← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 34 April 10, 2026 20:30
Frosinone
#2 · 81 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Palermo
#4 · 72 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Frosinone, result Pareggio
G. Calo 75'
89' (ast. J. Pohjanpalo) F. Ranocchia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Palermo 21%). The final result was Frosinone 1–1 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
0.44
Actual xG
0.62
6
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
A. Palumbo
39'
F. Ranocchia
G. Bracaglia
43'
46'
P. Peda / R. Modesto ↕
62'
E. Gyasi / N. Pierozzi ↕
↕ M. Cichella / F. Gelli
67'
↕ A. Raimondo / M. Zilli
67'
F. Ghedjemis
73'
⚽G. Calo
75'
77'
A. Vasic / P. Ceccaroni ↕
↕ F. Ghedjemis / S. Fini
80'
M. Zilli
82'
83'
S. Giovane / A. Palumbo ↕
89'
ast. J. Pohjanpalo · F. Ranocchia⚽
90'+2
P. Peda
↕ G. Kvernadze / A. Fiori
90'
↕ G. Calo / B. L. Kone
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.63%
Frosinone
20.14%
X ←
21.23%
Palermo
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Frosinone
2.52
0.44
-2.08
Palermo
1.40
0.62
-0.78
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Frosinone Frosinone 4-3-3
22
L. Palmisani G 7.90
79 G. Bracaglia G. Bracaglia D 6.90
2
G. Cittadini D 7.50
30
I. Monterisi D 7.20
20
A. Oyono D 6.90
8
I. Koutsoupias M 5.90
16
M. Cichella 67' M 6.20
14 G. Calò G. Calò 1 ⚽ M 7.30
17
G. Kvernadze F 6.60
9 A. Raimondo A. Raimondo 67' F 6.30
7 F. Ghedjemis F. Ghedjemis 80' F 6.60
Bench
80
A. Fiori 4' F
92
B. L. Kone 4' M
10
F. Gelli 27' M 6.30
3
G. Calvani D
28
M. Zilli 27' F 6.50
Palermo Palermo 3-5-2
1
G 6.30
32
P. Ceccaroni 77' D 6.20
13 M. Bani M. Bani D 7.30
27
Niccolò Pierozzi 62' D 7.20
3
M 6.90
8
J. Segre M 6.20
10
F. Ranocchia 1 ⚽ M 8.60
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 83' M 6.90
18
R. Modesto 45' M 6.60
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 1 👟 F 6.70
21
J. Le Douaron F 5.90
Bench
14
A. Vasic 17' M 6.30
19
B. Bereszynski D
11
E. Gyasi 32' D 6.00
96
G. Magnani D
66
J. Joronen G
29
P. Peda 49' D 6.90
17
S. Giovane 11' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 43 pass
L. Palmisani
G · Frosinone
7.90
· 24 pass
G. Cittadini
D · Frosinone
7.50
· 29 pass
M. Bani
M. Bani
D · Palermo
7.30
· 43 pass
G. Calò
G. Calò
M · Frosinone
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 49 pass
Niccolò Pierozzi
D · Palermo
7.20
· 15 pass
Frosinone Frosinone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Palmisani G 94 7.90 — — — 24 11% — — —
G. Bracaglia D 94 6.90 — — — 27 17% 2 1 —
G. Cittadini D 94 7.50 — — — 29 18% 2 — —
I. Monterisi D 94 7.20 — — 2 24 18% 1 — —
A. Oyono D 94 6.90 — — — 25 21% 2 — —
I. Koutsoupias M 94 5.90 — — — 23 15% — — —
M. Cichella M 67 6.20 — — — 14 9% — — —
G. Calò M 90 7.30 1 — 2 49 31% 1 — —
G. Kvernadze F 90 6.60 — — 3 23 13% 4 — —
A. Raimondo F 67 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
F. Ghedjemis F 80 6.60 — — 1 9 9% — 1 —
A. Fiori F 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
B. L. Kone M 4 — — — — 2 2% — — —
F. Gelli M 27 6.30 — — — 8 3% — — —
M. Zilli F 27 6.50 — — 1 3 1% — 1 —
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.30 — — — 33 9% — — —
P. Ceccaroni D 77 6.20 — — 2 27 20% — — —
M. Bani D 94 7.30 — — — 43 25% 3 — —
Niccolò Pierozzi D 62 7.20 — — — 15 8% 1 — —
M 94 6.90 — — — 27 22% 1 — —
J. Segre M 94 6.20 — — 2 16 8% 1 — —
F. Ranocchia M 94 8.60 1 — 3 43 31% 3 1 —
A. Palumbo M 83 6.90 — — — 33 23% 2 1 —
R. Modesto M 45 6.60 — — 2 8 6% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 94 6.70 — 1 2 19 13% — — —
J. Le Douaron F 94 5.90 — — — 9 6% — — —
A. Vasic M 17 6.30 — — — 6 2% — — —
E. Gyasi D 32 6.00 — — — 4 3% — — —
P. Peda D 49 6.90 — — 1 20 10% 5 1 —
S. Giovane M 11 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Palermo?
The final score was Frosinone 1–1 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Palermo?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Frosinone win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Palermo win.