabrese
37'
D
N. Calabrese
37'
D
Best on the pitch
Giacomo Calò
M · Frosinone
9.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 64 pass
Ilario Monterisi
D · Frosinone
8.00
· 29 pass
N. Belloni
M · Carrarese
7.50
1 shots
· 23 pass
Luis Hasa
M · Carrarese
7.30
1 shots
· 22 pass
Giorgi Kvernadze
F · Frosinone
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
Anthony Oyono
D · Frosinone
7.30
· 48 pass
Frosinone — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Palmisani | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Bracaglia | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Calvani | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Ilario Monterisi | D | 96 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Oyono | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Gelli | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Cichella | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Calò | M | 91 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgi Kvernadze | F | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Antonio Raimondo | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Farès Ghedjemis | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Fiori | F | 26 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| B. L. Kone | M | 16 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Zilli | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Carrarese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| F. Oliana | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Illanes | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Zanon | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Belloni | M | 73 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Luis Hasa | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Schiavi | M | 59 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| G. Parlanti | M | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Bouah | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Finotto | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Rubino | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Zuelli | M | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| F. Abiuso | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Distefano | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Rouhi | D | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| N. Calabrese | D | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Carrarese?
The final score was Frosinone 3–0 Carrarese.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Carrarese?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Frosinone win, 18% to a draw, and 15% to an Carrarese win.