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Serie B · Regular Season - 34 April 10, 2026 20:30 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Frosinone
1 – 1
Final score
Palermo
#1 · 23 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Frosinone, result Draw
G. Calo 75'
89' (ast. J. Pohjanpalo) F. Ranocchia
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Palermo 21%). The final result was Frosinone 1–1 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
0.44
Actual xG
0.62
6
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
A. Palumbo
39'
F. Ranocchia
G. Bracaglia
43'
46'
P. Peda / R. Modesto ↕
62'
E. Gyasi / N. Pierozzi ↕
↕ M. Cichella / F. Gelli
67'
↕ A. Raimondo / M. Zilli
67'
F. Ghedjemis
73'
⚽G. Calo
75'
77'
A. Vasic / P. Ceccaroni ↕
↕ F. Ghedjemis / S. Fini
80'
M. Zilli
82'
83'
S. Giovane / A. Palumbo ↕
89'
ast. J. Pohjanpalo · F. Ranocchia⚽
90'+2
P. Peda
↕ G. Kvernadze / A. Fiori
90'
↕ G. Calo / B. L. Kone
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.63%
Frosinone
20.14%
X ←
21.23%
Palermo
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Frosinone
2.52
0.44
-2.08
Palermo
1.40
0.62
-0.78
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 9 23
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 9 15
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 9 12
10 Avellino Avellino 9 12
11 Cesena Cesena 9 11
12 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
13 Carrarese Carrarese 9 10
14 Arezzo Arezzo 9 10
15 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
16 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
17 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 9 8
18 Empoli Empoli 9 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Frosinone Frosinone 4-3-3
22 L. Palmisani L. Palmisani G 7.90
79 G. Bracaglia G. Bracaglia D 6.90
2 G. Cittadini G. Cittadini D 7.50
30 I. Monterisi I. Monterisi D 7.20
20 A. Oyono A. Oyono D 6.90
8 Ilias Koutsoupias Ilias Koutsoupias M 5.90
16 Matteo Cichella Matteo Cichella 67' M 6.20
14 G. Calò G. Calò 1 ⚽ M 7.30
17 G. Kvernadze G. Kvernadze F 6.60
9 A. Raimondo A. Raimondo 67' F 6.30
7 F. Ghedjemis F. Ghedjemis 80' F 6.60
Bench
80 A. Fiori A. Fiori 4' F
92
B. L. Kone 4' M
10
F. Gelli 27' M 6.30
3 G. Calvani G. Calvani D
28
M. Zilli 27' F 6.50
Palermo Palermo 3-5-2
1
G 6.30
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni 77' D 6.20
13 M. Bani M. Bani D 7.30
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi 62' D 7.20
3
M 6.90
8 J. Segre J. Segre M 6.20
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia 1 ⚽ M 8.60
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 83' M 6.90
18 Rui Modesto Rui Modesto 45' M 6.60
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 1 👟 F 6.70
21 J. Le Douaron J. Le Douaron F 5.90
Bench
14 A. Vasic A. Vasic 17' M 6.30
19 B. Bereszyński B. Bereszyński D
11 E. Gyasi E. Gyasi 32' D 6.00
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani D
66 Jesse Joronen Jesse Joronen G
29 P. Peda P. Peda 49' D 6.90
17 S. Giovane S. Giovane 11' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
F. Ranocchia
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 43 pass
L. Palmisani
L. Palmisani
G · Frosinone
7.90
· 24 pass
G. Cittadini
G. Cittadini
D · Frosinone
7.50
· 29 pass
M. Bani
M. Bani
D · Palermo
7.30
· 43 pass
G. Calò
G. Calò
M · Frosinone
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 49 pass
N. Pierozzi
N. Pierozzi
D · Palermo
7.20
· 15 pass
Frosinone Frosinone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Palmisani G 94 7.90 — — — 24 11% — — —
G. Bracaglia D 94 6.90 — — — 27 17% 2 1 —
G. Cittadini D 94 7.50 — — — 29 18% 2 — —
I. Monterisi D 94 7.20 — — 2 24 18% 1 — —
A. Oyono D 94 6.90 — — — 25 21% 2 — —
Ilias Koutsoupias M 94 5.90 — — — 23 15% — — —
Matteo Cichella M 67 6.20 — — — 14 9% — — —
G. Calò M 90 7.30 1 — 2 49 31% 1 — —
G. Kvernadze F 90 6.60 — — 3 23 13% 4 — —
A. Raimondo F 67 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
F. Ghedjemis F 80 6.60 — — 1 9 9% — 1 —
A. Fiori F 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
B. L. Kone M 4 — — — — 2 2% — — —
F. Gelli M 27 6.30 — — — 8 3% — — —
M. Zilli F 27 6.50 — — 1 3 1% — 1 —
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.30 — — — 33 9% — — —
P. Ceccaroni D 77 6.20 — — 2 27 20% — — —
M. Bani D 94 7.30 — — — 43 25% 3 — —
N. Pierozzi D 62 7.20 — — — 15 8% 1 — —
M 94 6.90 — — — 27 22% 1 — —
J. Segre M 94 6.20 — — 2 16 8% 1 — —
F. Ranocchia M 94 8.60 1 — 3 43 31% 3 1 —
A. Palumbo M 83 6.90 — — — 33 23% 2 1 —
Rui Modesto M 45 6.60 — — 2 8 6% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 94 6.70 — 1 2 19 13% — — —
J. Le Douaron F 94 5.90 — — — 9 6% — — —
A. Vasic M 17 6.30 — — — 6 2% — — —
E. Gyasi D 32 6.00 — — — 4 3% — — —
P. Peda D 49 6.90 — — 1 20 10% 5 1 —
S. Giovane M 11 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Palermo?
The final score was Frosinone 1–1 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Palermo?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Frosinone win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Palermo win.