✗Model wrong — prediction Frosinone, result Draw
G. Calo
75'
89'
(ast. J. Pohjanpalo)
F. Ranocchia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Palermo 21%). The final result was Frosinone 1–1 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palermo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
0.44
Actual xG
0.62
6
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
A. Palumbo
39'
F. Ranocchia
G. Bracaglia
43'
46'
P. Peda
/
R. Modesto
62'
E. Gyasi
/
N. Pierozzi
M. Cichella
/ F. Gelli
67'
A. Raimondo
/ M. Zilli
67'
F. Ghedjemis
73'
⚽G. Calo
75'
77'
A. Vasic
/
P. Ceccaroni
F. Ghedjemis
/ S. Fini
80'
M. Zilli
82'
83'
S. Giovane
/
A. Palumbo
89'
ast. J. Pohjanpalo ·
F. Ranocchia⚽
90'+2
P. Peda
G. Kvernadze
/ A. Fiori
90'
G. Calo
/ B. L. Kone
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.63%
Frosinone
20.14%
X ←
21.23%
Palermo
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.52
0.44
-2.08
1.40
0.62
-0.78
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Lorenzo Palmisani
G
Lorenzo Palmisani
G
79
G. Bracaglia
D
G. Bracaglia
D
2
G. Cittadini
D
30
I. Monterisi
D
20
A. Oyono
D
8
I. Koutsoupias
M
16
M. Cichella
67'
M
14
G. Calò
1 ⚽
M
G. Calò
1 ⚽
M
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
F
9
A. Raimondo
67'
F
A. Raimondo
67'
F
7
F. Ghedjemis
80'
F
F. Ghedjemis
80'
F
Bench
80
A. Fiori
4'
F
92
B. L. Kone
4'
M
10
F. Gelli
27'
M
3
G. Calvani
D
28
M. Zilli
27'
F
1
G
32
Pietro Ceccaroni
77'
D
Pietro Ceccaroni
77'
D
13
M. Bani
D
M. Bani
D
27
N. Pierozzi
62'
D
N. Pierozzi
62'
D
3
M
8
Jacopo Segre
M
Jacopo Segre
M
10
Filippo Ranocchia
1 ⚽
M
Filippo Ranocchia
1 ⚽
M
5
A. Palumbo
83'
M
A. Palumbo
83'
M
18
Rui Modesto
45'
M
Rui Modesto
45'
M
20
J. Pohjanpalo
1 👟
F
J. Pohjanpalo
1 👟
F
21
Jérémy Le Douaron
F
Jérémy Le Douaron
F
Bench
14
Aljoša Vasić
17'
M
Aljoša Vasić
17'
M
19
Bartosz Bereszyński
D
Bartosz Bereszyński
D
11
Emmanuel Gyasi
32'
D
Emmanuel Gyasi
32'
D
96
Giangiacomo Magnani
D
Giangiacomo Magnani
D
66
Jesse Joronen
G
Jesse Joronen
G
29
Patryk Peda
49'
D
Patryk Peda
49'
D
17
Samuel Giovane
11'
M
Samuel Giovane
11'
M
Best on the pitch
Filippo Ranocchia
M · Palermo
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 43 pass
Lorenzo Palmisani
G · Frosinone
7.90
· 24 pass
G. Cittadini
D · Frosinone
7.50
· 29 pass
M. Bani
D · Palermo
7.30
· 43 pass
G. Calò
M · Frosinone
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 49 pass
N. Pierozzi
D · Palermo
7.20
· 15 pass
Frosinone — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Palmisani | G | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Bracaglia | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Cittadini | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Monterisi | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Oyono | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Koutsoupias | M | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Cichella | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Calò | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 49 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgi Kvernadze | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Raimondo | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Ghedjemis | F | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Fiori | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| B. L. Kone | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Gelli | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Zilli | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Palermo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Pietro Ceccaroni | D | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Bani | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Pierozzi | D | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jacopo Segre | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Filippo Ranocchia | M | 94 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 43 | 31% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Palumbo | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rui Modesto | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 94 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jérémy Le Douaron | F | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Aljoša Vasić | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Gyasi | D | 32 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Patryk Peda | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Giovane | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Palermo?
The final score was Frosinone 1–1 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Palermo?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Frosinone win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Palermo win.