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← Serie A

Frosinone - Lecce

Serie A October 29, 2026 18:30 PSC Arena, Frosinone
#6 · 14 pts
vs
#12 · 9 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 13.0°C 💨 9 km/h · Frosinone
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.77%
Win
Frosinone
26.72%
Draw
26.51%
Win
Lecce
1.76
Expected xG
1.13

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.47%)
1X2 Result
1 47%
X 27%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 53%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
✓ 85.5% hit rate (83 picks)
Over 2.5 56%
✓ 60.3% hit rate (73 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Frosinone a 46% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Lecce. Expected goals are 1.8 for Frosinone and 1.1 for Lecce (total 2.9), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.47% probability.

Season Stats

Frosinone
4W 2D 2L
Lecce
6W 2D 7L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.1
1.6
Conceded
1.4
6.1
Shots OT
3.9
5.8
Corners
4.1
44%
Poss.
40%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
73%
63%
O 2.5
47%
50%
BTTS
33%
25%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Frosinone
3W 0D 1L · at home
Lecce
4W 1D 5L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.1
1.2
Conceded
1.2
75%
Win %
40%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
30%
25%
Clean Sht
30%
25%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Frosinone Lecce →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.6% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% —
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

D Atalanta 4–4
W Sassuolo 4–2
L Napoli 3–0
W Como 2–0
D Genoa 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 27%
L Juventus 0–2
W Udinese 0–3
L Bologna 1–2
L AC Milan 3–0
W Monza 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Frosinone Frosinone
Attack
57
Defence
42
Form
58
Lecce Lecce
Attack
35
Defence
50
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
The model gives Frosinone a 46% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 26% for an Lecce win.
How many goals are expected in Frosinone vs Lecce?
Expected goals: Frosinone 1.8, Lecce 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Frosinone vs Lecce?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.47%.