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Serie B · Regular Season - 34 April 10, 2026 20:30 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Frosinone
1 – 1
Final score
Palermo
#2 · 10 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Frosinone, result Draw
G. Calo 75'
89' (ast. J. Pohjanpalo) F. Ranocchia
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Palermo 21%). The final result was Frosinone 1–1 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
0.44
Actual xG
0.62
6
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
A. Palumbo
39'
F. Ranocchia
G. Bracaglia
43'
46'
P. Peda / R. Modesto ↕
62'
E. Gyasi / N. Pierozzi ↕
↕ M. Cichella / F. Gelli
67'
↕ A. Raimondo / M. Zilli
67'
F. Ghedjemis
73'
⚽G. Calo
75'
77'
A. Vasic / P. Ceccaroni ↕
↕ F. Ghedjemis / S. Fini
80'
M. Zilli
82'
83'
S. Giovane / A. Palumbo ↕
89'
ast. J. Pohjanpalo · F. Ranocchia⚽
90'+2
P. Peda
↕ G. Kvernadze / A. Fiori
90'
↕ G. Calo / B. L. Kone
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.63%
Frosinone
20.14%
X ←
21.23%
Palermo
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Frosinone
2.52
0.44
-2.08
Palermo
1.40
0.62
-0.78
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Mantova Mantova 4 10
2 Palermo Palermo 4 10
3 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
4 Avellino Avellino 4 7
5 Padova Padova 4 7
6 Modena Modena 4 7
7 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
8 Cesena Cesena 4 6
9 Pisa Pisa 4 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Cremonese Cremonese 4 4
16 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
20 Sampdoria Sampdoria 4 1
Lineups
Frosinone Frosinone 4-3-3
22 Lorenzo Palmisani Lorenzo Palmisani G 7.90
79 Gabriele Bracaglia Gabriele Bracaglia D 6.90
2 Giorgio Cittadini Giorgio Cittadini D 7.50
30 Ilario Monterisi Ilario Monterisi D 7.20
20 Anthony Oyono Anthony Oyono D 6.90
8 I. Koutsoupias I. Koutsoupias M 5.90
16 Matteo Cichella Matteo Cichella 67' M 6.20
14 Giacomo Calò Giacomo Calò 1 ⚽ M 7.30
17 Giorgi Kvernadze Giorgi Kvernadze F 6.60
9 Antonio Raimondo Antonio Raimondo 67' F 6.30
7 Farès Ghedjemis Farès Ghedjemis 80' F 6.60
Bench
80 A. Fiori A. Fiori 4' F
92
B. L. Kone 4' M
10
F. Gelli 27' M 6.30
3 Gabriele Calvani Gabriele Calvani D
28
M. Zilli 27' F 6.50
Palermo Palermo 3-5-2
1
G 6.30
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni 77' D 6.20
13 M. Bani M. Bani D 7.30
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi 62' D 7.20
3
M 6.90
8 J. Segre J. Segre M 6.20
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia 1 ⚽ M 8.60
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 83' M 6.90
18 Rui Modesto Rui Modesto 45' M 6.60
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 1 👟 F 6.70
21 J. Le Douaron J. Le Douaron F 5.90
Bench
14 A. Vasic A. Vasic 17' M 6.30
19 B. Bereszyński B. Bereszyński D
11 E. Gyasi E. Gyasi 32' D 6.00
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani D
66 Jesse Joronen Jesse Joronen G
29 P. Peda P. Peda 49' D 6.90
17 S. Giovane S. Giovane 11' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
F. Ranocchia
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 43 pass
Lorenzo Palmisani
Lorenzo Palmisani
G · Frosinone
7.90
· 24 pass
Giorgio Cittadini
Giorgio Cittadini
D · Frosinone
7.50
· 29 pass
M. Bani
M. Bani
D · Palermo
7.30
· 43 pass
Giacomo Calò
Giacomo Calò
M · Frosinone
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 49 pass
N. Pierozzi
N. Pierozzi
D · Palermo
7.20
· 15 pass
Frosinone Frosinone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lorenzo Palmisani G 94 7.90 — — — 24 11% — — —
Gabriele Bracaglia D 94 6.90 — — — 27 17% 2 1 —
Giorgio Cittadini D 94 7.50 — — — 29 18% 2 — —
Ilario Monterisi D 94 7.20 — — 2 24 18% 1 — —
Anthony Oyono D 94 6.90 — — — 25 21% 2 — —
I. Koutsoupias M 94 5.90 — — — 23 15% — — —
Matteo Cichella M 67 6.20 — — — 14 9% — — —
Giacomo Calò M 90 7.30 1 — 2 49 31% 1 — —
Giorgi Kvernadze F 90 6.60 — — 3 23 13% 4 — —
Antonio Raimondo F 67 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Farès Ghedjemis F 80 6.60 — — 1 9 9% — 1 —
A. Fiori F 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
B. L. Kone M 4 — — — — 2 2% — — —
F. Gelli M 27 6.30 — — — 8 3% — — —
M. Zilli F 27 6.50 — — 1 3 1% — 1 —
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.30 — — — 33 9% — — —
P. Ceccaroni D 77 6.20 — — 2 27 20% — — —
M. Bani D 94 7.30 — — — 43 25% 3 — —
N. Pierozzi D 62 7.20 — — — 15 8% 1 — —
M 94 6.90 — — — 27 22% 1 — —
J. Segre M 94 6.20 — — 2 16 8% 1 — —
F. Ranocchia M 94 8.60 1 — 3 43 31% 3 1 —
A. Palumbo M 83 6.90 — — — 33 23% 2 1 —
Rui Modesto M 45 6.60 — — 2 8 6% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 94 6.70 — 1 2 19 13% — — —
J. Le Douaron F 94 5.90 — — — 9 6% — — —
A. Vasic M 17 6.30 — — — 6 2% — — —
E. Gyasi D 32 6.00 — — — 4 3% — — —
P. Peda D 49 6.90 — — 1 20 10% 5 1 —
S. Giovane M 11 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Palermo?
The final score was Frosinone 1–1 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Palermo?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Frosinone win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Palermo win.